Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Stephanie McMahon & George Barrios present at the Needham Growth Conference (1/13/15)

STAMFORD, Conn., January 9, 2015 – WWE (NYSE:WWE) announced that its Chief Brand Officer, Stephanie McMahon, and Chief Strategy & Financial Officer, George A. Barrios, will participate in a presentation at the 17th Annual Needham Growth Conference for investors in New York City on Tuesday, January 13, 2015.
A live audio webcast will be available online at ir.corporate.wwe.com under Events & Presentations. Ms. McMahon’s and Mr. Barrios’ remarks are expected to begin at approximately at 5:30 p.m. ET. A replay of the presentation will be available after the actual event time and will be available for 90 days following the conference.

Link to the webcast (you've got to sign up): http://wsw.com/webcast/needham69/wwe
Link to the January 2015 version of the Investor's Presentation: http://www.snl.com/irweblinkx/file.aspx?iid=4121687&fid=1500066827



Needham is also home to Laura Martin who famously predicted that WWE would be trading at $30+ "over the next year" (it's been below $15 since May) and published a crazy optimistic analysis of the WWE Network which I dissected in depth.


Things that I would wonder about:

- What about the new Home Entertainment deal with Warner Bros? The relationship with Cinedigm got pretty ugly towards the end. Are there some new opportunities here - particularly with print-on-demand?
- What about rumors of the merchandise licensing deal with Tapout? This has the potential for a large infusion of sponsorship money for both the wrestlers and the company.
- What exactly is the strategy for penetrating the Chinese market? It's a fun thing to wave out there for investors, but realistically, what is WWE doing?
- Can they elaborate on the growth expectations for India and timing for the return to live event tour in that country? The media rights in that company are surprisingly lucrative, and what's the next step in WWE's plans? Does it include having any Superstars of Indian-background since both Great Khali and Jinder Mahal left the company last year?
- How are they going to "monetize" their social media presence?
- We've been promised a turn-around for the WWE film business since 2012. How is that going? Is it really worth supporting this initiative along with the WWE Network costs? How does the new deal with WB play into this?
- Will there be a revamping of the international business model - particularly among WWE Live Events which have had stagnant attendance trends for years despite running less & less int'l events? Will there be a New Live Events strategy now that Talty has left WWE?

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Mookieghana Japan 400 for 2014

Inspired by the Dr. Keith Christmas Puroresu Draft project with ELEGANT ELOCUTIONIST OF CATCH-AS-CATCH-CAN SHENANIGANS Alan4L, PREMIERE PONTIFICATE OF PROFESSIONAL WRESTLING Joe Gagne, RHETORICIAN OF WRESTLING RECONNAISSANCE Rich Kraetsch and THE GURU OF GRAPPLING Joe Lanza, I took a look at 2014 Japanese Stats.

I looked at results covering Dragon Gate, New Japan Pro Wrestling, Big Japan Pro-Wrestling, Pro Wrestling NOAH, Dramatic Dream Team, All Japan Pro Wrestling, Osaka Pro Wrestling, Kaientai Dojo, WRESTLE-1, Pro Wrestling ZERO1, Pro Wrestling FREEDOMS and Michinoku Pro Wrestling results.

I calculated ELO results for the matches using a base of 1600 and a k-factor of 32 for each match (equally weighted).  The ranking was based on total matches, highest peak ELO, final ELO ranking, winning percentage, number of overall wins, median rankings and lowest standard deviation among the ranking factors.

Here is the MOOKIEGHANA JAPAN RANKINGS FOR 2014.

Clearly, these rankings are completely infallible.  

