LUCHA STATS, Plug for my Book and WWE Whirlwind

WRESTLING RESULTS

I've been on a Lucha kick lately updating AAA and CMLL statistics derived from the Luchablog Results Index.

CMLL 1999-2013 stats including: Most Matches, Win/Loss records, Average place on Card & Main Events stats, Tag Team Records and Feud counts.

AAA 1999-2013 stats including: Most Matches,  Win/Loss records, Average place on Card & Main Event Stats

Gimmick & Name changes in Lucha can make my brain hurt. Big thanks to @luchablog for providing some guides to prevent me from going completely insane.

Other federations I've recently done statistics for in the past five weeks:

New Japan Pro Wrestling 1999-2013

All Japan Pro Wrestling 2000-2013

NOAH Pro Wrestling 2000-2013

Dragon's Gate 2004-2013 

FMW - Frontier Martial-Arts Wrestling 1989-2002; 2002-2013 (other related groups)

Other results compiled previously: 

JCP/WCW 1983-2001 

ECW 1992-2001 

WWF/WWE 1970-2012

TNA 2002-2012  

Smokey Mountain Wrestling 1991-1995 

RING OF HONOR 2002 - 2012 

WORLD CLASS WRESTLING 1982-1990 

FLORIDA CHAMPIONSHIP WRESTLING 1970-1987 

AWA WRESTLING 1960-1989

** CHEAP PLUG ALERT **

If this sort of thing interests you, please consider supporting my wrestling book (Wrestlenomics).  It's two volumes - one will be results (similar to what you see above, but broken into greater depth by year) and one will be analytics (similar to what you see on this blog, but with umlauts.)  The book is not out yet, but you can pre-order the book in PDF or physical form.  Send an email to chris.harrington@gmail.com with the word "Wrestlenomics" in the subject line.  Pricing is $12 for PDF and $25 for BOOK (please add $2 for international shipping).  When you pre-order, I'll send you copies of all of the preview chapters (several hundred pages of content) for you to devour while I continue to plow through this project.

FIGURE FOUR WEEKLY: "WWE WHIRLWIND"

Also, I wrote a piece about the WWE Financials and WWE Network for this week's Figure Four Weekly Newsletter; if you're a subscriber, you should check it out.

If you're not a subscriber (and why aren't you?! The Wrestling Observer is AWESOME.), you can piece together most of what I wrote by combing these three pieces from this blog:

• WWE Network to feature Wrestlemania?  (11/21/13)
• Can the WWE Network succeed? (11/1/13)
• WWE Rolling 12 Month Revenue Trends (10/31/13)

WWE Network to feature Wrestlemania?

In the latest issue of the Wrestling Observer (11/25/2013), Dave Meltzer details one scenario for the WWE Network Launch would include a "free" Wrestlemania as an initial enticement in order to swell WWE Network subscriber ranks immediately.

It's a bold strategy which puts a lot their entire pot of Domestic PPV revenue into play while offering a very hefty incentive to potential subscribers to sign up for their premium Channel. This of course is predicated on the notion that there will be full provider coverage (i.e. you'll be able to order this channel from your Cable and Satellite provider) which remains a significant hurdle.

First, let's look at the number of monthly subscribers that WWE would need in order to gross the same amount of Revenue as they currently do on domestic PPVs (originally I composed this part as part of a discussion over at the ProWrestlingOnly message board)

For a few years, WWE would break out their PPV revenue into both Domestic & International amounts: (see page 30 )
WWE PPV 

2006: $74.1 (domestic) + $19.5M (int'l) = 21% int'l
2007: $76.6 (domestic) + $17.7M (int'l) = 19% int'l
2008: $73.6 (domestic) + $17.8M (int'l) = 19% int'l
2009: $65.0 (domestic) + $15.0M (int'l) = 19% int'l
2010: $58.5 (domestic) + $11.7M (int'l) = 17% int'l
2011: $65.8 (domestic) + $12.5M (int'l) = 16% int'l
I couldn't find a 2012 number quickly; let's assume it's around the 16.3%. 

2012 estimated: $70.0M (domestic) + $13.6M (int'l)
I'll take the last four quarters as a proxy for 2013...
2013 estimated: $66.8M (domestic) +$13.0M (int'l) 

So, all together, I think we'll be looking at about $65M to $70M in Domestic PPV income that would potentially be "in danger" with a WWE Network launch that includes Wrestlemania. 

 Can we translate that into subscribers?

Full year revenue per buy in 2012 was $20.60 (up from $19.94 in 2011). (source: 2012 10-K)
The Q3 2013 10-Q statement has revenue per buy at $19.35. Let's split the difference and assume $20. 

So, from a revenue standpoint.... 

$70M in 12 months = 12 months x $5.83M/month = 292k domestic monthly buyers x $20/buy x 12 months $65M in 12 months = 12 months x $5.42M/month = 270k domestic monthly buyers x $20/buy x 12 months (This is a number which smooths out the peaks for Wrestlemania/Rumble/SummerSlam with the B-shows.) 

WWE revenue depends on two numbers: their split with provider and the Network Price.

  So, to keep revenue flat for WWE (without covering new costs)- they'd be looking at somewhere in the neighborhood of 800,000 (low-end) to 1.5 million (middle) monthly subscribers depending on the Network Price Point and the provider split.

Keep in mind that the big dogs, like HBO, barely break $7/subscriber.  I cannot fathom them being able to even get 50% split with providers for their brand new channel.

Assuming full coverage (big IF), I think they can definitely hit a million subscribers for Wrestlemania provided they do a media blitz. If they are launching with WM, I don't see any reason they would not launch at $15/month. If anything, they can come down off that to $10 if they REALLY have to following the PPV. In fact, I'd almost prefer they launched at $15 for  Y1 and for Y2 they did something goofy like dropped to $10 but returned Wrestlemania to PPV-only.  This does NOT take into account the cost of starting up the network (which is a $30M to $50M bogey), but at least shows how's it's possible for them to keep a flat domestic PPV revenue.

It's been an eventful week for WWE Network rumors. On Tuesday, WWE announced the appointment of Matthew Singerman as Executive Vice President of Programming reporting directly to Vince McMahon. His responsibilities would include "strategic development of content, including original, unscripted and scripted shows, scheduling of all programming and operations across all distribution platforms, including a potential WWE Network."  Also, this week Cable providers began contacting WWE Classics of Demand subscribers with a message that the service was being discontinued in early 2014; this is presumed to be part of the prelude to the WWE Network launch.  Let the rumors fly!

A Cornucopia of RAW Statistics (2011-2013)

Analysis by Chris Harrington (chris.harrington@gmail.com) for indeedwrestling.com

Last night's RAW main event of Wyatts & Shield vs Rhodes Brothers/Usos/Punk&Bryan was notable for its length (over 24 minutes).  In the pantheon of the last 150 RAWs, it one of the longest televised matches in awhile:

RAW Matches lasting over 18.5 minutes (2011-2013)

7/22/2013 Daniel Bryan won a gauntlet match at 32:18

• Bryan defeated Jack Swagger (w/ Zeb Colter & Antonio Cesaro) via submission with the Yes Lock at 2:57
• Bryan pinned Cesaro (w/ Colter & Swagger) with an inside cradle at 23:25 as Cesaro attempted a European uppercut
• Bryan defeated Ryback via disqualification at 9:13 when Ryback put Bryan through a table

10/3/2011 John Cena, CM Punk, Mason Ryan, Sheamus, WWE Tag Team Champions Kofi Kingston & Evan Bourne defeated WWE World Champion Alberto Del Rio, Christian, Jack Swagger, WWE IC Champion Cody Rhodes, WWE US Champion Dolph Ziggler (w/ Vickie Guerrero), & David Otunga at 26:53

2/25/2013 John Cena pinned CM Punk with the FU at 26:33

11/18/2013 Daniel Bryan, CM Punk, Cody Rhodes, Goldust & The Usos (Jey Uso & Jimmy Uso) defeated The Shield (Dean Ambrose, Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) & The Wyatt Family (Bray Wyatt, Erick Rowan & Luke Harper) at 24:05

5/13/2013 John Cena & Team Hell No (Kane & Daniel Bryan) defeated The Shield (Dean Ambrose, Seth Rollins & Roman Reigns) in an Elimination match at 23:18

