Monday, July 21, 2014

Their 100th Televised Match (WWF/WWE)... (part one)

I was interested in looking at example milestones for wrestlers. I looked at their 100th Televised WWF/WWE match (excludes Rumbles). This includes NXT (on SyFy) but not NXT (on Hulu/int'l TV). It does include int'l only shows like Superstars or International Heat.

I think it's interesting to see who was involved in big feuds (Steve Austin, The Rock, Jack Swagger, Alberto Del Rio, Kurt Angle) versus guys that were in random feuds (The Big Show vs The Godfather, Ryback squashing Curt Hawkins, Snitsky beating a jobber, Tatsu losing to Titus). I combined people who had several gimmicks into one. My database only started in 1993, so I excluded 80s guys and returning 80s guys (Bossman, HBK, Bam Bam, etc.).

AJ Lee -- 2/23/14: WWE Divas Title: Cameron defeats AJ Lee (w/Tamina Snuka) (c) by DQ (3:57) [PPV]
Al Snow -- 8/23/99: WWF Hardcore Title: Al Snow (c) vs. The Road Dogg - No Contest (2:54) [RAW]
Alberto Del Rio -- 5/22/12: World Heavyweight Title #1 Contendership Triple Threat: Alberto Del Rio defeats Kane and Randy Orton (10:41) [SMACKDOWN]
Alicia Fox -- 11/29/11: Alicia Fox defeats Maxine [NXT]
Bart Gunn -- 11/20/95: WWF World Tag Team Title: The Smoking Gunns (Bart Gunn & Billy Gunn) (c) defeat Rad Radford & Skip (w/Sunny) [WWF SUPERSTARS]
Batista -- 6/20/05: Kurt Angle & Triple H defeat Batista & Shawn Michaels (7:45) [RAW]
Beth Phoenix -- 12/15/09: Beth Phoenix defeats Maria (1:37) [SMACKDOWN]
Billy Gunn -- 12/18/95: WWF World Tag Team Title: The Smoking Gunns (Bart Gunn & Billy Gunn) (c) defeat The Spiders (Spider #1 & Spider #2) [RAW]
Billy Kidman -- 2/15/04: Kyo Dai (Akio, Sakoda & Tajiri) defeat Billy Kidman, Paul London & Ultimo Dragon [HEAT]
Bobby Lashley -- 5/21/07: Gauntlet Series: Bobby Lashley defeats Umaga by DQ (5:52) [RAW]
Booker T -- 9/22/02: Booker T, Bubba Ray Dudley, Goldust & Kane defeat The Un-Americans (Christian, Lance Storm, Test & William Regal) (9:52) [PPV]
Bradshaw -- 3/14/99: Ken Shamrock & The Big Bossman vs. The Acolytes (Bradshaw & Faarooq) - Double DQ [SHOTGUN]
Brian Christopher -- 12/28/99: Mosh (w/Thrasher) defeats Grandmaster Sexay (w/Scotty 2 Hotty) (4:25) [HEAT]
Brian Kendrick -- 5/29/07: WWE Tag Team Title Three Way: Deuce & Domino (w/Cherry) (c) defeat Brian Kendrick & Paul London and Dave Taylor & William Regal (16:36) [SMACKDOWN]
Brie Bella -- 9/16/13: Brie Bella & The Funkadactyls (Cameron & Naomi) (w/Eva Marie & Nikki Bella) defeat Aksana, Alicia Fox & Layla (3:00) [RAW]
Brodus Clay -- 5/27/13: Tons Of Funk (Brodus Clay & Tensai) & The Great Khali (w/Cameron, Hornswoggle, Naomi & Natalya) defeat 3MB (Drew McIntyre, Heath Slater & Jinder Mahal) (3:05) [RAW]
Bubba Ray Dudley -- 9/25/00: Tazz defeats Buh Buh Ray Dudley (w/D-Von Dudley) (4:01) [RAW]
Bull Buchanan -- 12/30/00: WWF World Tag Team Title #1 Contendership: The Dudley Boyz (Buh Buh Ray Dudley & D-Von Dudley) defeat The Right To Censor (Bull Buchanan & The Goodfather) (w/Steven Richards) (3:34) [SMACKDOWN]
Carlito -- 6/4/07: Carlito defeats Torrie Wilson (0:40) [RAW]
Cesaro -- 8/19/13: The Prime Time Players (Darren Young & Titus O'Neil) defeat The Real Americans (Antonio Cesaro & Jack Swagger) (w/Zeb Colter) (4:50) [RAW]
Charles Wright -- 5/9/99: WWF Intercontinental Title: The Godfather (c) defeats The Blue Meanie [SHOTGUN]
Charlie Haas -- 2/22/05: Charlie Haas & Hardcore Holly defeat Fred Sampson & Mike Kruel (5:23) [VELOCITY]
Chavo Guerrero Jr -- 5/4/04: WWE Cruiserweight Title: Jacqueline defeats Chavo Guerrero (w/Chavo Guerrero Sr.) (c) [SMACKDOWN]
Chris Benoit -- 12/2/00: The Undertaker defeats Chris Benoit (12:18) [UKPPV]
Chris Jericho -- 7/25/00: Intergender Tag Team: Chris Jericho & Lita defeat Chris Benoit & Trish Stratus (w/Shane McMahon) (3:27) [SMACKDOWN]