TOP 400

1 Yuko Miyamoto: 117 matches (84-31-2) = 73% win; peak: 1851 on 12/21/14 -- 1835 end ELO
2 Kenou: 104 matches (75-24-5) = 76% win; peak: 1853 on 12/11/14 -- 1826 end ELO
3 Daisuke Sekimoto: 129 matches (84-41-4) = 67% win; peak: 1850 on 10/26/14 -- 1721 end ELO
4 Kohei Sato: 115 matches (80-31-4) = 72% win; peak: 1832 on 12/20/14 -- 1816 end ELO
5 Shigehiro Irie: 114 matches (74-37-3) = 67% win; peak: 1958 on 12/23/14 -- 1958 end ELO
6 Satoshi Kojima: 101 matches (74-26-1) = 74% win; peak: 1932 on 12/20/14 -- 1905 end ELO
7 Flamita: 98 matches (66-32) = 67% win; peak: 1786 on 11/16/14 -- 1700 end ELO
8 Jun Akiyama: 102 matches (69-32-1) = 68% win; peak: 1743 on 12/9/14 -- 1708 end ELO
9 Yuji Hino: 93 matches (63-26-4) = 71% win; peak: 1634 on 1/27/14 -- 1592 end ELO
10 Cyber Kong: 127 matches (76-50-1) = 60% win; peak: 1701 on 11/16/14 -- 1542 end ELO
11 Masakatsu Funaki: 86 matches (62-21-3) = 75% win; peak: 1817 on 9/5/14 -- 1739 end ELO
12 Takashi Sugiura: 99 matches (62-36-1) = 63% win; peak: 1719 on 7/19/14 -- 1682 end ELO
13 El Desperado: 98 matches (65-33) = 66% win; peak: 1746 on 10/27/14 -- 1714 end ELO
14 Hiroyoshi Tenzan: 91 matches (65-26) = 71% win; peak: 1806 on 7/19/14 -- 1747 end ELO
15 Takoyakida: 79 matches (50-29) = 63% win; peak: 1840 on 5/25/14 -- 1534 end ELO
16 Takeshi Morishima: 86 matches (53-29-4) = 65% win; peak: 1966 on 11/2/14 -- 1856 end ELO
17 Kazuaki Mihara: 74 matches (57-17) = 77% win; peak: 1616 on 1/25/14 -- 1492 end ELO
18 Kota Ibushi: 93 matches (62-29-2) = 68% win; peak: 1657 on 12/24/14 -- 1657 end ELO
19 Isami Kodaka: 116 matches (83-30-3) = 73% win; peak: 1884 on 12/21/14 -- 1868 end ELO
20 Ultimo Dragon: 77 matches (49-26-2) = 65% win; peak: 1774 on 12/14/14 -- 1763 end ELO
21 Masato Tanaka: 97 matches (62-30-5) = 67% win; peak: 1710 on 2/2/14 -- 1566 end ELO
22 Shingo Takagi: 156 matches (116-40) = 74% win; peak: 1842 on 11/4/14 -- 1667 end ELO
23 Keisuke Ishii: 115 matches (69-44-2) = 61% win; peak: 1874 on 12/24/14 -- 1874 end ELO
24 Ryuji Ito: 108 matches (63-44-1) = 59% win; peak: 1677 on 9/23/14 -- 1628 end ELO
25 HARASHIMA: 86 matches (54-31-1) = 64% win; peak: 1682 on 12/23/14 -- 1666 end ELO
26 Tsutomu Oosugi: 73 matches (49-24) = 67% win; peak: 1883 on 12/23/14 -- 1883 end ELO
27 Kento Miyahara: 95 matches (54-37-4) = 59% win; peak: 1789 on 10/19/14 -- 1688 end ELO
28 Saburo Inematsu: 85 matches (56-28-1) = 67% win; peak: 1951 on 12/21/14 -- 1933 end ELO
29 KUDO: 80 matches (54-26) = 68% win; peak: 1869 on 8/2/14 -- 1768 end ELO
30 Mikey Nicholls: 89 matches (54-35) = 61% win; peak: 1692 on 4/22/14 -- 1557 end ELO
31 Eita: 114 matches (70-39-5) = 64% win; peak: 1870 on 10/27/14 -- 1694 end ELO
32 Masashi Takeda: 81 matches (50-30-1) = 63% win; peak: 1774 on 4/28/14 -- 1621 end ELO
33 Karl Anderson: 100 matches (66-34) = 66% win; peak: 1814 on 9/23/14 -- 1759 end ELO
34 Kotaro Suzuki: 97 matches (57-38-2) = 60% win; peak: 1826 on 12/19/14 -- 1806 end ELO
35 Doc Gallows: 99 matches (64-35) = 65% win; peak: 1584 on 1/11/14 -- 1219 end ELO
36 Uhaa Nation: 69 matches (46-23) = 67% win; peak: 1675 on 3/10/14 -- 1581 end ELO
37 Ryota Hama: 78 matches (50-28) = 64% win; peak: 1740 on 6/16/14 -- 1612 end ELO
38 Hercules Senga: 73 matches (48-25) = 66% win; peak: 1808 on 7/28/14 -- 1677 end ELO
39 MIKAMI: 72 matches (40-29-3) = 58% win; peak: 1807 on 3/20/14 -- 1558 end ELO
40 Minoru Tanaka: 80 matches (51-29) = 64% win; peak: 1830 on 12/23/14 -- 1819 end ELO
41 Ricochet: 53 matches (45-8) = 85% win; peak: 1735 on 12/16/14 -- 1711 end ELO
42 Masato Yoshino: 159 matches (107-51-1) = 68% win; peak: 1711 on 6/7/14 -- 1609 end ELO
43 Takashi Sasaki: 40 matches (18-18-4) = 50% win; peak: 1616 on 1/2/14 -- 1475 end ELO
44 Go Shiozaki: 66 matches (43-20-3) = 68% win; peak: 1703 on 10/4/14 -- 1663 end ELO
45 Akebono: 67 matches (43-24) = 64% win; peak: 1666 on 3/9/14 -- 1632 end ELO
46 Yoshinari Ogawa: 90 matches (57-32-1) = 64% win; peak: 1646 on 8/26/14 -- 1554 end ELO
47 Alex Shelley: 50 matches (28-22) = 56% win; peak: 1584 on 1/2/14 -- 1065 end ELO
48 Shuji Ishikawa: 50 matches (42-7-1) = 86% win; peak: 1724 on 11/29/14 -- 1597 end ELO
49 Atsushi Aoki: 100 matches (62-34-4) = 65% win; peak: 1925 on 12/13/14 -- 1919 end ELO
50 Taiji Ishimori: 97 matches (58-36-3) = 62% win; peak: 1738 on 9/23/14 -- 1659 end ELO
51 Akira Tozawa: 160 matches (112-48) = 70% win; peak: 1674 on 2/11/14 -- 1499 end ELO
52 YAMATO: 161 matches (80-78-3) = 51% win; peak: 1710 on 12/15/14 -- 1696 end ELO
53 BxB Hulk: 158 matches (102-55-1) = 65% win; peak: 1630 on 1/12/14 -- 1168 end ELO
54 Katsuyori Shibata: 63 matches (44-19) = 70% win; peak: 1666 on 12/20/14 -- 1666 end ELO
55 Ikuto Hidaka: 68 matches (39-26-3) = 60% win; peak: 1644 on 2/3/14 -- 1421 end ELO
56 Dragon Kid: 125 matches (72-53) = 58% win; peak: 1875 on 9/13/14 -- 1839 end ELO
57 Gorgeous Matsuno: 15 matches (6-8-1) = 43% win; peak: 1706 on 6/29/14 -- 1688 end ELO
58 Suwama: 95 matches (52-43) = 55% win; peak: 1679 on 4/19/14 -- 1573 end ELO
59 Hiroshi Tanahashi: 120 matches (63-57) = 53% win; peak: 1868 on 7/21/14 -- 1795 end ELO
60 HIROKI: 46 matches (25-17-4) = 60% win; peak: 1760 on 9/7/14 -- 1670 end ELO
61 Kenny Omega: 57 matches (41-14-2) = 75% win; peak: 1685 on 11/16/14 -- 1648 end ELO
62 Konosuke Takeshita: 68 matches (37-29-2) = 56% win; peak: 1709 on 12/3/14 -- 1699 end ELO
63 Joe Doering: 71 matches (39-30-2) = 57% win; peak: 1850 on 6/25/14 -- 1707 end ELO
64 Yoshihiro Takayama: 59 matches (29-29-1) = 50% win; peak: 1790 on 12/23/14 -- 1790 end ELO
65 Seiki Yoshioka: 67 matches (36-30-1) = 55% win; peak: 1823 on 11/30/14 -- 1801 end ELO
66 Jun Kasai: 53 matches (34-18-1) = 65% win; peak: 1715 on 12/21/14 -- 1715 end ELO
67 Maximo: 18 matches (7-11) = 39% win; peak: 1831 on 12/14/14 -- 1831 end ELO
68 Shinjiro Otani: 66 matches (37-28-1) = 57% win; peak: 1817 on 9/11/14 -- 1806 end ELO
69 Ayumu Honda: 19 matches (9-10) = 47% win; peak: 1745 on 11/23/14 -- 1711 end ELO
70 Sanshiro Takagi: 73 matches (38-33-2) = 54% win; peak: 1745 on 4/28/14 -- 1691 end ELO
71 Hideki Suzuki: 48 matches (31-15-2) = 67% win; peak: 1584 on 1/3/14 -- 1026 end ELO
72 Maybach Taniguchi: 101 matches (55-45-1) = 55% win; peak: 1641 on 3/2/14 -- 1456 end ELO
73 Taro Nohashi: 26 matches (12-14) = 46% win; peak: 1802 on 6/6/14 -- 1768 end ELO
74 Hirooki Goto: 102 matches (58-44) = 57% win; peak: 1878 on 12/7/14 -- 1853 end ELO
75 Manabu Soya: 96 matches (58-36-2) = 62% win; peak: 1697 on 3/23/14 -- 1684 end ELO
76 Takeshi Minamino: 63 matches (38-25) = 60% win; peak: 1588 on 1/5/14 -- 1509 end ELO
77 Abdullah Kobayashi: 39 matches (20-19) = 51% win; peak: 1809 on 4/2/14 -- 1752 end ELO
78 Bad Luck Fale: 98 matches (55-43) = 56% win; peak: 1832 on 12/9/14 -- 1803 end ELO
79 Koji Kanemoto: 45 matches (32-13) = 71% win; peak: 1784 on 11/30/14 -- 1712 end ELO
80 Ryo Jimmy Saito: 50 matches (31-19) = 62% win; peak: 1585 on 1/18/14 -- 1496 end ELO
81 Black Buffalo: 62 matches (35-27) = 56% win; peak: 1601 on 1/3/14 -- 1290 end ELO
82 Tigers Mask: 44 matches (21-23) = 48% win; peak: 1788 on 7/23/14 -- 1723 end ELO
83 Fujita Hayato: 45 matches (28-15-2) = 65% win; peak: 1682 on 7/26/14 -- 1630 end ELO
84 Junji Tanaka: 12 matches (3-9) = 25% win; peak: 1745 on 8/17/14 -- 1674 end ELO
85 Bodyguard: 59 matches (31-28) = 53% win; peak: 1894 on 12/24/14 -- 1894 end ELO
86 Johnel Sanders: 16 matches (7-9) = 44% win; peak: 1818 on 11/21/14 -- 1780 end ELO
87 Marines Mask: 30 matches (17-13) = 57% win; peak: 1584 on 1/18/14 -- 1407 end ELO
88 Kenji Fukimoto: 31 matches (12-17-2) = 41% win; peak: 1644 on 6/3/14 -- 1366 end ELO
89 TAKA Michinoku: 137 matches (82-52-3) = 61% win; peak: 1818 on 11/22/14 -- 1797 end ELO
90 Davey Boy Smith Jr: 40 matches (20-20) = 50% win; peak: 1775 on 11/22/14 -- 1740 end ELO
91 Yukio Sakaguchi: 76 matches (43-32-1) = 57% win; peak: 1696 on 10/21/14 -- 1614 end ELO
92 Matt Jackson: 44 matches (27-17) = 61% win; peak: 1655 on 1/19/14 -- 1622 end ELO
93 Lance Archer: 39 matches (18-21) = 46% win; peak: 1690 on 4/27/14 -- 1577 end ELO
94 Naruki Doi: 133 matches (69-64) = 52% win; peak: 1792 on 9/7/14 -- 1688 end ELO
95 Zack Sabre Jr: 65 matches (36-22-7) = 62% win; peak: 1831 on 11/8/14 -- 1820 end ELO
96 Atsushi Maruyama: 42 matches (25-17) = 60% win; peak: 1614 on 1/14/14 -- 1233 end ELO
97 AKIRA: 39 matches (26-12-1) = 68% win; peak: 1847 on 10/26/14 -- 1807 end ELO
98 Ultimate Spider Jr: 39 matches (27-12) = 69% win; peak: 1667 on 9/20/14 -- 1572 end ELO
99 Kamui: 28 matches (11-16-1) = 41% win; peak: 1873 on 10/8/14 -- 1767 end ELO