5/20/2013 WWE US Champion Dean Ambrose, WWE Tag Team Champions Seth Rollins & Roman Reigns defeated Kofi Kingston, Daniel Bryan & Kane at 22:55

9/23/2013 Daniel Bryan, Rob Van Dam, Jimmy & Jey Uso, Dolph Ziggler, Darren Young & Titus O'Neil, Justin Gabriel, & Zack Ryder defeated WWE US Champion Dean Ambrose, WWE Tag Team Champions Seth Rollins & Roman Reigns in an elimination match at 23:11

6/20/2011 WWE World Champion John Cena, World Heavyweight Champion Randy Orton, & Alex Riley defeated R-Truth, Christian, & Mike Mizanin in an elimination match at 21:56

7/15/2013 Rob Van Dam pinned Chris Jericho with the Five Star Frog Splash at 21:36 

1/3/2011 Randy Orton defeated Sheamus and Wade Barrett in a steel cage match at 18:45

9/5/2011 John Cena, John Morrison, Sheamus, & Alex Riley defeated Wade Barrett, Christian, Jack Swagger, & WWE US Champion Dolph Ziggler in an impromptu elimination match at around the 19-minute mark

10/14/2013 Cody Rhodes & Goldust defeated The Shield (Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) (c) (w/ Dean Ambrose) in a No Disqualification match to win the WWE Tag Team Championship at 19:20

11/4/2013 World Heavyweight Champion John Cena, WWE Tag Team Champions Cody Rhodes & Goldust defeated Damien Sandow, Jack Swagger & Antonio Cesaro (w/ Zeb Colter) at 19:11 when Goldust pinned Cesaro with the Final Cut

1/7/2013 WWE World Champion CM Punk (w/ Paul Heyman) defeated Ryback in a TLC match at 18:52

  

5/27/2013 The Shield (Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) (c) defeated Team Hell No (Daniel Bryan & Kane) to retain the WWE Tag Team Championship at 18:35 

Interestingly, 2012 RAW is conspicuously absent from this list. The longest match that year was...

10/22/12: WWE World Champion CM Punk (w/ Paul Heyman) pinned World Heavyweight Champion Sheamus in a non-title lumberjack match at 18:13

Daniel Bryan working a trio of matches on a single RAW was not the only example of being asked to pull triple duty:

April 11, 2011: R-Truth

Gauntlet Match: R-Truth pinned Dolph Ziggler (w/ Vickie Guerrero) with the What's Up at 3:56

Gauntlet Match: R-Truth pinned John Morrison with the What's Up after avoiding Starship Pain at 4:50

Gauntlet Match: R-Truth fought John Cena to a double disqualification at 5:34 when WWE World Champion Mike Mizanin and Alex Riley attacked both men

Additionally, others have worked two matches on a single RAW which totaled more than 18 minutes:

July 3, 2013: Daniel Bryan (32:15) 

Daniel Bryan defeated Ryback by DQ (15:00)

The Shield (Dean Ambrose, Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) defeated Team Hell No (Daniel Bryan & Kane) & Randy Orton (17:15)

July 25, 2011: Rey Mysterio Jr (26:20)

WWE World Championship Tournament Finals: Rey Mysterio Jr. pinned Mike Mizanin at 13:18 with the 619 and splash off the top

John Cena pinned WWE World Champion Rey Mysterio Jr. to win the title at 12:52 with the FU as Mysterio attempted the 619

September 10, 2011: Randy Orton & CM Punk (23:43)

Randy Orton defeated WWE World Champion CM Punk via disqualification in a non-title match at 13:43

Randy Orton & Jerry Lawler defeated WWE World Champion CM Punk & Dolph Ziggler (w/ Vickie Guerrero) in an impromptu match at around the 10-minute mark 

August 13, 2012: CM Punk & The Big Show (19:27)

WWE World Champion CM Punk defeated the Big Show via disqualifcation in a non-title match at 6:01

 WWE World Champion CM Punk & John Cena defeated Daniel Bryan & the Big Show at 13:26 

June 4, 2012: John Cena (18:10)

John Cena pinned Tensai (w/ Sakamoto) in an impromptu bout with the FU at 9:05

John Cena pinned Michael Cole in a No DQ match at 9:05 with the FU

2 HOUR RAW vs 3 HOUR RAW
Since the beginning of 2011, there has been 78 2-hour RAWs and 73 3-hour RAWs.

SINGLES MATCHES: 305 on 2-hour RAW (5:12 average) vs. 414 on 3-hour RAW (6:25 average)
TAG MATCHES: 113 on 2-hour RAW (6:23 average) vs. 142 on 3-hour RAW (7:10 average)
HANDICAP MATCHES: 11 on 2-hour RAW (6:16 average) vs. 18 on 3-hour RAW (6:25 average)
BATTLE ROYALS: 9 on 2-hour RAW (7:23 average) vs. 4 on 3-hour RAW (6:11 average)

# OF MATCHES: 5.62 average on 2-hour RAW (5:38 average) vs. 7.92 average on 3-hour RAW (6:36 average) -- Overall, # of matches has increased about 18% and total minutes of wrestling time has expanded from 31:20 (2-hour RAW) to 52:17 (3-hour RAW). (This does not include matches that went immdiately to a "no contest" nor contest segments such as arm wrestling, divas musical chairs, verbal debates or tug-o-war contests.)

Number of people participating in the wrestling matches per show: 15.14 average on 2-hour RAW (2.69 people per match) versus 21.59 average on 3-hour RAW (2.73 people per match).  Essentially, they've increased the exposure of people through putting more matches on the show rather than just more people in the matches.

People with at least ten singles matches in both 2-hour and 3-hour RAW eras:
MORE TIME: Alberto Del Rio: (+1:13), Dolph Ziggler: (+2:46), Randy Orton: (+2:27), CM Punk: (+1:38), Sheamus: (+5:07), Daniel Bryan: (+3:47), John Cena: (+5:28), the Big Show: (+1:52), Kane: (+1:11)

LESS TIME: The Miz: (-1:38), R-Truth: (-2:28), Zack Ryder: (-1:05)

People with at least ten tag matches in both 2-hour and 3-hour RAW eras:

MORE TIME: Daniel Bryan: (+1:35), Kofi Kingston: (+1:44), Brie Bella: (+1:20), Nikki Bella: (+1:39), Natalya Neidhart: (+1:01)

LESS TIME: Cody Rhodes: (-1:14), Sheamus: (-1:17), Jack Swagger: (-2:53), Santino Marella: (-1:25)

It's less likely that there was a conscious decision that correlated between giving specific people more or less time based on whether it was a two or three hour RAW as much as the changes are probably reflective of the changes in programs (heel/face alignment, which title belts are involved, place on the card) for these people.

(Excludes rumbles, does not attribute exact times of elimination for elimination matches)

Annual Leaders
2011
CM Punk (34 RAW matches with 10:24 average)
Christian (13 RAW matches with 10:06 average)
Rey Mysterio Jr (19 RAW matches with 10:05 average)
The Miz (38 RAW matches with 9:59 average)
John Cena (37 RAW matches with 9:52 average)
Cody Rhodes (13 RAW matches with 9:43 average)
Alex Riley (15 RAW matches with 9:07 average)
Randy Orton (24 RAW matches with 9:03 average)
Alberto Del Rio (35 RAW matches with 8:28 average)
R-Truth (27 RAW matches with 8:27 average)
John Morrison (26 RAW matches with 7:30 average)
Dolph Ziggler (37 RAW matches with 7:23 average)
Wade Barrett (13 RAW matches with 7:22 average)
Sheamus (26 RAW matches with 7:15 average)
Kofi Kingston (28 RAW matches with 7:07 average)

2012
Chris Jericho (15 RAW matches with 10:59 average)
CM Punk (37 RAW matches with 10:56 average)
John Cena (30 RAW matches with 10:31 average)
Sheamus (37 RAW matches with 9:10 average)
Rey Mysterio Jr (15 RAW matches with 9:06 average)
Daniel Bryan (40 RAW matches with 8:47 average)
Dolph Ziggler (46 RAW matches with 8:37 average)
Randy Orton (21 RAW matches with 8:31 average)
Kane (28 RAW matches with 8:08 average)
Damien Sandow (18 RAW matches with 7:47 average)
Sin Cara (19 RAW matches with 7:41 average)
Alberto Del Rio (30 RAW matches with 7:41 average)
Darren Young (15 RAW matches with 7:15 average)
Wade Barrett (14 RAW matches with 7:09 average)
Kofi Kingston (36 RAW matches with 7:01 average)