100 Shiori Asahi: 99 matches (54-44-1) = 55% win; peak: 1812 on 7/21/14 -- 1719 end ELO
101 Tetsuya Naito: 109 matches (61-47-1) = 56% win; peak: 1663 on 2/2/14 -- 1127 end ELO
102 Minoru Fujita: 23 matches (11-11-1) = 50% win; peak: 1723 on 11/7/14 -- 1639 end ELO
103 Great Sasuke: 28 matches (24-3-1) = 89% win; peak: 1720 on 12/20/14 -- 1720 end ELO
104 Shoichi Uchida: 16 matches (6-10) = 38% win; peak: 1849 on 9/21/14 -- 1764 end ELO
105 Tatsuhito Takaiwa: 28 matches (15-12-1) = 56% win; peak: 1611 on 1/20/14 -- 1275 end ELO
106 Winger: 42 matches (25-14-3) = 64% win; peak: 1832 on 9/20/14 -- 1753 end ELO
107 Shuji Kondo: 83 matches (55-27-1) = 67% win; peak: 1647 on 11/29/14 -- 1500 end ELO
108 YASSHI: 47 matches (22-24-1) = 48% win; peak: 1795 on 9/15/14 -- 1781 end ELO
109 Hi69: 19 matches (6-12-1) = 33% win; peak: 1616 on 1/2/14 -- 1255 end ELO
110 Shelton Benjamin: 31 matches (17-14) = 55% win; peak: 1869 on 7/21/14 -- 1814 end ELO
111 Touru Owashi: 42 matches (22-19-1) = 54% win; peak: 1874 on 12/10/14 -- 1848 end ELO
112 TARU: 23 matches (12-11) = 52% win; peak: 1836 on 12/14/14 -- 1820 end ELO
113 Billy Ken Kid: 35 matches (24-11) = 69% win; peak: 1620 on 12/23/14 -- 1620 end ELO
114 AJ Styles: 32 matches (23-9) = 72% win; peak: 1724 on 8/16/14 -- 1637 end ELO
115 KAI: 91 matches (57-29-5) = 66% win; peak: 1857 on 12/7/14 -- 1856 end ELO
116 KENTA: 36 matches (25-10-1) = 71% win; peak: 1682 on 5/31/14 -- 1613 end ELO
117 Katsuhiko Nakajima: 99 matches (50-48-1) = 51% win; peak: 1814 on 8/17/14 -- 1786 end ELO
118 Kaz Hayashi: 80 matches (54-24-2) = 69% win; peak: 1696 on 6/29/14 -- 1580 end ELO
119 Jonah Rock: 21 matches (9-12) = 43% win; peak: 1859 on 12/8/14 -- 1788 end ELO
120 Manjimaru: 29 matches (25-4) = 86% win; peak: 1757 on 7/21/14 -- 1666 end ELO
121 Kenichiro Arai: 39 matches (22-15-2) = 59% win; peak: 1870 on 12/7/14 -- 1870 end ELO
122 Zeus: 83 matches (42-40-1) = 51% win; peak: 1775 on 10/21/14 -- 1751 end ELO
123 KUSHIDA: 88 matches (54-34) = 61% win; peak: 1584 on 1/12/14 -- 1458 end ELO
124 Tsubasa: 25 matches (14-11) = 56% win; peak: 1616 on 1/12/14 -- 1551 end ELO
125 Great Kojika: 31 matches (21-9-1) = 70% win; peak: 1680 on 9/13/14 -- 1569 end ELO
126 Yusuke Kodama: 43 matches (26-16-1) = 62% win; peak: 1584 on 1/12/14 -- 1335 end ELO
127 Brahman Shu: 132 matches (68-59-5) = 54% win; peak: 1763 on 8/26/14 -- 1660 end ELO
128 Shinsuke Nakamura: 112 matches (59-53) = 53% win; peak: 1655 on 4/20/14 -- 1362 end ELO
129 Nick Jackson: 44 matches (26-18) = 59% win; peak: 1695 on 8/20/14 -- 1511 end ELO
130 Toru Owashi: 24 matches (13-10-1) = 57% win; peak: 1796 on 4/13/14 -- 1759 end ELO
131 Saki Akai: 18 matches (9-8-1) = 53% win; peak: 1716 on 9/21/14 -- 1651 end ELO
132 Daisuke Harada: 104 matches (57-47) = 55% win; peak: 1583 on 1/5/14 -- 1151 end ELO
133 Seiya Sanada: 36 matches (20-14-2) = 59% win; peak: 1722 on 12/14/14 -- 1700 end ELO
134 Rob Conway: 18 matches (7-11) = 39% win; peak: 1586 on 1/24/14 -- 1410 end ELO
135 Shane Haste: 94 matches (47-47) = 50% win; peak: 1697 on 12/14/14 -- 1677 end ELO
136 HAYATA: 14 matches (4-10) = 29% win; peak: 1636 on 7/20/14 -- 1553 end ELO
137 MEN's Teioh: 25 matches (14-11) = 56% win; peak: 1774 on 7/16/14 -- 1708 end ELO
138 Gran Haniwa: 13 matches (4-9) = 31% win; peak: 1616 on 1/12/14 -- 1314 end ELO
139 Shinya Ishikawa: 75 matches (41-34) = 55% win; peak: 1673 on 2/22/14 -- 1571 end ELO
140 Mohammed Yone: 97 matches (53-42-2) = 56% win; peak: 1874 on 3/29/14 -- 1780 end ELO
141 Akitoshi Saito: 69 matches (31-38) = 45% win; peak: 1616 on 1/3/14 -- 1209 end ELO
142 TAJIRI: 41 matches (22-19) = 54% win; peak: 1608 on 4/28/14 -- 1492 end ELO
143 Kengo: 24 matches (14-10) = 58% win; peak: 1654 on 5/9/14 -- 1566 end ELO
144 Daigoro Kashiwa: 64 matches (36-28) = 56% win; peak: 1631 on 1/11/14 -- 1486 end ELO
145 Jinsei Shinzaki: 23 matches (13-9-1) = 59% win; peak: 1664 on 2/23/14 -- 1482 end ELO
146 Ryusuke Taguchi: 93 matches (52-41) = 56% win; peak: 1788 on 5/11/14 -- 1696 end ELO
147 Mr 450: 10 matches (2-8) = 20% win; peak: 1724 on 4/18/14 -- 1636 end ELO
148 T-Hawk: 159 matches (90-66-3) = 58% win; peak: 1679 on 12/23/14 -- 1679 end ELO
149 Ryouji Sai: 98 matches (53-42-3) = 56% win; peak: 1788 on 5/11/14 -- 1664 end ELO
150 Shinobu: 42 matches (19-23) = 45% win; peak: 1708 on 5/18/14 -- 1568 end ELO
151 Osamu Nishimura: 37 matches (17-20) = 46% win; peak: 1632 on 1/11/14 -- 1512 end ELO
152 Super Sasadango Machine: 13 matches (5-7-1) = 42% win; peak: 1615 on 1/3/14 -- 1361 end ELO
153 Takao Omori: 100 matches (59-40-1) = 60% win; peak: 1691 on 3/9/14 -- 1654 end ELO
154 Heddi French: 13 matches (6-7) = 46% win; peak: 1583 on 1/12/14 -- 1322 end ELO
155 Daichi Hashimoto: 21 matches (10-11) = 48% win; peak: 1821 on 11/22/14 -- 1768 end ELO
156 Prince Devitt: 21 matches (12-9) = 57% win; peak: 1681 on 3/10/14 -- 1558 end ELO
157 Masato Shibata: 13 matches (4-9) = 31% win; peak: 1584 on 1/12/14 -- 1435 end ELO
158 Kazuchika Okada: 111 matches (54-57) = 49% win; peak: 1584 on 1/14/14 -- 1141 end ELO
159 Kazushi Sakuraba: 25 matches (15-9-1) = 63% win; peak: 1713 on 5/4/14 -- 1682 end ELO
160 Colt Cabana: 20 matches (10-10) = 50% win; peak: 1703 on 7/24/14 -- 1599 end ELO
161 HUB: 28 matches (16-12) = 57% win; peak: 1764 on 12/13/14 -- 1759 end ELO
162 Minoru Suzuki: 104 matches (62-41-1) = 60% win; peak: 1774 on 6/1/14 -- 1676 end ELO
163 Ken45: 28 matches (19-9) = 68% win; peak: 1685 on 3/30/14 -- 1592 end ELO
164 Mammoth Sasaki: 28 matches (18-8-2) = 69% win; peak: 1684 on 5/3/14 -- 1654 end ELO
165 Yapper Man 3: 15 matches (8-7) = 53% win; peak: 1655 on 12/5/14 -- 1639 end ELO
166 Daisuke Ikeda: 30 matches (19-11) = 63% win; peak: 1836 on 12/5/14 -- 1806 end ELO
167 Kesen Numajiro: 21 matches (7-14) = 33% win; peak: 1719 on 12/24/14 -- 1712 end ELO
168 Caramel Boy: 10 matches (3-7) = 30% win; peak: 1584 on 1/2/14 -- 1305 end ELO
169 Kaiju New World: 9 matches (3-6) = 33% win; peak: 1869 on 11/23/14 -- 1859 end ELO
170 Masayuki Mitomi: 10 matches (2-8) = 20% win; peak: 1616 on 1/1/14 -- 1486 end ELO
171 Bobby Fish: 24 matches (15-9) = 63% win; peak: 1672 on 10/25/14 -- 1609 end ELO
172 Yasu Urano: 74 matches (37-37) = 50% win; peak: 1597 on 2/23/14 -- 1586 end ELO
173 Toru Sugiura: 32 matches (13-18-1) = 42% win; peak: 1645 on 8/3/14 -- 1578 end ELO
174 Kotaro Nasu: 24 matches (10-12-2) = 45% win; peak: 1670 on 7/20/14 -- 1474 end ELO
175 Mitsuya Nagai: 58 matches (25-33) = 43% win; peak: 1739 on 10/15/14 -- 1706 end ELO
176 Masaaki Mochizuki: 147 matches (82-64-1) = 56% win; peak: 1616 on 1/3/14 -- 1208 end ELO
177 Hide Kubota: 10 matches (5-5) = 50% win; peak: 1834 on 12/20/14 -- 1834 end ELO
178 Yuji Nagata: 113 matches (51-61-1) = 46% win; peak: 1593 on 7/5/14 -- 1420 end ELO
179 Daisuke Sasaki: 81 matches (44-35-2) = 56% win; peak: 1623 on 12/15/14 -- 1602 end ELO
180 Ricky Fuji: 72 matches (36-34-2) = 51% win; peak: 1584 on 1/3/14 -- 1218 end ELO
181 Masa Takanashi: 74 matches (37-34-3) = 52% win; peak: 1730 on 4/19/14 -- 1689 end ELO
182 Yuichi Taniguchi: 67 matches (38-29) = 57% win; peak: 1584 on 1/14/14 -- 1478 end ELO
183 Antonio Honda: 79 matches (41-37-1) = 53% win; peak: 1712 on 4/26/14 -- 1626 end ELO
184 Yutaka Yoshie: 67 matches (33-33-1) = 50% win; peak: 1646 on 1/12/14 -- 1543 end ELO
185 Tama Williams: 18 matches (10-8) = 56% win; peak: 1599 on 1/18/14 -- 1340 end ELO
186 Taichi: 89 matches (54-34-1) = 61% win; peak: 1730 on 6/29/14 -- 1655 end ELO
187 Big R Shimizu: 21 matches (13-6-2) = 68% win; peak: 1585 on 1/12/14 -- 1452 end ELO
188 Fuego: 23 matches (8-15) = 35% win; peak: 1637 on 7/26/14 -- 1596 end ELO
189 Pesadilla: 22 matches (6-16) = 27% win; peak: 1584 on 1/1/14 -- 1492 end ELO
190 Taiyo Kea: 18 matches (11-7) = 61% win; peak: 1805 on 9/23/14 -- 1788 end ELO
191 Chris Hero: 20 matches (12-8) = 60% win; peak: 1631 on 7/4/14 -- 1539 end ELO
192 Kenbai: 24 matches (7-17) = 29% win; peak: 1584 on 4/6/14 -- 1254 end ELO
193 Yoshinobu Kanemaru: 93 matches (49-43-1) = 53% win; peak: 1584 on 1/2/14 -- 1179 end ELO
194 Masanobu Fuchi: 22 matches (13-8-1) = 62% win; peak: 1624 on 3/21/14 -- 1566 end ELO
195 Mad Man Pondo: 12 matches (3-9) = 25% win; peak: 1631 on 4/23/14 -- 1456 end ELO
196 Naomichi Marufuji: 100 matches (50-49-1) = 51% win; peak: 1601 on 1/3/14 -- 1427 end ELO
197 Rui Hiugaji: 18 matches (6-12) = 33% win; peak: 1885 on 7/20/14 -- 1885 end ELO
198 Yapper Man 1: 26 matches (8-18) = 31% win; peak: 1639 on 2/7/14 -- 1457 end ELO
199 Don Fujii: 108 matches (53-53-2) = 50% win; peak: 1615 on 1/3/14 -- 1432 end ELO
200 Toshiyuki Sakuda: 16 matches (2-12-2) = 14% win; peak: 1586 on 1/13/14 -- 1397 end ELO
201 Jiro Kuroshio: 50 matches (29-21) = 58% win; peak: 1823 on 10/29/14 -- 1754 end ELO
202 La Sombra: 17 matches (10-6-1) = 63% win; peak: 1601 on 1/3/14 -- 1319 end ELO
203 Kendo Kashin: 13 matches (6-6-1) = 50% win; peak: 1791 on 12/6/14 -- 1741 end ELO
204 Tama Tonga: 82 matches (45-37) = 55% win; peak: 1909 on 12/21/14 -- 1909 end ELO
205 Kanjyouro Matsuyama: 70 matches (33-37) = 47% win; peak: 1593 on 7/21/14 -- 1313 end ELO
206 Tomohiro Ishii: 104 matches (48-56) = 46% win; peak: 1642 on 3/9/14 -- 1513 end ELO
207 Hiroshi Fukuda: 28 matches (13-15) = 46% win; peak: 1699 on 10/13/14 -- 1665 end ELO
208 Yapper Man 2: 26 matches (8-18) = 31% win; peak: 1617 on 1/3/14 -- 1460 end ELO
209 K-ness: 49 matches (25-22-2) = 53% win; peak: 1658 on 10/13/14 -- 1542 end ELO
210 Yoshihiro Horaguchi: 26 matches (10-16) = 38% win; peak: 1586 on 4/29/14 -- 1218 end ELO
211 Daemon Ueda: 63 matches (24-36-3) = 40% win; peak: 1734 on 3/1/14 -- 1560 end ELO
212 Ryuichi Kawakami: 116 matches (57-59) = 49% win; peak: 1593 on 7/20/14 -- 1530 end ELO
213 Kengo Mashimo: 110 matches (48-60-2) = 44% win; peak: 1615 on 1/5/14 -- 1306 end ELO
214 Tadasuke: 16 matches (13-3) = 81% win; peak: 1629 on 1/8/14 -- 1530 end ELO
215 Yoshitatsu: 8 matches (0-8) = 0% win; peak: 1795 on 11/13/14 -- 1763 end ELO
216 Kenta Hattori: 15 matches (2-12-1) = 14% win; peak: 1703 on 9/21/14 -- 1614 end ELO
217 Kaji Tomato: 100 matches (55-44-1) = 56% win; peak: 1664 on 3/8/14 -- 1643 end ELO
218 CIMA: 108 matches (51-56-1) = 48% win; peak: 1617 on 1/24/14 -- 1498 end ELO
219 Aoi Ishibashi: 12 matches (3-7-2) = 30% win; peak: 1758 on 10/31/14 -- 1747 end ELO
220 Keiji Muto: 13 matches (12-1) = 92% win; peak: 1729 on 5/6/14 -- 1661 end ELO
221 Hajime Ohara: 101 matches (55-42-4) = 57% win; peak: 1629 on 5/24/14 -- 1398 end ELO
222 Super Crazy: 55 matches (25-27-3) = 48% win; peak: 1631 on 2/3/14 -- 1595 end ELO
223 Rob Terry: 14 matches (13-1) = 93% win; peak: 1748 on 11/8/14 -- 1748 end ELO
224 Atsushi Onita: 14 matches (11-3) = 79% win; peak: 1732 on 11/8/14 -- 1732 end ELO
225 GENTARO: 27 matches (10-15-2) = 40% win; peak: 1605 on 4/26/14 -- 1462 end ELO
226 Kyle O'Reilly: 14 matches (11-3) = 79% win; peak: 1697 on 11/13/14 -- 1598 end ELO
227 Ryuji Hijikata: 48 matches (19-29) = 40% win; peak: 1600 on 1/5/14 -- 1439 end ELO
228 Madoka: 17 matches (7-10) = 41% win; peak: 1593 on 3/14/14 -- 1360 end ELO
229 Matt Taven: 14 matches (8-6) = 57% win; peak: 1746 on 9/4/14 -- 1657 end ELO
230 Rocky Romero: 56 matches (21-35) = 38% win; peak: 1610 on 11/29/14 -- 1602 end ELO
231 Dyna Mido: 10 matches (1-9) = 10% win; peak: 1631 on 8/31/14 -- 1545 end ELO
232 Jax Dane: 16 matches (8-8) = 50% win; peak: 1679 on 3/30/14 -- 1607 end ELO
233 Ricky Marvin: 9 matches (2-7) = 22% win; peak: 1713 on 5/31/14 -- 1680 end ELO
234 Magnitude Kishiwada: 15 matches (10-5) = 67% win; peak: 1750 on 12/14/14 -- 1729 end ELO
235 Masashi Aoyagi: 13 matches (6-6-1) = 50% win; peak: 1616 on 1/11/14 -- 1446 end ELO
236 Gokiburi Mask #1: 12 matches (6-6) = 50% win; peak: 1584 on 1/1/14 -- 1382 end ELO
237 Hoshitango: 17 matches (8-7-2) = 53% win; peak: 1669 on 10/19/14 -- 1620 end ELO
238 Mototsugu Shimizu: 14 matches (1-13) = 7% win; peak: 1636 on 8/24/14 -- 1512 end ELO
239 Kesen Numagirolamo: 8 matches (0-8) = 0% win; peak: 1584 on 1/12/14 -- 1311 end ELO
240 Hiro Tonai: 94 matches (46-44-4) = 51% win; peak: 1674 on 12/3/14 -- 1670 end ELO
241 Jinzo: 23 matches (7-16) = 30% win; peak: 1773 on 4/20/14 -- 1760 end ELO
242 KENSO: 97 matches (44-53) = 45% win; peak: 1585 on 2/2/14 -- 1542 end ELO
243 Yuki Tanaka: 10 matches (4-6) = 40% win; peak: 1701 on 10/29/14 -- 1682 end ELO
244 Ichiro Yaguchi: 10 matches (5-5) = 50% win; peak: 1627 on 12/3/14 -- 1623 end ELO
245 Jimmy Susumu: 155 matches (72-82-1) = 47% win; peak: 1694 on 11/21/14 -- 1647 end ELO
246 Yuji Okabayashi: 14 matches (9-5) = 64% win; peak: 1770 on 11/30/14 -- 1736 end ELO
247 Koji Doi: 40 matches (20-19-1) = 51% win; peak: 1631 on 2/11/14 -- 1557 end ELO
248 Ogyu Yoriaki: 9 matches (0-9) = 0% win; peak: 1739 on 8/26/14 -- 1698 end ELO
249 Brahman Kei: 134 matches (67-61-6) = 52% win; peak: 1614 on 3/30/14 -- 1387 end ELO
250 Eisa8: 11 matches (5-6) = 45% win; peak: 1774 on 5/17/14 -- 1774 end ELO
251 Sakigake: 15 matches (10-5) = 67% win; peak: 1578 on 7/22/14 -- 1419 end ELO
252 Golden Dragon: 8 matches (2-6) = 25% win; peak: 1585 on 8/16/14 -- 1378 end ELO
253 Jason Lee: 50 matches (19-28-3) = 40% win; peak: 1584 on 1/1/14 -- 1552 end ELO
254 Akito: 76 matches (37-39) = 49% win; peak: 1746 on 12/6/14 -- 1746 end ELO
255 Masayuki Kono: 76 matches (29-46-1) = 39% win; peak: 1600 on 1/30/14 -- 1423 end ELO
256 Tyson Dux: 8 matches (1-7) = 13% win; peak: 1613 on 4/29/14 -- 1575 end ELO
257 Shun Miyatake: 13 matches (2-9-2) = 18% win; peak: 1584 on 1/11/14 -- 1510 end ELO
258 Jushin Thunder Liger: 109 matches (54-53-2) = 50% win; peak: 1787 on 12/3/14 -- 1778 end ELO
259 Yuki Sato: 42 matches (19-21-2) = 48% win; peak: 1670 on 3/22/14 -- 1583 end ELO
260 Quiet Storm: 130 matches (77-53) = 59% win; peak: 1586 on 3/30/14 -- 1259 end ELO
261 Shawn Guinness: 9 matches (2-7) = 22% win; peak: 1616 on 1/8/14 -- 1575 end ELO
262 Michael Bennett: 15 matches (9-6) = 60% win; peak: 1769 on 5/28/14 -- 1694 end ELO
263 Guanchulo: 19 matches (2-17) = 11% win; peak: 1587 on 1/8/14 -- 1336 end ELO
264 La Panda: 8 matches (2-6) = 25% win; peak: 1663 on 8/6/14 -- 1594 end ELO
265 Rocky Lobo: 23 matches (5-18) = 22% win; peak: 1584 on 1/11/14 -- 1352 end ELO
266 Tiger Mask: 92 matches (44-48) = 48% win; peak: 1722 on 7/21/14 -- 1637 end ELO
267 Jon Bolen: 8 matches (1-7) = 13% win; peak: 1789 on 12/12/14 -- 1789 end ELO
268 Meirii: 7 matches (1-6) = 14% win; peak: 1687 on 9/23/14 -- 1646 end ELO
269 Tetsuya Endo: 73 matches (35-37-1) = 49% win; peak: 1617 on 4/19/14 -- 1447 end ELO
270 Hideki Shiota: 7 matches (0-7) = 0% win; peak: 1616 on 1/8/14 -- 1553 end ELO
271 Shinya Ishida: 8 matches (3-5) = 38% win; peak: 1734 on 12/10/14 -- 1734 end ELO
272 Yujiro Takahashi: 100 matches (50-50) = 50% win; peak: 1708 on 10/13/14 -- 1648 end ELO
273 Togi Makabe: 101 matches (46-55) = 46% win; peak: 1850 on 12/12/14 -- 1850 end ELO
274 Rasse: 28 matches (7-21) = 25% win; peak: 1618 on 9/20/14 -- 1610 end ELO
275 Yun Gang Chul: 12 matches (9-3) = 75% win; peak: 1683 on 7/12/14 -- 1652 end ELO
276 NASU Banderas: 13 matches (8-5) = 62% win; peak: 1662 on 8/3/14 -- 1501 end ELO
277 Risa Sera: 9 matches (4-5) = 44% win; peak: 1602 on 2/15/14 -- 1500 end ELO
278 Gabaiji-chan: 8 matches (1-7) = 13% win; peak: 1604 on 3/22/14 -- 1503 end ELO
279 Okonomiyakida: 10 matches (4-6) = 40% win; peak: 1616 on 1/11/14 -- 1586 end ELO
280 Night Scooper Hiroshi: 7 matches (1-6) = 14% win; peak: 1609 on 8/17/14 -- 1491 end ELO
281 Kinya Oyanagi: 23 matches (7-15-1) = 32% win; peak: 1576 on 8/24/14 -- 1361 end ELO
282 Kazushi Miyamoto: 11 matches (8-3) = 73% win; peak: 1675 on 10/17/14 -- 1648 end ELO
283 Bull Armor TAKUYA: 9 matches (2-7) = 22% win; peak: 1587 on 1/8/14 -- 1433 end ELO
284 Masato Inaba: 105 matches (48-57) = 46% win; peak: 1732 on 12/19/14 -- 1720 end ELO
285 Rionne Fujiwara: 23 matches (5-18) = 22% win; peak: 1660 on 11/21/14 -- 1660 end ELO
286 SUSUMU: 39 matches (15-23-1) = 39% win; peak: 1656 on 11/9/14 -- 1649 end ELO
287 TEPPEI: 9 matches (5-4) = 56% win; peak: 1599 on 2/1/14 -- 1565 end ELO
288 Takeshi Irei: 25 matches (3-22) = 12% win; peak: 1700 on 11/24/14 -- 1636 end ELO
289 Atsushi Kotoge: 103 matches (47-54-2) = 47% win; peak: 1607 on 3/23/14 -- 1512 end ELO
290 Yuhi: 7 matches (1-6) = 14% win; peak: 1676 on 11/8/14 -- 1676 end ELO
291 Gurukun Mask: 10 matches (8-2) = 80% win; peak: 1591 on 6/21/14 -- 1430 end ELO
292 Koharu Hinata: 5 matches (0-5) = 0% win; peak: 1611 on 7/21/14 -- 1363 end ELO
293 Antonio De Luca: 5 matches (0-5) = 0% win; peak: 1660 on 12/11/14 -- 1621 end ELO
294 Buffalo: 10 matches (4-6) = 40% win; peak: 1624 on 10/29/14 -- 1617 end ELO
295 Yuji Yoshida: 6 matches (0-6) = 0% win; peak: 1583 on 1/11/14 -- 1526 end ELO
296 Makoto Oishi: 85 matches (36-46-3) = 44% win; peak: 1654 on 4/27/14 -- 1643 end ELO
297 Danshoku Dino: 76 matches (31-42-3) = 42% win; peak: 1617 on 1/17/14 -- 1479 end ELO
298 Kazuki Hashimoto: 127 matches (61-65-1) = 48% win; peak: 1603 on 6/21/14 -- 1438 end ELO
299 Tatsumi Fujinami: 9 matches (7-1-1) = 88% win; peak: 1584 on 1/15/14 -- 1376 end ELO
300 Rene Dupree: 45 matches (12-33) = 27% win; peak: 1609 on 10/12/14 -- 1465 end ELO
301 Shuu Shibutani: 9 matches (5-4) = 56% win; peak: 1669 on 4/27/14 -- 1620 end ELO