2013
Goldust (7 RAW matches with 16:07 average)
Roman Reigns (25 RAW matches with 13:19 average)
John Cena (17 RAW matches with 12:55 average)
Seth Rollins (26 RAW matches with 12:25 average)
CM Punk (19 RAW matches with 11:44 average)
Daniel Bryan (40 RAW matches with 11:38 average)
Chris Jericho (15 RAW matches with 11:18 average)
Dean Ambrose (28 RAW matches with 11:15 average)
Randy Orton (39 RAW matches with 10:11 average)
Dolph Ziggler (32 RAW matches with 9:52 average)
Rob Van Dam (10 RAW matches with 9:14 average)
Luke Harper (5 RAW matches with 9:12 average)
Kane (24 RAW matches with 8:54 average)
Jimmy Uso (17 RAW matches with 8:45 average)
Jey Uso (17 RAW matches with 8:45 average)
Sheamus (20 RAW matches with 7:45 average)
Alberto Del Rio (34 RAW matches with 7:34 average)
Cody Rhodes (33 RAW matches with 7:29 average)
Christian (9 RAW matches with 7:25 average)
Antonio Cesaro (33 RAW matches with 7:12 average)

Curtis Axel (19 RAW matches with 7:06 average)

Sources
Analysis by Chris Harrington (chris.harrington@gmail.com)
Data from http://prowrestling.wikia.com/wiki/WWE_Monday_Night_RAW and TheHistoryofWWE.com
Last updated: November 19, 2013

Annual WWF Attendance 1994-2012

I've seen some confusion on this - sometimes people are mixed up about fiscal year &calendar year. Sometimes we're looking at the house shows (i.e. non-PPV and non-TV taping) numbers and sometimes we're looking at just north american numbers, and sometimes people are looking at the total attendance numbers and later there is even breakouts where they try to leave things like ECW only events out of the mix.

Here are the numbers that WWE has reported in their SEC filings:

ATTENDANCE CHART




DATA



Fiscal Years

F1995: starts May 1, 1994 to April 30, 1995: 1,163,259 attendance in 347 shows = 3,352 (A)
F1996: starts May 1, 1995 to April 30, 1996: 931,954 attendance in 247 shows = 3,773 (A)
F1997: starts May 1, 1996 to April 30, 1997: 1,060,740 attendance in 199 shows = 5,330 (A)
F1998: starts May 1, 1997 to April 30, 1998: 1,576,112 attendance in 218 shows = 7,230 (A)
F1999: starts May 1, 1998 to April 30, 1999: 2,273,701 attendance in 199 shows = 11,426 (A)
F2000: starts May 1, 1999 to April 30, 2000: 2,485,100 attendance in 206 shows = 12,064 (B)
F2001: starts May 1, 2000 to April 30, 2001: 2,449,800 attendance in 212 shows = 11,556 (B)
F2002: starts May 1, 2001 to April 30, 2002: 2,032,754 attendance in 237 shows = 8,577 (B)
F2003: starts May 1, 2002 to April 30, 2003: 1,815,100 attendance in 327 shows = 5,551 (C)
F2004: starts May 1, 2003 to April 30, 2004: 1,647,990 attendance in 329 shows = 5,009 (C) = 1,351,350 NA attendance in 297 NA shows = 4,550 avg NA attendance; 296,640 int'l attendance in 32 int'l shows = 9,270 avg int'l attendance
F2005: starts May 1, 2004 to April 30, 2005: 1,617,430 attendance in 325 shows = 4,977 (D) = 1,173,000 NA attendance in 276 NA shows = 4,250 avg NA attendance; 444,430 int'l attendance in 49 int'l shows = 9,070 avg int'l attendance
F2006: starts May 1, 2005 to April 30, 2006: 1,713,840 attendance in 300 shows = 5,713 (D) = 1,237,520 NA attendance in 248 NA shows = 4,990 avg NA attendance; 476,320 int'l attendance in 52 int'l shows = 9,160 avg int'l attendance

Transition Year

T2006: starts May 1, 2006 to Dec 31, 2006: 1,312,180 attendance in 246 shows = 5,334 (D) = 1,030,320 NA attendance in 212 NA shows = 4,860 avg NA attendance; 281,860 int'l attendance in 34 int'l shows = 8,290 avg int'l attendance
(This period also includes the 27 ECW touring events that were held separately before they pulled the plug on that touring project.)

Calendar Year

C2007: starts Jan 1, 2007 to Dec 31, 2007: 2,115,300 attendance in 308 shows = 6,868 (E) = 1,537,800 NA attendance in 233 NA shows = 6,600 avg NA attendance; 577,500 int'l attendance in 75 int'l shows = 7,700 avg int'l attendance
C2008: starts Jan 1, 2008 to Dec 31, 2008: 2,203,300 attendance in 319 shows = 6,907 (E) = 1,548,800 NA attendance in 242 NA shows = 6,400 avg NA attendance; 654,500 int'l attendance in 77 int'l shows = 8,500 avg int'l attendance
C2009: starts Jan 1, 2009 to Dec 31, 2009: 2,383,800 attendance in 342 shows = 6,970 (F) = 1,742,000 NA attendance in 268 NA shows = 6,500 avg NA attendance; 629,000 int'l attendance in 74 int'l shows = 8,500 avg int'l attendance
C2010: starts Jan 1, 2010 to Dec 31, 2010: 2,155,700 attendance in 327 shows = 6,592 (F) = 1,593,900 NA attendance in 253 NA shows = 6,300 avg NA attendance; 577,200 int'l attendance in 74 int'l shows = 7,800 avg int'l attendance
C2011: starts Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2011: 1,976,500 attendance in 321 shows = 6,157 (G) = 1,446,000 NA attendance in 241 NA shows = 6,000 avg NA attendance; 536,000 int'l attendance in 80 int'l shows = 6,700 avg int'l attendance
C2012: starts Jan 1, 2012 to Dec 31, 2012: 1,854,100 attendance in 314 shows = 5,905 (G) = 1,463,200 NA attendance in 248 NA shows = 5,900 avg NA attendance; 396,000 int'l attendance in 66 int'l shows = 6,000 avg int'l attendance

sources

A WWF PROSPECTUS published 10/19/1999
B WWE Annual Report (10-K) for fiscal year ending April 30, 2003
C WWE Annual Report (10-K) for fiscal year ending April 30, 2004
D WWE "Annual" Report (10-K) for transition year May 1 2006 to Dec 31 2006
E WWE Annual Report (10-K) for calendar year ending 2009
F WWE Annual Report (10-K) for calendar year ending 2010
G WWE Annual Report (10-K) for calendar year ending 2012