302 Matt Striker: 9 matches (5-4) = 56% win; peak: 1632 on 4/29/14 -- 1524 end ELO
303 Moonshine Mantel: 12 matches (6-5-1) = 55% win; peak: 1689 on 3/19/14 -- 1629 end ELO
304 Daichi Sasaki: 32 matches (10-21-1) = 32% win; peak: 1618 on 1/20/14 -- 1558 end ELO
305 KAMIKAZE: 59 matches (19-36-4) = 35% win; peak: 1687 on 12/21/14 -- 1687 end ELO
306 Bear Fukuda: 10 matches (3-7) = 30% win; peak: 1617 on 3/2/14 -- 1597 end ELO
307 Tiger Ali: 10 matches (5-5) = 50% win; peak: 1680 on 11/4/14 -- 1675 end ELO
308 Super Tiger: 7 matches (7-0) = 100% win; peak: 1633 on 11/8/14 -- 1633 end ELO
309 Toru Yano: 102 matches (39-62-1) = 39% win; peak: 1610 on 10/16/14 -- 1512 end ELO
310 Don Fuji: 8 matches (2-6) = 25% win; peak: 1628 on 10/19/14 -- 1599 end ELO
311 Hideki Hosaka: 9 matches (6-3) = 67% win; peak: 1602 on 1/3/14 -- 1414 end ELO
312 Kuishinbo Kamen: 35 matches (13-21-1) = 38% win; peak: 1601 on 1/5/14 -- 1567 end ELO
313 Super Shisa: 41 matches (13-27-1) = 33% win; peak: 1630 on 10/26/14 -- 1600 end ELO
314 Koji Iwamoto: 7 matches (2-4-1) = 33% win; peak: 1660 on 6/1/14 -- 1637 end ELO
315 Xtra Large: 22 matches (0-22) = 0% win; peak: 1693 on 8/26/14 -- 1640 end ELO
316 Green Ant: 7 matches (6-1) = 86% win; peak: 1624 on 8/30/14 -- 1568 end ELO
317 Ryuichi Sekine: 110 matches (57-50-3) = 53% win; peak: 1616 on 1/14/14 -- 1548 end ELO
318 Jimmy Kagetora: 117 matches (52-64-1) = 45% win; peak: 1630 on 1/16/14 -- 1402 end ELO
319 AK: 6 matches (0-6) = 0% win; peak: 1678 on 1/26/14 -- 1573 end ELO
320 Makoto Renka: 8 matches (4-4) = 50% win; peak: 1668 on 12/2/14 -- 1647 end ELO
321 Tsukasa Fujimoto: 7 matches (6-1) = 86% win; peak: 1649 on 8/31/14 -- 1615 end ELO
322 Tomoya Kawamura: 5 matches (0-5) = 0% win; peak: 1624 on 4/13/14 -- 1533 end ELO
323 Isamu Oshita: 49 matches (20-24-5) = 45% win; peak: 1600 on 7/20/14 -- 1436 end ELO
324 Naoki Setoguchi: 65 matches (27-38) = 42% win; peak: 1711 on 2/23/14 -- 1711 end ELO
325 Masao Ando: 6 matches (1-5) = 17% win; peak: 1641 on 11/30/14 -- 1623 end ELO
326 Kota Umeda: 5 matches (1-4) = 20% win; peak: 1626 on 1/17/14 -- 1577 end ELO
327 Yasufumi Nakanoue: 77 matches (34-43) = 44% win; peak: 1643 on 10/13/14 -- 1619 end ELO
328 Chihiro Tominaga: 18 matches (2-14-2) = 13% win; peak: 1666 on 9/15/14 -- 1660 end ELO
329 Keizo Matsuda: 7 matches (6-1) = 86% win; peak: 1664 on 10/21/14 -- 1649 end ELO
330 Mr Kyu Kyu Naoki Tanizaki Toyonaka Dolphin: 124 matches (52-69-3) = 43% win; peak: 1655 on 11/28/14 -- 1630 end ELO
331 Daisuke: 6 matches (3-3) = 50% win; peak: 1584 on 2/28/14 -- 1481 end ELO
332 LEONA: 10 matches (7-3) = 70% win; peak: 1616 on 1/3/14 -- 1552 end ELO
333 Mascara Dorada: 44 matches (16-28) = 36% win; peak: 1738 on 3/22/14 -- 1738 end ELO
334 Ophidian: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1676 on 1/18/14 -- 1662 end ELO
335 Kenichi Fujii: 6 matches (0-6) = 0% win; peak: 1642 on 11/28/14 -- 1618 end ELO
336 Tatsuhiko Yoshino: 7 matches (4-3) = 57% win; peak: 1584 on 1/2/14 -- 1422 end ELO
337 Genki Horiguchi HAGeeMee: 140 matches (62-77-1) = 45% win; peak: 1701 on 11/8/14 -- 1701 end ELO
338 Daisuke Masaoka: 33 matches (6-25-2) = 19% win; peak: 1702 on 12/6/14 -- 1696 end ELO
339 Ebessan: 50 matches (18-32) = 36% win; peak: 1601 on 2/2/14 -- 1522 end ELO
340 Shiro Koshinaka: 7 matches (6-1) = 86% win; peak: 1583 on 3/21/14 -- 1516 end ELO
341 Tadanobu Fujisawa: 7 matches (4-3) = 57% win; peak: 1608 on 7/27/14 -- 1580 end ELO
342 Takumi Tsukamoto: 53 matches (20-32-1) = 38% win; peak: 1624 on 4/12/14 -- 1536 end ELO
343 Shunma Katsumata: 36 matches (6-26-4) = 19% win; peak: 1651 on 5/3/14 -- 1616 end ELO
344 Aja Kong: 9 matches (5-3-1) = 63% win; peak: 1601 on 12/11/14 -- 1580 end ELO
345 HANZO: 7 matches (6-1) = 86% win; peak: 1631 on 4/23/14 -- 1607 end ELO
346 Yasu Kubota: 8 matches (6-2) = 75% win; peak: 1737 on 12/22/14 -- 1737 end ELO
347 Alex Koslov: 55 matches (17-38) = 31% win; peak: 1617 on 10/13/14 -- 1574 end ELO
348 Karate Brahman: 8 matches (2-3-3) = 40% win; peak: 1618 on 1/9/14 -- 1532 end ELO
349 Takuya Sugawara: 65 matches (21-40-4) = 34% win; peak: 1690 on 3/28/14 -- 1676 end ELO
350 Rey Paloma: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1608 on 7/21/14 -- 1498 end ELO
351 Miss Mongol: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1665 on 6/16/14 -- 1619 end ELO
352 Yoshikazu Yokoyama: 72 matches (27-42-3) = 39% win; peak: 1585 on 4/10/14 -- 1528 end ELO
353 Hiroshi Yamato: 79 matches (34-43-2) = 44% win; peak: 1584 on 1/19/14 -- 1527 end ELO
354 Titan: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1615 on 2/20/14 -- 1593 end ELO
355 Takashi Iizuka: 87 matches (42-44-1) = 49% win; peak: 1698 on 3/2/14 -- 1658 end ELO
356 Rey Escorpion: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1619 on 3/22/14 -- 1583 end ELO
357 Kengo Takai: 6 matches (2-4) = 33% win; peak: 1601 on 7/12/14 -- 1561 end ELO
358 Tsuyoshi Kikuchi: 5 matches (1-4) = 20% win; peak: 1625 on 5/5/14 -- 1608 end ELO
359 Tida Heat: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1592 on 7/26/14 -- 1579 end ELO
360 Ayumu Gunji: 30 matches (3-26-1) = 10% win; peak: 1621 on 11/2/14 -- 1621 end ELO
361 Tank Nagai: 104 matches (42-58-4) = 42% win; peak: 1615 on 1/16/14 -- 1507 end ELO
362 Yusaku Obata: 63 matches (28-34-1) = 45% win; peak: 1587 on 3/4/14 -- 1515 end ELO
363 Great Muta: 5 matches (5-0) = 100% win; peak: 1629 on 5/11/14 -- 1595 end ELO
364 Kaori Yoneyama: 8 matches (4-3-1) = 57% win; peak: 1612 on 9/25/14 -- 1581 end ELO
365 Yuto Aijima: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1627 on 2/27/14 -- 1574 end ELO
366 Tiran Shisa: 26 matches (3-23) = 12% win; peak: 1576 on 4/14/14 -- 1570 end ELO
367 Mephisto: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1678 on 10/19/14 -- 1678 end ELO
368 Jado: 43 matches (11-32) = 26% win; peak: 1586 on 4/29/14 -- 1554 end ELO
369 MIYAWAKI: 6 matches (5-1) = 83% win; peak: 1584 on 2/2/14 -- 1480 end ELO
370 YOSHIHIKO: 7 matches (3-3-1) = 50% win; peak: 1585 on 1/15/14 -- 1530 end ELO
371 Mikey Broderick: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1594 on 10/19/14 -- 1594 end ELO
372 Fairy Nihonbashi: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1680 on 12/1/14 -- 1680 end ELO
373 Yohei Nakajima: 35 matches (9-26) = 26% win; peak: 1658 on 2/23/14 -- 1603 end ELO
374 YO-HEY: 6 matches (1-5) = 17% win; peak: 1623 on 5/18/14 -- 1621 end ELO
375 Bambikiller: 7 matches (4-3) = 57% win; peak: 1582 on 3/30/14 -- 1528 end ELO
376 Andy Wu: 74 matches (37-37) = 50% win; peak: 1614 on 4/29/14 -- 1554 end ELO
377 Pan'nyan: 7 matches (5-1-1) = 83% win; peak: 1616 on 7/19/14 -- 1613 end ELO
378 Yumemaru-kun: 30 matches (1-29) = 3% win; peak: 1588 on 1/10/14 -- 1495 end ELO
379 El Hijo del Pantera: 45 matches (17-28) = 38% win; peak: 1586 on 1/5/14 -- 1544 end ELO
380 Kana: 5 matches (5-0) = 100% win; peak: 1653 on 9/28/14 -- 1636 end ELO
381 Leon van Gasteren: 7 matches (5-2) = 71% win; peak: 1631 on 7/25/14 -- 1628 end ELO
382 Kazusada Higuchi: 5 matches (5-0) = 100% win; peak: 1588 on 11/8/14 -- 1482 end ELO
383 Ryota Nakatsu: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1600 on 1/3/14 -- 1520 end ELO
384 Hikaru Shida: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1640 on 12/11/14 -- 1640 end ELO
385 Misaki Ohata: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1610 on 1/19/14 -- 1562 end ELO
386 OKUMURA: 5 matches (2-3) = 40% win; peak: 1624 on 8/16/14 -- 1592 end ELO
387 Kankuro Hoshino: 114 matches (48-66) = 42% win; peak: 1616 on 2/28/14 -- 1545 end ELO
388 Bambi: 74 matches (29-42-3) = 41% win; peak: 1583 on 1/11/14 -- 1478 end ELO
389 Kameshi: 6 matches (1-5) = 17% win; peak: 1616 on 1/8/14 -- 1583 end ELO
390 Tsukushi: 6 matches (3-3) = 50% win; peak: 1636 on 7/26/14 -- 1584 end ELO
391 Kazuki Hirata: 53 matches (17-35-1) = 33% win; peak: 1584 on 1/2/14 -- 1517 end ELO
392 Gamma: 140 matches (63-76-1) = 45% win; peak: 1597 on 6/21/14 -- 1573 end ELO
393 Hamuko Hoshi: 5 matches (3-2) = 60% win; peak: 1583 on 1/19/14 -- 1522 end ELO
394 DJ Hyde: 5 matches (3-2) = 60% win; peak: 1601 on 5/19/14 -- 1542 end ELO
395 Daniel Gracie: 5 matches (3-2) = 60% win; peak: 1584 on 3/9/14 -- 1531 end ELO
396 DJ Nira: 54 matches (14-35-5) = 29% win; peak: 1615 on 1/8/14 -- 1602 end ELO
397 Rolles Gracie: 5 matches (3-2) = 60% win; peak: 1699 on 6/21/14 -- 1699 end ELO
398 Toshiyuki Sakuta: 35 matches (9-25-1) = 26% win; peak: 1619 on 12/23/14 -- 1619 end ELO
399 Katsumi Oribe: 41 matches (4-37) = 10% win; peak: 1634 on 9/14/14 -- 1597 end ELO
400 Toby Blunt: 5 matches (1-4) = 20% win; peak: 1665 on 12/24/14 -- 1665 end ELO