Also, check out WWF & WCW House Show Attendance 1991-2001

RAW ratings and viewership - last 52 weeks

Date	Show	8:00 to  8:59 pm	9:00 to  9:59 pm	10:00 to  overrun	8 PM rating (est.)	9 PM rating (est.)	10 PM rating (est.)	total rating	avg viewers (in M)
11/11/13	RAW	3,867,000	3,834,000	3,603,000	2.80	2.77	2.60	2.73	3.77M
11/04/13	RAW	4,069,000	3,951,000	3,643,000	2.87	2.79	2.57	2.75	3.88M
10/28/13	RAW	4,315,000	4,185,000	3,965,000	3.09	3.00	2.84	2.98	4.15M
10/21/13	RAW	3,914,000	3,802,000	3,759,000	2.77	2.69	2.66	2.71	3.82M
10/14/13	RAW	4,114,000	4,146,000	3,716,000	2.96	2.99	2.68	2.88	3.99M
10/07/13	RAW	3,694,000	3,685,000	3,739,000	2.63	2.63	2.67	2.65	3.71M
09/30/13	RAW	3,605,000	3,530,000	3,616,000	2.69	2.64	2.70	2.68	3.58M
09/23/13	RAW	3,603,000	3,795,000	3,820,000	2.70	2.85	2.87	2.81	3.74M
09/16/13	RAW	3,865,000	4,162,000	4,012,000	2.85	3.07	2.96	2.96	4.01M
09/09/13	RAW	3,800,000	3,900,000	3,950,000	2.85	2.92	2.96	2.91	3.88M
09/02/13	RAW	3,690,000	4,146,000	3,974,000	2.66	2.99	2.87	2.85	3.94M
08/26/13	RAW	4,129,000	4,291,000	4,151,000	3.02	3.14	3.04	3.07	4.19M
08/19/13	RAW	4,076,000	4,485,000	4,333,000	3.07	3.37	3.26	3.24	4.30M
08/12/13	RAW	3,743,000	4,273,000	4,317,000	2.67	3.05	3.08	2.95	4.13M
08/05/13	RAW	3,973,000	4,381,000	4,182,000	2.81	3.10	2.96	2.96	4.18M
07/29/13	RAW	3,660,000	3,900,000	3,750,000	2.77	2.95	2.84	2.86	3.77M
07/22/13	RAW	3,922,000	4,162,000	3,933,000	2.89	3.06	2.90	2.95	4.00M
07/15/13	RAW	3,926,000	4,108,000	4,268,000	2.91	3.04	3.16	3.05	4.11M
07/08/13	RAW	3,790,000	4,308,000	4,403,000	2.80	3.18	3.25	3.09	4.18M
07/01/13	RAW	3,720,000	4,135,000	4,012,000	2.71	3.01	2.92	2.89	3.96M
06/24/13	RAW	3,743,000	4,287,000	3,910,000	2.71	3.11	2.83	2.89	3.98M
06/17/13	RAW	4,154,000	4,027,000	4,263,000	3.05	2.95	3.13	3.05	4.15M
06/10/13	RAW	3,893,000	4,085,000	3,992,000	2.97	3.12	3.05	3.05	3.99M
06/03/13	RAW	3,620,000	3,620,000	3,800,000	2.60	2.60	2.73	2.65	3.68M
05/27/13	RAW	3,993,000	3,950,000	3,891,000	2.83	2.80	2.76	2.80	3.94M
05/20/13	RAW	4,080,000	4,300,000	4,310,000	2.86	3.01	3.02	2.97	4.23M
05/13/13	RAW	3,790,000	4,100,000	4,250,000	2.71	2.93	3.04	2.91	4.06M
05/06/13	RAW	3,970,000	3,870,000	3,910,000	2.92	2.85	2.88	2.89	3.92M
04/29/13	RAW	4,287,000	4,311,000	4,257,000	3.06	3.08	3.04	3.06	4.28M
04/22/13	RAW	4,190,000	4,650,000	4,360,000	2.98	3.30	3.10	3.13	4.40M
04/15/13	RAW	4,185,000	4,236,000	4,026,000	3.10	3.14	2.98	3.07	4.14M
04/08/13	RAW	4,490,000	4,780,000	4,560,000	3.34	3.55	3.39	3.43	4.61M
04/01/13	RAW	4,030,000	4,480,000	4,400,000	2.89	3.22	3.16	3.10	4.31M
03/25/13	RAW	4,580,000	4,690,000	4,580,000	3.18	3.26	3.18	3.21	4.61M
03/18/13	RAW	4,252,000	4,415,000	4,114,000	3.08	3.19	2.98	3.08	4.25M
03/11/13	RAW	4,980,000	4,890,000	4,570,000	3.47	3.40	3.18	3.34	4.79M
03/04/13	RAW	4,968,000	5,239,000	4,847,000	3.49	3.68	3.40	3.52	5.01M
02/25/13	RAW	4,860,000	4,700,000	4,560,000	3.54	3.43	3.32	3.43	4.70M
02/18/13	RAW	4,818,000	4,674,000	4,493,000	3.39	3.28	3.16	3.28	4.66M
02/11/13	RAW	4,350,000	4,250,000	4,180,000	3.22	3.15	3.09	3.15	4.25M
02/04/13	RAW	4,863,000	4,857,000	4,711,000	3.58	3.58	3.47	3.54	4.80M
01/28/13	RAW	4,860,000	5,270,000	4,930,000	3.56	3.86	3.61	3.67	5.01M
01/21/13	RAW	4,370,000	4,419,000	4,162,000	3.06	3.09	2.91	3.03	4.32M
01/14/13	RAW	4,500,000	4,680,000	4,470,000	3.16	3.28	3.14	3.19	4.54M
01/07/13	RAW	4,290,000	4,320,000	4,650,000	3.04	3.06	3.29	3.15	4.44M
12/31/12	RAW	3,397,000	3,644,000	3,614,000	2.22	2.38	2.36	2.32	3.55M
12/24/12	RAW	2,940,000	3,271,000	3,219,000	2.09	2.32	2.28	2.24	3.15M
12/17/12	RAW	4,290,000	4,410,000	3,990,000	2.91	2.99	2.71	2.87	4.22M
12/10/12	RAW	3,743,000	3,876,000	3,672,000	2.65	2.75	2.60	2.67	3.76M
12/03/12	RAW	3,580,000	3,370,000	3,360,000	2.66	2.50	2.49	2.55	3.43M
11/26/12	RAW	4,147,000	4,126,000	3,488,000	2.89	2.88	2.43	2.73	3.91M
11/19/12	RAW	3,873,000	3,923,000	3,710,000	2.76	2.79	2.64	2.73	3.83M
11/12/12	RAW	4,150,000	4,390,000	4,030,000	2.84	3.00	2.76	2.87	4.19M

Harrington's Audio Extravaganza (3 shows - over five hours)

It's been an audacious week for wrestling audio from me, the maven of moderately interesting wrestling statistics Mr. Mookieghana (Chris Harrington).

I was on three very different podcasts recently and I really appreciate all the hosts reaching out and inviting me on so I could blither and blather.  Thanks!

  

• 11/9/2013 Good Will Wrestling – WWE TV Network Roundtable

2 hours: Will (Goodhelmet) is joined by Chris Harrington (indeedwrestling.com), David Bixenspan (bleacherreport.com), Keith Harris (cagesideseats.com) and his buddy (and wise historian) Kris Zellner to discuss the upcoming WWE Network. The panel looks back on WWE’s history of television deals, the obstacles and advantages a new network would create, and we come up with some possible programming ideas. An insightful and fun two hours!!!!

DIRECT LINK TO MP3: https://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/119350334/download?client_id=0f8fdbbaa21a9bd18210986a7dc2d72c

• 11/12/2013 Slam Zone Wrestling - WWE TV Rights & Network Analysis

40 minutes: This week, we take a break from the usual RAW Recap show to provide you with an exclusive interview with business guy, Chris Harrington! He joined the show this week to discuss the following topics:

-WWE's TV rights fees DOUBLING and how it is going to change the business.

-The state of Monday Night RAW as a weekly 3 hour television program

-Topic of the week: The WWE Network - Will it succeed? Will it fail? Is it worth it?

Listen as special guest Chris Harrington provides you with information you won't get anywhere else, he'll crunch the numbers and analyze the data to almost answer the question once and for all - will the WWE Network fail?

DIRECT LINK TO MP3: http://recordings.talkshoe.com/TC-128263/TS-802986.mp3

• 11/15/2013 Voices of Wrestling - WON HOF with first time voters

2.5 hours: We (@voiceswrestling) are back with a monster podcast talking all things Wrestling Observer Hall of Fame with wrestling statistician Chris “@mookieghana” Harrington, Joe Lanza (@joemlanza) and Rich Kraetsch (@richkraetsch). Joe and Chris were both first-time voters so they discuss how they received votes (black magic!), their voting process (casting of bones) and, of course, who they voted for and why (substantial bribes). We also discuss the biggest snubs of the year and preview next year’s class.

DIRECT LINK TO MP3: http://traffic.libsyn.com/voicesofwrestling/61-HOFMookie.mp3

I had a lot of fun going on each show and each of the hosts and other panelists had really insightful thoughts. I highly encourage everyone to check out these fine podcasts and support their endeavors. You'll hear some of the same talking points from me on each show and I probably use the same lame jokes and hedging techniques. 

All the best.  @mookieghana / chris.harrington@gmail.com

Wrestling Observer Awards and Wrestling Observer HOF - exploring connections

This year's Wrestling Observer Hall of Fame inductions brought Henri Deglane, Dr. Wagner Sr., Atlantis, Kensuke Sasaki, Hiroshi Tanahashi and All Japan Women's Pro Wrestling promoters Takeshi Matsunaga and his brothers into the elite ethereal HOF.

While only one of my picks (Matsunaga) got in, most of my picks (Rock & Roll Express, Brock Lesnar, Dick Murdoch, Edge, Gene Okerlund, Jimmy Hart) finished respectably on the ballot except for Batista who received less than 10% of the vote and is going to be dropped off next year's ballot.

Hiroshi Tanahashi's quick ascension and successful election places an interesting spotlight on other young, modern wrestlers that are soon to join the ballot.  While John Cena was a logical 2012 inductee (top star in the world's largest and most successful modern pro-wrestling company for many consecutive years), upcoming candidates for future years will include CM Punk, Daniel Bryan (f.k.a. American Dragon/Bryan Danielson) and possibly Mistico (currently Sin Cara in WWE).

As voters try to examine the record of these wrestlers considering factors such as drawing power, working ability and promo skills, one reference source to consider would be the results from the annual Year-End Wrestling Observer Awards (1980-2012).  In theory, many benchmarks for the career of these new HOF candidates could be captured in how they finished in the WO Awards spotlight.

I've been working on aggregating as many of the results (not just winners, but also the runner-ups) for the annual Wrestling Observer Awards since 1980 through 2012 on my pro-wrestling statistics webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/chrisharrington/mookieghana-prowrestlingstatistics/wo_awards_history

While not every single category has been offered every year, there are some important categories which have very rich histories which we can examine:

Top Tier
WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 33 years
TAG TEAM OF THE YEAR: 33 years
BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 32 years
MOST CHARISMATIC: 33 years
MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 27 years
BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 16 years

Mid-Tier
BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 33 years
BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 32 years
BEST BRAWLER: 33 years
ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: 33 years
MOST UNDERRATED: 33 years
MOST IMPROVED: 33 years

BEST GIMMICK: 27 years

BEST HEEL: 17 years
BEST BABYFACE: 17 years
READERS´ FAVORITE WRESTLER: 20 years

Non-Wrestlers
BEST TELEVISION ANNOUNCER: 32 years
BEST NON WRESTLING PERFORMER: 28 years
BEST BOOKER: 27 years
PROMOTER OF THE YEAR: 25 years

BEST COLOR COMMENTATOR: 11 years

Information

Data covered 1980-2012 looking at the top 5 finishes (winner + 4 runner-ups) whenever possible.  Points were awarded as follows: 1st place = 10 points, 2nd place = 4.64 points, 3rd place = 2.78, 4th place = 1.98 and 5th place = 1.58.  This seemingly arbitrary relationship was designed so that each sequential value was the cuberoot of the former place squared (i.e. 2nd place = (10*10)^(1/3) = 4.64).  To the best of my ability names were combined over years (i.e Dustin Rhodes = Goldust = Black Reign).
TOTAL was calculated as TOP*2 + MID + OTHER.