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Reviewing some year-end match stats (WWE)

In terms of the last 12 months (December 2013-November 2014), let's start by looking at Meltzer's ***+ Star Ratings.

Most three-star-plus matches in the past 12 months

  • Randy Orton: 16 matches
  • John Cena: 14 matches
  • Dean Ambrose: 12 matches
  • Seth Rollins: 11 matches
  • Cesaro: 11 matches  
  • Roman Reigns: 10 matches
  • Bray Wyatt: 10 matches
  • Daniel Bryan: 8 matches
  • Sheamus: 7 matches
  • Jack Swagger: 7 matches
  • Luke Harper & Erick Rowan: 5 matches
  • Jey & Jimmy Uso: 5 matches
  • Adrian Neville: 5 matches (NXT)
It's interesting to see Orton so high. He's certainly not someone who people have been thinking about as having a "big" year.

It's been a year where two of the WWE stars slated for the biggest pushes (Daniel Bryan & Roman Reigns) were unexpectedly sidelined with serious injuries. Meanwhile, the old guard (Orton & Cena) continue to compete and perform at the top level. It's been a big year for the remnants of the Shield and Wyatt Family. Dean Ambrose and Seth Rollins really came into their own as singles stars, and the Harper/Rowan team really tore the house down when they were facing the Shield and the Usos. 

Cesaro may be the great missed opportunity in 2014. His show of strength in the Andre the Giant Battle Royal, his team with Swagger as the Real Americans, his excellent singles matches with RVD, Sheamus, Ziggler, Sami Zayn Cena, and Orton. It's clear WWE's lacks complete faith in him (as evidenced by Vince McMahon's comments during the Austin podcast). However, if there was anyone who persevered and demonstrated outstanding skill throughout the year,  Here's to hoping for a much better 2015.

WWE Matches that were rated *** or higher by Dave Meltzer

Randy Orton

12/15/13 Randy Orton vs. John Cena (Tables, Ladders and Chairs)
12/16/13 Randy Orton vs. Daniel Bryan ****
1/26/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena ***1/4
2/3/14 Randy Orton vs. Daniel Bryan ****
2/7/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena (Cage) (Non-televised) ***1/2 
2/10/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena ***1/2
2/14/14 Randy Orton vs. Cesaro ***1/2
2/23/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena vs. Sheamus vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Cesaro vs. Christian (Elimination Chamber) ***3/4
4/7/14 Batista vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Randy Orton ****1/2
5/4/14 Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista ****1/2
6/1/14 Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista (Elimination) ****
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
7/20/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Kane ***1/4
8/17/14 Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton ****
9/14/14 Randy Orton vs. Chris Jericho ****
10/26/14 John Cena vs. Randy Orton (Hell in a Cell) ***3/4

John Cena
12/15/13 Randy Orton vs. John Cena (Tables, Ladders and Chairs)
1/26/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena ***1/4
2/7/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena (Cage) (Non-televised) ***1/2 
2/10/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena ***1/2
2/17/14 John Cena vs. Cesaro ****1/4
2/23/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena vs. Sheamus vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Cesaro vs. Christian (Elimination Chamber) ***3/4
4/7/14 John Cena vs. Bray Wyatt ***1/2
6/1/14 John Cena vs. Bray Wyatt (Last Man Standing) ****1/2
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
7/20/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Kane ***1/4
8/17/14 Brock Lesnar vs. John Cena ****1/4
9/14/14 John Cena vs. Brock Lesnar ***1/2
10/26/14 John Cena vs. Randy Orton (Hell in a Cell) ***3/4
11/23/14 John Cena/Dolph Ziggler/Erick Rowan/Ryback/Big Show vs. Seth Rollins/Mark Henry/Luke Harper/Kane/Rusev (Elimination) ****1/2

Dean Ambrose
12/15/13 CM Punk vs. Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose ***
2/14/14 Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose/Seth Rollings vs. Sheamus/Daniel Bryan/Christian ***3/4
2/23/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/4
3/3/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/2
4/8/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Erick Rowan/Luke Harper ****1/4
5/4/14 Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista ****1/2
6/1/14 Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista (Elimination) ****
6/29/14 Seth Rollins vs. Dean Ambrose vs. Jack Swagger vs. Dolph Ziggler vs. Rob Van Dam vs. Kofi Kingston (Ladder) ****1/2
8/17/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Lumberjack Match) ***3/4
8/18/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Falls Count Anywhere) ****1/4
10/26/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Hell in a Cell) ****
11/23/14 Bray Wyatt vs. Dean Ambrose ***1/4

Seth Rollins
12/15/13 CM Punk vs. Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose ***
2/23/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/4
3/3/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/2
4/8/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Erick Rowan/Luke Harper ****1/4
5/4/14 Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista ****1/2
6/1/14 Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista (Elimination) ****
6/29/14 Seth Rollins vs. Dean Ambrose vs. Jack Swagger vs. Dolph Ziggler vs. Rob Van Dam vs. Kofi Kingston (Ladder) ****1/2
8/17/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Lumberjack Match) ***3/4
8/18/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Falls Count Anywhere) ****1/4
10/26/14 Dean Ambrose vs. Seth Rollins (Hell in a Cell) ****
11/23/14 John Cena/Dolph Ziggler/Erick Rowan/Ryback/Big Show vs. Seth Rollins/Mark Henry/Luke Harper/Kane/Rusev (Elimination) ****1/2