NAME	TOP	MID	OTHER	TOTAL	HOF?
Ric Flair:	312.1 pts (56 awards)	181.2 pts (31 awards)	7.1 pts (3 awards)	812.5	YES
Steve Austin:	134.7 pts (20 awards)	86 pts (17 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	365.4	YES
Jim Cornette:	69.2 pts (11 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	220 pts (40 awards)	358.4	YES
The Rock:	161.3 pts (27 awards)	34.9 pts (8 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	357.4	YES
Kenta Kobashi:	161.2 pts (30 awards)	27.7 pts (9 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	350.0	YES
Hulk Hogan:	106 pts (19 awards)	105.9 pts (13 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	317.9	YES
Mitsuharu Misawa:	116.7 pts (19 awards)	49.3 pts (11 awards)	27.6 pts (11 awards)	310.4	YES
John Cena:	140.5 pts (24 awards)	16.6 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	297.6	YES
Chris Benoit:	48.3 pts (13 awards)	198 pts (40 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	294.5	YES
Bryan Danielson:	72.8 pts (13 awards)	104.6 pts (16 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	250.1	NO
Jushin Liger:	46 pts (8 awards)	135.9 pts (21 awards)	16.2 pts (3 awards)	244.1	YES
Chris Jericho:	90.7 pts (23 awards)	59.3 pts (14 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	240.7	YES
Mick Foley:	49.1 pts (9 awards)	132.1 pts (20 awards)	5.5 pts (3 awards)	235.7	YES
Paul Heyman:	24.7 pts (9 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	181.8 pts (35 awards)	231.3	YES
Kurt Angle:	70.9 pts (13 awards)	87.7 pts (18 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	229.5	YES
Vince McMahon:	1.6 pts (1 awards)	4.6 pts (1 awards)	220 pts (53 awards)	227.8	YES
Jim Ross:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	186.3 pts (26 awards)	186.3	YES
Shawn Michaels:	68.8 pts (17 awards)	35.6 pts (12 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	173.1	YES
Eddie Guerrero:	74.7 pts (15 awards)	15.3 pts (7 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	164.7	YES
Bobby Eaton:	41 pts (7 awards)	69.1 pts (15 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	151.1	YES
CM Punk:	54.8 pts (14 awards)	32.6 pts (7 awards)	2.8 pts (1 awards)	144.9	NO
Rey Mysterio Jr:	20.6 pts (5 awards)	101.6 pts (16 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	142.7	YES
Riki Choshu:	22.2 pts (5 awards)	6.3 pts (3 awards)	83.7 pts (16 awards)	134.4	YES
Brock Lesnar:	46.8 pts (8 awards)	37.8 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	131.4	NO
Toshiaki Kawada:	59.2 pts (15 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	119.9	YES
Roddy Piper:	43.2 pts (7 awards)	29.1 pts (6 awards)	2.8 pts (1 awards)	118.4	YES
Manami Toyota:	35.8 pts (9 awards)	44.9 pts (14 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	116.6	YES
Sting:	32.7 pts (8 awards)	49.3 pts (11 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	114.6	NO
Akira Maeda:	35.3 pts (8 awards)	18.5 pts (7 awards)	25.3 pts (7 awards)	114.5	YES
Giant Baba:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	111.4 pts (19 awards)	111.4	YES
Hiroshi Tanahashi:	53.4 pts (10 awards)	4 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	110.8	YES
Great Muta:	36.9 pts (14 awards)	29.9 pts (7 awards)	4 pts (2 awards)	107.7	YES
Mistico:	39.2 pts (9 awards)	29 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	107.3	NO
Atsushi Onita:	26.7 pts (5 awards)	46.1 pts (9 awards)	2 pts (1 awards)	101.5	YES
Terry Gordy:	36.7 pts (7 awards)	26.5 pts (7 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	100.0	YES
Bob Sapp:	43.9 pts (6 awards)	11.6 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	99.4	NO
Dana White:	4 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	84.6 pts (9 awards)	92.6	NO
Edge:	39 pts (11 awards)	13.6 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	91.6	NO
Ted DiBiase:	12.7 pts (6 awards)	63.7 pts (14 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	90.6	YES
Jerry Lawler:	17.6 pts (6 awards)	11.3 pts (5 awards)	41.2 pts (10 awards)	87.7	YES
Bruiser Brody:	2.8 pts (1 awards)	82.1 pts (10 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	87.6	YES
Samoa Joe:	23.4 pts (6 awards)	39.9 pts (8 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	86.6	NO
Shinjiro Otani:	26.9 pts (8 awards)	28.1 pts (8 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	81.9	NO
Jun Akiyama:	33.6 pts (5 awards)	14.4 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	81.5	NO
Mike Tenay:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	77.7 pts (13 awards)	77.7	NO
Michael Hayes:	19.5 pts (6 awards)	20 pts (2 awards)	18.7 pts (6 awards)	77.7	YES
Kenta:	35.6 pts (7 awards)	6.3 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	77.6	NO
Road Warrior Hawk:	30.3 pts (7 awards)	15.9 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	76.5	YES
The Undertaker:	3.6 pts (2 awards)	68.3 pts (10 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	75.4	YES
Vader:	15.9 pts (4 awards)	43.5 pts (11 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	75.4	YES
Terry Funk:	16.7 pts (4 awards)	40.8 pts (10 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	74.2	YES
Davey Richards:	29.3 pts (4 awards)	14.8 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	73.4	NO
Road Warrior Animal:	28.7 pts (6 awards)	15.9 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	73.3	YES
Stan Hansen:	12.8 pts (2 awards)	46.6 pts (11 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	72.2	YES
Naomichi Marufuji:	32.2 pts (7 awards)	7.5 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	71.8	NO
Bobby Heenan:	2 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	67.1 pts (14 awards)	71.0	YES
Steve Williams:	15.5 pts (4 awards)	36.3 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	67.4	YES
Tatsumi Fujinami:	17.4 pts (3 awards)	32 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	66.8	YES
Owen Hart:	9.3 pts (2 awards)	47.7 pts (10 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	66.3	NO
The Miz:	19.4 pts (4 awards)	26.6 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	65.4	NO
Dynamite Kid:	11.6 pts (2 awards)	42.1 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	65.2	YES
Rick Steiner:	20.2 pts (5 awards)	24.6 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	65.0	NO
Triple H:	21 pts (5 awards)	22.6 pts (7 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	64.6	YES
Bret Hart:	17.2 pts (6 awards)	29.8 pts (10 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	64.2	YES
Jimmy Snuka:	17.5 pts (5 awards)	25.5 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	60.5	NO
Gabe Sapolsky:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	60.4 pts (11 awards)	60.4	NO
Lance Russell:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	58.5 pts (11 awards)	58.5	YES
Brian Pillman:	10 pts (1 awards)	38.5 pts (9 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	58.5	NO
Arn Anderson:	29.2 pts (8 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	58.3	NO
Tiger Mask:	7.5 pts (3 awards)	42.8 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	57.9	YES
Sabu:	11.3 pts (3 awards)	34.9 pts (11 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	57.4	NO
Stan Lane:	26.2 pts (4 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	54.0	YES
Jesse Ventura:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	53.9 pts (7 awards)	53.9	NO
Scott Steiner:	20.2 pts (5 awards)	13.4 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	53.7	NO
Kevin Steen:	11 pts (4 awards)	31.6 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	53.5	NO
Christian:	14.4 pts (3 awards)	23.3 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	52.0	NO
Hiroshi Hase:	7.4 pts (2 awards)	26 pts (6 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	50.9	YES
Joe Silva:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	50.3 pts (9 awards)	50.3	NO
Jay Briscoe:	21.3 pts (6 awards)	6.7 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	49.4	NO
Jeff Hardy:	15.5 pts (4 awards)	18.2 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	49.2	NO
Jimmy Hart:	12.8 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	22.8 pts (3 awards)	48.3	NO
Shelton Benjamin:	6.6 pts (2 awards)	34.8 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	48.0	NO
Mark Briscoe:	21.3 pts (6 awards)	4.8 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	47.5	NO
James Storm:	23.8 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	47.5	NO
Joey Styles:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	47.3 pts (9 awards)	47.3	NO
Santino Marella:	11.3 pts (3 awards)	23.6 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	46.1	NO
Nobuhiko Takada:	9.4 pts (3 awards)	24.1 pts (7 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	44.5	YES
Christopher Daniels:	15.9 pts (4 awards)	12.2 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	44.1	NO
Matt Hardy:	10.9 pts (3 awards)	21.9 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	43.6	NO
Dusty Rhodes:	10 pts (1 awards)	12.8 pts (2 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	42.8	YES
Koji Kanemoto:	17.9 pts (5 awards)	5.1 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	41.0	NO
Juventud Guerrera:	1.6 pts (1 awards)	37.3 pts (9 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	40.5	NO
Art Barr:	10 pts (1 awards)	19.4 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	39.4	NO
Kota Ibushi:	0 pts (0 awards)	39.3 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	39.3	NO
AJ Styles:	5.6 pts (2 awards)	27.5 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	38.6	NO
Shane Douglas:	12.1 pts (3 awards)	14 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	38.2	NO
Perro Aguayo:	10.2 pts (3 awards)	17.4 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	37.8	YES
Gedo:	2.8 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.8 pts (6 awards)	37.3	NO
Yuji Nagata:	11.3 pts (5 awards)	14.3 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	37.0	NO
Jado:	2.8 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	30.2 pts (5 awards)	35.8	NO
Tatsuhito Takaiwa:	12.8 pts (2 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	35.6	NO
Goldberg:	11.4 pts (4 awards)	12.8 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	35.5	NO
Gordon Solie:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	35.1 pts (6 awards)	35.1	YES
John Morrison:	12 pts (2 awards)	11 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	34.9	NO
Homicide:	10 pts (1 awards)	14.8 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	34.8	NO
Chael Sonnen:	17.4 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	34.8	NO
Dean Malenko:	0 pts (0 awards)	34.6 pts (7 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	34.6	NO
GSP:	17.2 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	34.4	NO
Eddie Gilbert:	0 pts (0 awards)	12.8 pts (4 awards)	21 pts (5 awards)	33.8	NO
Chavo Guerrero Sr:	10 pts (1 awards)	13.4 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	33.4	NO
Eric Bischoff:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.9 pts (7 awards)	32.9	NO
Nigel Mcguinness:	5.9 pts (3 awards)	16 pts (5 awards)	4.6 pts (1 awards)	32.5	NO
Prince Devitt:	10.3 pts (5 awards)	11.8 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.4	NO
Chris Harris:	16.2 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.4	NO
Vickie Guerrero:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.1 pts (5 awards)	32.1	NO
Ultimo Guerrero:	16 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.0	NO
Rey Bucanero:	16 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	32.0	NO
Joe Rogan:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.9 pts (7 awards)	31.9	NO
Ultimo Dragon:	0 pts (0 awards)	25.2 pts (6 awards)	6.3 pts (3 awards)	31.6	YES
Ricky Steamboat:	14.4 pts (3 awards)	2.8 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.5	YES
Dragon Kid:	0 pts (0 awards)	31.1 pts (7 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.1	NO
Takeshi Morishima:	1.6 pts (1 awards)	27.9 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.1	NO
Harley Race:	14.8 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	31.1	YES
Kazushi Sakuraba:	15.5 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.1	YES
Evan Bourne:	0 pts (0 awards)	31 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	31.0	NO
Satoshi Kojima:	14.4 pts (3 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	30.3	NO
Chris Sabin:	9.3 pts (2 awards)	11.6 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	30.1	NO
Hernandez:	10 pts (1 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	30.0	NO
Akira Taue:	14.8 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	29.7	NO
Terry Taylor:	0 pts (0 awards)	26.7 pts (5 awards)	2.8 pts (1 awards)	29.5	NO
Dolph Ziggler:	0 pts (0 awards)	29 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	29.0	NO
Alex Shelley:	9.3 pts (2 awards)	10.3 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.9	NO
Tony Schiavone:	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.8 pts (7 awards)	28.8	NO
JBL:	4 pts (2 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	10.9 pts (3 awards)	28.8	NO
Brad Armstrong:	0 pts (0 awards)	28.7 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.7	NO
Buzz Sawyer:	0 pts (0 awards)	28.7 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.7	NO
Marty Jannetty:	14.4 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.7	NO
Perro Aguayo Jr:	9.1 pts (4 awards)	10 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	28.2	NO
Marc Mero:	0 pts (0 awards)	27.8 pts (5 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	27.8	NO
Dan Kroffat:	7.8 pts (3 awards)	11.6 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	27.2	NO
Jumbo Tsuruta:	12.8 pts (2 awards)	1.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	27.1	YES
Kazuchika Okada:	7.4 pts (2 awards)	12 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	26.8	NO
Larry Zbyszko:	0 pts (0 awards)	22 pts (3 awards)	4.8 pts (2 awards)	26.7	NO
Necro Butcher:	0 pts (0 awards)	26.7 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	26.7	NO
Chigusa Nagayo:	7.1 pts (4 awards)	6.2 pts (2 awards)	5.9 pts (3 awards)	26.4	YES
Genichiro Tenryu:	10.3 pts (6 awards)	4.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	25.2	YES
Captain Lou Albano:	10 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	4.6 pts (1 awards)	24.6	YES
Antonio Cesaro:	10 pts (1 awards)	4.6 pts (1 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	24.6	NO
RVD:	3.6 pts (2 awards)	17.2 pts (6 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	24.3	NO
Tito Ortiz:	12.1 pts (3 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	24.1	NO
Dustin Rhodes:	0 pts (0 awards)	24 pts (4 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	24.0	NO
Dennis Condrey:	12 pts (2 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	0 pts (0 awards)	24.0	YES

Note, this list contains some MMA personalities either because of cross-over to pro-wrestling, joint categories (such as biggest draw, best on interviews or best promoters) or related to years when pro-wrestling and MMA were not split.

Observations:

* Some members of the HOF had their peak years outside of the context of these awards, so it's not surprising to see them fare poorly on this list.

* Voters seem more likely to reward strong performances by North American territories than Mexican or Japanese companies.  (For instance, HOF member Aja Kong only has two appearances on this list: 1990's #5 Best Brawler and 1991's #4 Best Heel where non-HOF member The Miz finished in the top five for most improved three times, most charismatic once, best on interviews once, best gimmick once and twice among the tag team of the year contenders.)

* One element stressed in HOF eligibility is demonstrating value over a longer period time (as opposed to single short, hot period).  It may be important to balance both total points with years achieving top status.

UNIQUE YEARS APPEARING WITHIN EACH CATEGORY OF AWARDS

NAME	TOP	MID	OTHER	HOF?
Ric Flair	21	16	3	YES
Hulk Hogan	14	12	0	YES
Kenta Kobashi	13	8	0	YES
Toshiaki Kawada	12	1	0	YES
Jim Cornette	11	0	24	YES
Chris Jericho	11	8	0	YES
Chris Benoit	10	19	0	YES
Mitsuharu Misawa	10	10	7	YES
John Cena	10	2	0	YES
Paul Heyman	9	0	21	YES
Shawn Michaels	9	7	0	YES
The Rock	9	5	0	YES
Bryan Danielson	8	12	0	NO
Sting	8	9	0	NO
Arn Anderson	8	0	0	NO
Mick Foley	7	10	3	YES
Steve Austin	7	9	1	YES
CM Punk	7	7	1	NO
Terry Gordy	7	7	0	YES
Great Muta	7	6	1	YES
Jerry Lawler	6	5	10	YES
Mistico	6	5	0	NO
Eddie Guerrero	6	5	0	YES
Naomichi Marufuji	6	4	0	NO
Edge	6	3	0	NO
Kenta	6	2	0	NO
James Storm	6	0	0	NO
Kurt Angle	5	11	0	YES
Jushin Liger	5	7	3	YES
Atsushi Onita	5	6	1	YES
Shinjiro Otani	5	5	0	NO
Akira Maeda	5	4	4	YES
Brock Lesnar	5	4	0	NO
Scott Steiner	5	3	0	NO
Road Warrior Hawk	5	3	0	YES
Rick Steiner	5	2	0	NO
Jay Briscoe	5	2	0	NO
Jun Akiyama	5	2	0	NO
Genichiro Tenryu	5	1	0	YES
Mark Briscoe	5	1	0	NO
Ultimo Guerrero	5	0	0	NO
Rey Bucanero	5	0	0	NO
GSP	5	0	0	NO
Rey Mysterio Jr	4	13	0	YES
Bret Hart	4	8	0	YES
Bobby Eaton	4	8	0	YES
Steve Williams	4	6	0	YES
Manami Toyota	4	6	0	YES
Roddy Piper	4	5	1	YES
Michael Hayes	4	2	6	YES
Jeff Hardy	4	3	0	NO
Road Warrior Animal	4	3	0	YES
Koji Kanemoto	4	3	0	NO
Kevin Steen	4	3	0	NO
Hiroshi Tanahashi	4	2	0	YES
Stan Lane	4	1	0	YES
El Generico	4	1	0	NO
Akira Taue	4	0	0	NO
Ted DiBiase	3	7	1	YES
Riki Choshu	3	2	11	YES
Yuji Nagata	3	6	0	NO
Samoa Joe	3	6	0	NO
Christian	3	5	0	NO
Matt Hardy	3	5	0	NO
Christopher Daniels	3	4	0	NO
Davey Richards	3	4	0	NO
The Miz	3	4	0	NO
Perro Aguayo	3	3	0	YES
Jimmy Snuka	3	3	0	NO
Shane Douglas	3	3	0	NO
Prince Devitt	3	3	0	NO
Naoya Ogawa	3	1	0	NO
Bob Sapp	3	1	0	NO
Dan Kroffat	3	1	0	NO
Doug Furnas	3	1	0	NO
Harley Race	3	0	1	YES
Chael Sonnen	3	0	0	NO
Tom Prichard	3	0	0	NO
Chris Harris	3	0	0	NO
Bobby Roode	3	0	0	NO
Matt Jackson	3	0	0	NO
Marty Jannetty	3	0	0	NO
Kazushi Sakuraba	3	0	0	YES
Quinton Jackson	3	0	0	NO
Nick Jackson	3	0	0	NO
Stan Hansen	2	10	0	YES
The Undertaker	2	8	0	YES
Vader	2	6	0	YES
AJ Styles	2	6	0	NO
Terry Funk	2	6	0	YES
Owen Hart	2	5	0	NO
Sabu	2	5	0	NO
Shelton Benjamin	2	5	0	NO
Alex Shelley	2	5	0	NO
Dana White	2	0	9	NO
Randy Savage	2	4	1	YES
Nobuhiko Takada	2	4	1	YES
Nigel Mcguinness	2	4	1	NO
Jake Roberts	2	4	0	NO
Tatsumi Fujinami	2	4	0	YES
Santino Marella	2	4	0	NO
Randy Orton	2	3	0	NO
RVD	2	3	0	NO
Dynamite Kid	2	3	0	YES
John Morrison	2	3	0	NO
JBL	2	1	3	NO
Chigusa Nagayo	2	2	2	YES
Johnny Grunge	2	2	0	NO
Rocco Rock	2	2	0	NO
Chris Sabin	2	2	0	NO
Bubba Ray Dudley	2	2	0	NO
Ultimate Warrior	2	2	0	NO
Tiger Mask	2	2	0	YES
Jimmy Hart	2	0	3	NO
Perro Aguayo Jr	2	1	0	NO
Ryusuke Taguchi	2	1	0	NO
Naruki Doi	2	1	0	NO
Kensuke Sasaki	2	1	0	YES
Samson Fuyuki	2	1	0	NO
Satoshi Kojima	2	1	0	NO
Takao Omori	2	1	0	NO
Goldberg	2	1	0	NO
Ricky Steamboat	2	1	0	YES
Jumbo Tsuruta	2	1	0	YES
Tatsuhito Takaiwa	2	1	0	NO
Mirko Cro Cop	2	0	0	NO
Anderson Silva	2	0	0	NO
Cibernetico	2	0	0	NO
Ole Anderson	2	0	0	NO
D-Von Dudley	2	0	0	NO
Jimmy Del Ray	2	0	0	NO
Davey Boy Smith	2	0	0	NO
Wanderlei Silva	2	0	0	NO
Masato Yoshino	2	0	0	NO
Sid Justice	2	0	0	NO
Ashura Hara	2	0	0	NO
Tully Blanchard	2	0	0	NO
John Laurinaitis	2	0	0	NO
Yamato	2	0	0	NO
Dennis Condrey	2	0	0	YES
Mima Shimoda	2	0	0	NO
Toshiyo Yamada	2	0	0	NO
Randy Couture	2	0	0	NO
Etsuko Mita	2	0	0	NO
Vince McMahon	1	1	25	YES
Bruiser Brody	1	8	0	YES
Juventud Guerrera	1	7	0	NO
Brian Pillman	1	7	0	NO
Bobby Heenan	1	0	11	YES
Masato Tanaka	1	6	0	NO

It's possible to take all of this information (years in each category, points in each category, total awards) and run a regression on wrestlers where the y-variable is whether a wrestler is currently in the HOF.

Looking at the top 450 wrestlers among these metrics, the sample has 83 WO Hall of Famers.

The prediction equation is compared against all of the wrestlers.

HOF wrestlers have a median prediction score of 0.33 and an average of 0.43 (25th quartile is 0.16 while 75th quartile is 0.58).  Non-HOF wrestlers have a median prediction score of 0.10 and an average of 0.13 (25th quartile is 0.05 and 75th quartile is 0.16).