Cesaro
2/14/14 Randy Orton vs. Cesaro ***1/2
2/17/14 John Cena vs. Cesaro ****1/4
2/23/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena vs. Sheamus vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Cesaro vs. Christian (Elimination Chamber) ***3/4
2/27/14 Cesaro vs. Sami Zayn (NXT) ****1/4
3/18/14 Goldust/Cody Rhodes vs. Cesaro/Jack Swagger ***1/2
4/7/14 Jimmy Uso/Jey Uso vs. Jack Swagger/Cesaro vs. Ryback/Curtis Axel vs. Diego/Fernando (Elimination) ***3/4
6/1/14 Sheamus vs. Cesaro ***1/4
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
8/17/14 Rob Van Dam vs. Cesaro ***1/4
9/14/14 Sheamus vs. Cesaro ****
10/26/14 Dolph Ziggler vs. Cesaro (Two out of Three Falls) ***1/4

Roman Reigns
12/15/13 CM Punk vs. Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose ***
2/14/14 Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose/Seth Rollings vs. Sheamus/Daniel Bryan/Christian ***3/4
2/23/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/4
3/3/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/2
4/8/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Erick Rowan/Luke Harper ****1/4
5/4/14 Seth Rollins/Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista ****1/2
6/1/14 Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins/Dean Ambrose vs. Triple H/Randy Orton/Batista (Elimination) ****
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
7/20/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Kane ***1/4
8/17/14 Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton ****

Bray Wyatt
1/26/14 Bray Wyatt vs. Daniel Bryan ****
2/23/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/4
3/3/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Luke Harper/Erick Rowan ****1/2
4/7/14 John Cena vs. Bray Wyatt ***1/2
4/8/14 Dean Ambrose/Roman Reigns/Seth Rollins vs. Bray Wyatt/Erick Rowan/Luke Harper ****1/4
 4/29/14 Sheamus vs. Bray Wyatt ***1/2
6/1/14 John Cena vs. Bray Wyatt (Last Man Standing) ****1/2
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
8/17/14 Bray Wyatt vs. Chris Jericho ***
11/23/14 Bray Wyatt vs. Dean Ambrose ***1/4

Daniel Bryan
12/16/13 Randy Orton vs. Daniel Bryan ****
1/26/14 Bray Wyatt vs. Daniel Bryan ****
2/3/14 Randy Orton vs. Daniel Bryan ****
2/14/14 Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose/Seth Rollings vs. Sheamus/Daniel Bryan/Christian ***3/4
2/23/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena vs. Sheamus vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Cesaro vs. Christian (Elimination Chamber) ***3/4
4/7/14 Triple H vs. Daniel Bryan ****1/4
4/7/14 Batista vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Randy Orton ****1/2
5/4/14 Daniel Bryan vs. Kane (Extreme Rules) ***1/2

Sheamus
2/10/14 Christian/Sheamus vs. Antonio Cesaro/Jack Swagger ***1/2
2/14/14 Roman Reigns/Dean Ambrose/Seth Rollings vs. Sheamus/Daniel Bryan/Christian ***3/4
2/23/14 Randy Orton vs. John Cena vs. Sheamus vs. Daniel Bryan vs. Cesaro vs. Christian (Elimination Chamber) ***3/4
 4/29/14 Sheamus vs. Bray Wyatt ***1/2
6/1/14 Sheamus vs. Cesaro ***1/4
6/29/14 John Cena vs. Roman Reigns vs. Randy Orton vs. Cesaro vs. Sheamus vs. Kane vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Bray Wyatt (Ladder) ****
9/14/14 Sheamus vs. Cesaro ****

Jack Swagger
12/15/13 Goldust/Cody Rhodes vs. Big Show/Rey Mysterio vs. Ryback/Curtis Axel vs. Jack Swagger/Antonio Cesaro ***1/2
2/10/14 Christian/Sheamus vs. Antonio Cesaro/Jack Swagger ***1/2
2/23/14 Big E vs. Jack Swagger ***
3/18/14 Goldust/Cody Rhodes vs. Cesaro/Jack Swagger ***1/2
4/7/14 Jimmy Uso/Jey Uso vs. Jack Swagger/Cesaro vs. Ryback/Curtis Axel vs. Diego/Fernando (Elimination) ***3/4
6/29/14 Seth Rollins vs. Dean Ambrose vs. Jack Swagger vs. Dolph Ziggler vs. Rob Van Dam vs. Kofi Kingston (Ladder) ****1/2
8/17/14 Rusev vs. Jack Swagger (Flag Match) ***1/4

Total number of Televised Matches in the past year

Again, the preponderance of televised matches from Cesaro really speaks to both his ability and work ethic. Interestingly, Dolph Ziggler, the Usos, Cesaro's partner Jack Swagger, Seth Rollins and Goldust & Stardust (Cody Rhodes) and RybAxel (Curtis Axel & Ryback) round out the list.


In terms of best records, Roman Reigns, Big E (Langston), Rusev (one loss during the Survivor Series tag match), Cena, Paige, Adam Rose, Big Show, Adrian Neville, Viktor & Konnor, Charlotte, El Torito, CM Punk, Kalisto, Simon Gotch and Bull Dempsey all had televised winning records above 75%. 

Worst records? Curtis Axel, Damien Mizdow (Sandow), Titus O'Neil, Fandango, Heath Slater, Kane, Drew McIntyre, Xavier Woods, Jinder Mahal, Aksana, Justin Gabriel, New Age Outlaws (Road Dogg & Billy Gunn), Zack Ryder, CJ Parker and Brodus Clay. About a quarter of that crew (Drew, Aksana, NAO, Brodus Clay) aren't wrestling with WWE anymore.

Friday, October 31, 2014

Did SmackDown usher in the era of "even-steven" booking?

The Query

Matt D. writes:
Chris,
Do you think that there might be a statistical correlation between the birth of smackdown and the start of the "even-stevens" booking in the WWF? If not, then maybe with the death of WCW and the end of the Monday Night wars? If so, is it something that dropped with the brand split and less TV or maybe rose after Lesnar left and WWE might have been less apt to push someone as The Man? 
Any thoughts?

Initial Thoughts

It's a good question. Obviously, there's challenges in quantifying what "even-steven" booking really refers to. Are we talking about person A and person B trading wins between each other? Are we talking about a lack of people being treated as "special" and exempt from losing? Are we discussing the idea that as a whole even the "pushed" wrestlers are losing at random moments to opponents that should be "beneath" them? (That's a lot of "quotes", eh?)

I could approach this by looking at some form of OCELOT ratings where we see what percentage of wrestlers "move up" a significant amount in rankings over a period of time and how that compares across eras. We could do that. However, that's not how I decided to approach it.

My approach
  1. Collect and process WWF/WWE results from 1980-2013 from CageMatch
  2. Filter to TV/PPV matches (excluding Dark Matches)
  3. Calculate win-loss records for each wrestler and total number of TV/PPV matches by year
  4. Include all wrestlers that have at least 20% of the maximum number of TV/PPV matches for that year (i.e. Bryan/Cesaro had most TV/PPV matches in 2013 at 102 so cut-off would be 21 matches meanwhile Tony Garea lead the 1981 list at 41 matches so cut-off was 9 matches)
  5. Categorize each wrestler's annual win-loss record into one of four categories: High [Above 71%], Mid [between 54% and 71%], Low [35% to 53%], Very Low [below 35%]. (These four buckets were chosen so that across the entire time-period, there would be an even distribution in each bucket.)
  6. Calculate what percentage of wrestlers from each year fall into each bucket over time.

Results



Distribution of Wrestlers by Televised/PPV Win Record by Year
YearHigh (71%+)Mid (54%-70%)Low (35%-53%)Very Low (<35 p="">Total
1980
12
4
3
10
29
1981
12
7
2
12
33
1982
20
5
7
17
49
1983
21
3
4
21
49
1984
23
9
4
18
54
1985
34
3
2
24
63
1986
29
14
2
22
67
1987
34
14
6
24
78
1988
34
12
4
25
75
1989
33
7
4
16
60
1990
40
3
4
21
68
1991
29
10
4
16
59
1992
35
7
3
17
62
1993
31
8
3
21
63
1994
33
2
21
56
1995
19
19
8
16
62
1996
10
11
9
10
40
1997
4
20
18
6
48
1998
3
20
21
10
54
1999
15
29
7
51
2000
1
17
26
6
50
2001
1
24
21
5
51
2002
4
26
27
12
69
2003
7
32
30
8
77
2004
5
22
29
15
71
2005
9
22
24
14
69
2006
7
23
34
14
78
2007
11
18
28
18
75
2008
2
25
24
17
68
2009
3
19
28
11
61
2010
2
20
33
16
71
2011
3
22
21
21
67
2012
5
17
19
15
56
2013
7
26
20
11
64
Total
523
506
501
517
2047

Analysis
  • I think the "even-steven" booking may have started before SmackDown began. 
  • From 1980 to 1994, the middle tiers (win records between 35%-54%) only compromised about 19% of the wrestlers. 
  • In 1995 and 1996, appears to be the inflection point where the number of people in the very top echelon (previously 48%) and the very bottom (previously 33%) started to drop. 
  • From 1997 to 2004 (the outermost bounds of what could be called the "Attitude Era"), there was very few people who were "protected" on top. However, it's a very rag-tag group ranging from top-of-the-card performers (Steve Austin, Kurt Angle, Brock Lesnar, Chris Benoit, Undertaker, Goldberg, Rock) to unusual midcarders (Steve Blackman, Dan Severn, Hugh Morrus, Rodney Mack, Val Venis, Jazz).
  • From 2005 to 2013, the percentage of wrestlers that had very high winning records was a little more consistent year-over-year: Batista, Big Show, CM Punk, John Cena, Sheamus, Undertaker. There was also several "flavors-of-the-month" which slip in such as Umaga, Snitsky, Alberto Del Rio, Heidenreich, Mark Henry, Ken Kennedy, Rob Van Dam and Ryback.
Full list of wrestlers by year available at indeedwrestling.com.

Notes: This doesn't differentiate between tag teams and singles matches. Losses are not qualified by whether they were clean or whether it was DQ/Count-Out/interference/etc.

Analysis by Chris Harrington (@mookieghana)

Thursday, October 30, 2014

What we learned during the Q3 results from WWE...