There are 18 non-HOF candidates who have prediction score over 0.33 (which was both the median for the HOF wrestlers as well as equal to twice the average of non-HOF plus two standard deviations).

Non-HOF People with Prediction Scores above 0.33

Those strongest candidates are wrestlers Bryan Danielson (0.76), CM Punk (0.61), Sting (0.60), Shinjiro Otani (0.45), Edge (0.42), Mistico (0.41), Samoa Joe (0.38), Sabu (0.37), Brock Lesnar (0.37), Naomichi Marufuji (0.35), William Regal (0.33), Yuji Nagata (0.33), Owen Hart (0.33), and Eddie Gilbert (0.33) whose awards were split between five Best Booker nominations (including one win in 1988) and best heel/brawler/most underrated nods. The non-wrestlers Mike Tenay (WCW/TNA announcer, 0.44), Dana White (UFC promoter, 0.35), Joe Silva (UFC booker, 0.35) and Gabe Sapolsky (ROH/DGUSA booker, 0.38).

Some of these people are already on the ballot (Sting, Brock Lesnar, Yuji Nagata, Owen Hart, Edge).  Others will be eligible in upcoming years (Bryan Danielson, CM Punk, Mistico).  Sabu was eliminated from the ballot in 2010, a fate that originally happened in Sting in 1998 (prior to his return to the ballot following the end of WCW and his in-ring return with TNA).  At this time, it's unlikely that Otani, Samoa Joe, William Regal or Eddie Gilbert will be added to the ballot soon.

As for current HOF wrestlers who have been inducted but have prediction scores 0.33, they were an eclectic mix.

HOF Wrestlers with Prediction Scores under 0.33

Joshi legends: Aja Kong, Akira Hokuto, Bull Nakano, Chigusa Nagayo, Dump Matsumoto

Bookers/Promoters: Antonio Pena, Bill Watts, Paco Alonso, Pat Patterson

Managers:  Captain Lou Albano

Former Champions: Bob Backlund, Harley Race, Dusty Rhodes, Antonio Inoki, Nick Bockwinkel

Announcers:  Dr Alfonso Morales, Gordon Solie

Iconic tag teams:  Midnight Express (Dennis Condrey, Stan Lane), Road Warriors (Road Warrior Hawk & Road Warrior Animal) and Buddy Roberts (from the Freebirds)

Japanese Stars: Genichiro Tenryu, Hiroshi Hase, Jumbo Tsuruta, Masa Saito, Shinya Hashimoto, Tatsumi Fujinami, Tiger Mask, Masa Chono

Mexican Legends: Dos Caras, Perro Aguayo

80s Stars: Randy Savage, Ricky Steamboat, Dynamite Kid

Remaining Characters

2005 induction: Triple H (0.29) = continues to play major storyline (and real backstage) role in WWE along with occasional big match wrestler

2004 induction: Ultimo Dragon (0.28) = induction included his legacy as a trainer (Torymon)

2013 induction: Hiroshi Tanahashi (0.28) = after a huge year in NJPW, his score may dramatically rise when 2013 results are included

2013 induction: Kensuke Sasaki (0.12) = has held IWGP, GHC and AJPW Triple Crown titles; at age 47, continues to wrestle for various groups in Japan

2004 induction: Kazushi Sakuraba (0.14) = the famed "Gracie Hunter" prominently achieved MMA success (especially in Pride) alongisde his Japanese pro-wrestling

2009 induction: Konnan (0.15) = continues to have a major role in running AAA along; inducted for legacy of his major success in mid-90s Mexico

My takeaway from this is the three people who seem to be strongest future candidates are:

BRYAN DANIELSON

MOST UNDERRATED: 5. American Dragon [2001]

READERS´ FAVORITE WRESTLER: 5. American Dragon [2002]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 4. Bryan Danielson [2003]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 2. Bryan Danielson (253) 1838 [2004]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 3. Bryan Danielson (52) 617 [2004]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. Bryan Danielson (321) 2,240 [2005]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (401) 2,646 [2006]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (593) 3,266 [2006]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 4. Bryan Danielson (83) 947 [2006]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 1. Bryan Danielson (434) - 2,646 [2007]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. Bryan Danielson (529) - 2,928 [2007]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 2. Bryan Danielson (77) - 928 [2007]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (325) 2,042  [2008]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (582) 3,231  [2008]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (218) 1,838 [2009]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. BRYAN DANIELSON (401) 2,478 [2009]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 1. DANIEL BRYAN (269) 2,037 [2010]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. DANIEL BRYAN (370)2,765 [2010]

BEST GIMMICK: 2. Nexus 79 [2010]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. DANIEL BRYAN (263) 1,829 [2011]

MOST UNDERRATED: 2. Daniel Bryan (112) 840 [2011]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 3. Daniel Bryan (104) 948 [2011]

BEST TECHNICAL WRESTLER: 1. DANIEL BRYAN (391) 2,513 [2012]

TAG TEAM OF THE YEAR: 2. Kane & Daniel Bryan (124) 1,219 [2012]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 3. Daniel Bryan (153) 1,273 [2012]

MOST UNDERRATED: 3. Daniel Bryan (56) 357 [2012]

BEST GIMMICK: 3. Daniel Bryan Yes/No 111 [2012]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 5. Daniel Bryan (5) 204 [2012]

MOST CHARISMATIC: 5. Daniel Bryan (67) 539 [2012]

CM PUNK

BEST GIMMICK: 2. CM Punk [2003]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 5. CM Punk [2003]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 5. C.M. Punk (43) 619 [2004]

BEST GIMMICK: 5. C.M. Punk straight edge 44 [2004]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 2. CM Punk (82) 830 [2005]

BEST GIMMICK: 4. C.M. Punk 39 [2006]

BEST GIMMICK: 1. C.M. PUNK STRAIGHT EDGE SOCIETY 287 [2009]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 2. C.M. Punk (205) 1,836 [2009]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 4. C.M. Punk (53) 714 [2009]

BEST TELEVISION ANNOUNCER: 3. C.M. Punk (59)525 [2010]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 3. C.M. Punk (85)920 [2010]

BEST GIMMICK: 3. C.M. Punk Straight Edge Society 47 [2010]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 1. C.M. PUNK (338) 2,594 [2011]

BEST GIMMICK: 1. C.M. PUNK 160 [2011]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 2. C.M. Punk (248) 2,102 [2011]

MOST CHARISMATIC: 3. C.M. Punk (81) 978 [2011]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 4. C.M. Punk (2) 273 [2011]

BEST ON INTERVIEWS: 1. C.M. PUNK (365) 2,668 [2012]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 2. C.M. Punk (294) 2,325 [2012]

MOST CHARISMATIC: 4. C.M. Punk (107) 1,032 [2012]

MOST OUTSTANDING WRESTLER: 5. C.M. Punk (34) 469 [2012]

BEST GIMMICK: 5. C.M. Punk all year as champion 58 [2012]

MISTICO

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 2. Mistico (106) 1,303 [2005]

BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 2. Mistico (310) 2,420 [2005]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 4. Mistico (62) 795 [2005]

WRESTLER OF THE YEAR: 1. MISTICO (220) 2,245 [2006]

BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 1. MISTICO (346) 2,957 [2006]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 1. MISTICO (377) 3,112 [2006]

MOST CHARISMATIC: 5. Mistico (7) 611 [2006]

BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 1. Mistico (162) - 1,394 [2007]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 3. Mistico (133) - 1,603 [2007]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 2. Mistico (118) 1,525  [2008]

BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 3. Mistico (115) 1,510  [2008]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 5. Mistico (16) 227 [2009]

BEST FLYING WRESTLER: 5. Mistico (41) 502 [2009]

BEST BOX OFFICE DRAW: 4. Mistico (3)348 [2010]

In terms of stock, certainly Bryan Danielson has had a stronger year, though he looks to be receiving a recent "de-push" following the release of disappointing SummerSlam PPV numbers and inability to defeat Randy Orton for the title.  Similarly, CM Punk has moved from being part of the top title picture to an extended feud with former manager Paul Heyman to a program working alongside Daniel Bryan against the Wyatt Family.  Mistico, a strong Mexico candidate, has languished in WWE as Sin Cara through his combination of injuries, suspension and disinterest or distrust (for perceived attitude problems) from the company to make him a major player.

All Analysis by Chris Harrington (chris.harrington@gmail.com)