Here's my "brief" synopsis of what we learned during today's Q3 results and Conference Call:
by Chris Harrington (chris.harrington@gmail.com); @mookieghana on Twitter

1. WWE will be launching in the U.K. using over-the-top technology in November. WWE Network is still unavailable in Italy, Germany, UAE, Japan, India, Thailand, Malaysia. Plans for those countries are yet to be announced.

2. WWE is abandoning the 6-month commitment model starting 11/1. Current subscribers will be "migrated" to the non-commitment model starting in December. For what it's worth, the $12.99 no-commitment model had attracted 23,000 subscribers by quarter end.

3. WWE is offering a free month to new subscribers for November. "We know sampling will be a big part of this business,” Mr. Barrios told the WSJ.

4. WWE received $50M in partial pre-payment in October from a recently completed TV Rights deal. (Could be Canada or India.) WWE also took a "$4.0 million impairment of an equity investment" this quarter. It's unknown what exactly this was candidates could include Phunware, Tout or even something like Marvel Ventures. Barrios hinted it was a technology-related investment when asked by an analyst.

5. WWE ended the quarter with 731,000 paid subscribers to the WWE Network (703,000 U.S. and 28,000 International) as of September 30, 2014. That 28,000 number does include the Rogers Canada subscribers.

6. WWE Network Advertising (which began 10/13 with Pepsi, Mattel, K-Mart, Take-Two Interactive and Pure Talk USA) isn't expected to generate enough meaningful revenue that WWE was going to adjust their overall economic model.

7. Since launch, WWE has attracted approximately 971,000 unique subscribers. However, only 75.2% remain as of September 30.

  • 2/24 to 3/31 (+519k, lost -24k) - these have hit 6-month renewal
  • 4/01 to 4/06 (+182k, lost -10k) - these will hit 6-month renewal first week of October.
  • 4/07 to 6/30 (+167k, lost -134k) - these will hit 6-month renewal in Q4
  • 7/01 to 9/30 (+286k, lost -255k)


8. WWE has finalized their TV distribution agreements in US, India, Canada, Mexico and UAE along with previous deals in UK and Thailand. This brings the company through about 2018 on "Key TV Contracts" for revenue estimates. Expect these seven distribution agreements will raise WWE TV Rights from ~$130M (2014) to ~$235M (2018).

9. WWE's new narrative is that the WWE Network is pushing "domestic transactions". Basically, they're promoting B-level PPVs are getting far more viewers with the $9.99/month WWE Network than they were when they were stand-alone, high-priced PPV offerings.

10. Misc Numbers: Raw (+2%) and SmackDown (+3%) TV ratings are up. Social Media is now over 420 million followers. North American attendance is down 7% (5100 fans) and event sponsorship revenue has dropped. International attendance is up 15% (7700 fans) but WWE ran 8 less int'l shows than last year. Licensing is up because of a "higher effective royalty rate" with the Video Game. WWE Studios only lost $0.4M this quarter (versus $7.4M last year when you include the Film Impairment charges in 2013). Corporate & Other costs have gone up $7.6M because of severance/restructuring charges ($2.1M) and talent development, brand marketing and expansion of WWE international infrastructure. "Charge of $1.8 million to write down certain assets associated with the Company's gamification initiative."

There was a lot of talk about churn and questions about specific markets (i.e. how is Canada doing?) but WWE wouldn't get into very clear numbers. They remain convinced that the OIBDA outlook for 2015 is on track.

I'm sure at least one list-bait site will want to turn this into a ten-page slideshow so I went ahead and made it easy for ya.

chris.harrington@gmail.com

WWE Q3 2014 - Your Links


Key Performance Indicators: through September 30, 2014 -- (Warrior DVD continues to limp along in sales)

Q3 2014 Results -- 731k subs as of 9/30; 971k subscribers since the service ever started; 28k int'l subscribers active in 9/30; no more $12.99 plan/no more 6-month commitment; UK should roll out OTT in November

Trending Schedules -- yes, Canada is part of OTT Subscription numbers.

WSJ Article on WWE Q3 Results -- good breakout of key #s.

WWE Earnings Presentation Slides -- really good breakouts




Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Estimating Canadian WWE Network Subscribers through Rogers (Q3)

Regarding the estimate for Canadian WWE Network subscribers.

Population of the US is 316M. Population of Canada is 35M. (Source) Historically, WWE reported a "Domestic PPV" number which included US, Canada and Puerto Rico. While Canada is only 10% of the population, PPV buys from Canada were higher - I'd estimate more in the 15% of the total "domestic" buys range. That's a 1.5x multiplier.

Average buys for the normal PPVs (let's exclude WrestleMania, Royal Rumble and SummerSlam) from 2011-2013 was about 120,000 "domestic" buys. We'll assume that's about 102,000 from the US/Puerto Rico and 18,000 from Canada.

In the US, there's about "98 million homes that have cable" (WON 1/20/2014, subscription required). Nielsen estimates there are "116.3 million homes in the US" which have "at least one operable TV/monitor with the ability to deliver video via traditional means of antennae, cable set-top-box or satellite receiver and/or with a broadband connection." If we take the midpoint of these two, let's say the US market for accessing WWE PPVs would be 107M.

Prior to launching the WWE Network, WWE was getting about 102,000 PPV buys out of 107,000,000 "eligible" homes. That's about 0.1%. Let's assume that at least 80% of the Q2 700,000 WWE Network subscribers are located in the United States (560,000 US WWE Network subscribers).  So, 560,000/102,000 = 5.5x multiplier. That is, we're seeing about 5.5x the "normal" US PPV baseline in WWE Network Volume (due to the lower price).

In Canada, only Rogers Communications is offering a version of the WWE Network. That's a base of 5.2 million cable subscribers. Assuming that we're seeing about the higher-per-capita rate of Canadian WWE fans (0.15% in Canada instead of 0.10% in US), that would be 7,500 PPV buys at regular price. using the 5.5x multiplier, that would suggest about 41,000 Canadian WWE Network subscribers. Keep mind the price in Canada is more like $12/month so I'm not even factoring in some price elasticity due to a 30% markup against the domestic/global WWE Network price.

Thus, that's why I would expect that WWE will record something in the range of 40,000 to 50,000 WWE Network subscribers in Canada. Whether they'll actually explicitly tell us that in the Q3 update, remains to be seen!

Friday, October 24, 2014

Trying to estimate the Q3 WWE Network Subscription Number

Let's start with what we know:

WWE Network
03/31/14: 495,000 subscribers (10-Q; filed 5/2/14)
04/07/14: 667,287 subscribers (Press Release 4/7/14)
06/30/14: 699,750 subscribers (10-Q; filed 8/1/14)

There's some additional data-points hidden in the 10-Q releases.

3/31/14
Q1 Network Segment Net Revenue: +$18,432,000
Q1 Network Segment OIBDA:-$3,589,000
Q1 PPV Buys: 677,400
Q1 Revenue/Buys: $20.00
Q1 PPV Revenue Calculated: $20.00 x 677,400 = $13,548,000
Q1 WWE Network Revenue: $18,432,000 - $13,548,000 = $4,884,000
Q1 Paid Subscription Days: 29 days (2/24/14 to 3/31/14 with a one-week free trial)
Q1 Estimated Subscriptions at Midpoint: $4,884,000 / $9.99 = 488,889 subscriptions on 3/16/14

6/30/14
Q2 Network Segment Net Revenue: $43,235,000
Q2 Network Segment OIBDA:-$7,347,000
Q2 PPV Buys: 1,058,600
Q2 Revenue/Buys: $22.51
Q2 PPV Revenue Calculated: $22.51 x 1,058,600 = $23,829,000
Q2 WWE Network Revenue: $43,235,000 - $23,829,000 = $19,406,000
Q2 Paid Subscription Days: 91 days (4/1/14 to 6/30/14)
Q2 Estimated Subscriptions at Midpoint: $19,406,000 / $9.99 = 647,511 subscriptions on 5/15/14

Since Q2 number, there's been two big developments:
I) First round of six-month subscriptions coming up for renewal
II) Global Launch of the WWE Network

Let's combine known/derived information.

A. 02/23/2014: no subscribers
B. 03/16/2014: 488,889 subscribers
C. 03/31/2014: 495,000 subscribers
D. 04/07/2014: 667,287 subscribers
E. 05/15/2014: 647,511 subscribers
F. 06/30/2014: 699,750 subscribers

A to B: growth at 23,280/day
B to C: growth at 407/day
C to D: growth at 24,612/day
D to E: decline at 520/day
E to F: growth at 1,136/day


There's several pieces to the current WWE Network subscription number:
a) Subscribers to the domestic WWE Network who have renewed
b) Subscribers to the domestic WWE Network who are still in their initial six-month subscription
c) Subscribers to the global OTT WWE Network
d) Subscribers to the Rogers/Canadian "WWE Network"

We know that at least 495,000 subscribers will have their subscription come up for renewal before Q3. In reality, it's logical to conclude that the entire WrestleMania crowd (667,287) ought to be up for renewal (though I suspect some of these people were involved in the 128,000 cancellations from Q2).

Let's assume that WWE Network retention could range from low (I'll say 70%) to high (I'll say 90%).
With the "WM base" that would range from 467,000 (70%) to 534,000 (80%) to 601,000 (90%).
Let's take the midpoint (534,000).

Subscribers to the domestic WWE Network who have joined after WrestleMania and are still in their initial six-month period would probably be around 137,000. Let's assume they are still active.

Then you have the international roll-out on August 12.
There's essentially two pieces: the international OTT service and the Canadian Rogers service.

If we look at the original Q1 growth for the domestic service (13,750/day), the international roll-out could range from 5% to 40% as robust. After 50 days, international subscriptions could range from 34,375 (5% of domestic ramp-up) to 68,750 (10%) to 171,875 (25%) to 206,250 (30%) to 275,000 (35%).

I'm going to go with about 15% which would suggest about 103,125 international WWE Network OTT subscriptions.

The Canadian/Rogers' number is even harder to guess. It could be tiny or relatively large. For now, I'll go with 50,000.

Subscriptions = non-renewal base + renewed base + int'l OTT + Rogers
Subscriptions = 137,000 + 534,000 + 103,125 + 50,000 = 824,125.

Q3 prediction of 800,000 to 825,000 seems to be a popular bet.

Analysis: Chris Harrington (@mookieghana) / chris.harrington@gmail.com