Chris Masters -- 12/21/09: Chris Masters (w/Eve Torres) defeats Carlito (1:40) [RAW]
Christian -- 4/30/00: WWF World Tag Team Title: Christian & Edge (c) defeat D-Generation X (The Road Dogg & X-Pac) (w/Tori) (8:37) [PPV]
Chuck Palumbo -- 5/13/03: Chuck Palumbo (w/Johnny Stamboli & Nunzio) defeats Rikishi (3:13) [SMACKDOWN]
CM Punk -- 3/4/08: ECW Heavyweight Title: Chavo Guerrero (c) defeats CM Punk (16:38) [ECW TV]
Cody Rhodes -- 10/4/09: Hell In A Cell Tag Team: D-Generation X (Shawn Michaels & Triple H) defeat Legacy (Cody Rhodes & Ted DiBiase) (18:02) [PPV]
Crash Holly -- 9/24/00: WWF Hardcore Title Unlimited Title Changes In Ten Minutes: Steve Blackman (c) defeats Al Snow and Crash and Funaki and Perry Saturn and Test (9:00) [PPV]
Curt Hawkins -- 8/6/12: Two On One Handicap: Ryback defeats Curt Hawkins & Tyler Reks (2:49) [RAW]
Curtis Axel -- 7/1/13: CM Punk & Curtis Axel (w/Paul Heyman) defeat The Prime Time Players (Darren Young & Titus O'Neil) (6:10) [RAW]
Damien Sandow -- 5/14/13: The Miz defeats Damien Sandow (4:52) [SMACKDOWN]
Daniel Bryan -- 12/12/11: Fatal Four Way: Dolph Ziggler (w/Vickie Guerrero) defeats Cody Rhodes and Daniel Bryan and Zack Ryder (15:21) [RAW]
Darren Young -- 10/15/12: The Prime Time Players (Darren Young & Titus O'Neil) defeat Santino Marella & Zack Ryder [RAW]
Davey Boy Smith -- 10/20/96: WWF World Tag Team Title: Owen Hart & The British Bulldog (w/Clarence Mason) (c) defeat The Smoking Gunns (Bart Gunn & Billy Gunn) (9:17) [PPV]
David Heath -- 11/16/99: Kurt Angle defeats Gangrel (w/Luna) (2:34) [SMACKDOWN]
Dean Ambrose -- 4/6/14: The Shield (Dean Ambrose, Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) defeat Kane & The New Age Outlaws (Billy Gunn & Road Dogg) (2:55) [PPV]
Dean Malenko -- 4/16/01: Billy Gunn, Raven & Test defeat The Radicalz (Dean Malenko, Eddie Guerrero & Perry Saturn) (w/Terri) (5:56) [RAW]
Dennis Knight -- 3/22/99: The Ministry Of Darkness (Mideon, The Acolytes (Bradshaw & Faarooq) & Viscera) defeat The Disciples Of Apocalypse (8-Ball & Skull) & Too Much (Brian Christopher & Scott Taylor) [SHOTGUN]
D-Lo Brown -- 5/11/99: X-Pac defeats D-Lo Brown (w/Ivory) by DQ [HEAT]
Dolph Ziggler -- 7/13/10: Dolph Ziggler (w/Vickie Guerrero) defeats Matt Hardy (11:00) [SMACKDOWN]
Drew McIntyre -- 6/14/11: Drew McIntyre defeats Vladimir Kozlov (3:53) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Dustin Rhodes -- 3/29/98: Mixed Tag Team: Marc Mero & Sable defeat Luna & TAFKA Goldust (9:11) [PPV]
D-Von Dudley -- 9/18/00: The Right To Censor (Bull Buchanan & The Goodfather) (w/Steven Richards & Val Venis) defeat The Dudley Boyz (Buh Buh Ray Dudley & D-Von Dudley) (3:06) [RAW]
Eddie Guerrero -- 5/15/01: Eddie Guerrero & The Hardy Boyz (Jeff Hardy & Matt Hardy) (w/Lita) defeat Dean Malenko, Jerry Lynn & Perry Saturn (w/Terri) (6:59) [SMACKDOWN]
Edge -- 12/27/99: Four Corners Tag Team Match (Special Referee: Joey Abs): The Dudley Boyz (Buh Buh Ray Dudley & D-Von Dudley) defeat D-Lo Brown & The Godfather and Christian & Edge and The Acolytes (Bradshaw & Faarooq) (2:33) [RAW]
Epico -- 3/31/14: Los Matadores (Diego & Fernando) & The Usos (Jey Uso & Jimmy Uso) (w/El Torito) defeat Curtis Axel, Ryback & The Real Americans (Cesaro & Jack Swagger) (w/Zeb Colter) (14:00) [RAW]
Essa Rios -- 11/20/00: The Hardy Boyz (Jeff Hardy & Matt Hardy) defeat Essa Rios & Funaki (6:10) [JAKKED]
Evan Bourne -- 10/11/10: Team RAW Qualifying: CM Punk defeats Evan Bourne (2:16) [RAW]
Eve Torres -- 7/9/12: AJ & CM Punk defeat Daniel Bryan & Eve Torres (3:15) [RAW]
Fandango -- 1/20/14: Fandango (w/Summer Rae) defeats Xavier Woods (w/R-Truth) (1:08) [RAW]
Fit Finlay -- 11/27/07: Finlay & Hornswoggle defeat Deuce & Domino (w/Cherry) (3:43) [SMACKDOWN]
Gail Kim -- 3/15/11: Eve Torres, Gail Kim, Natalya & Tamina defeat The Bella Twins (Brie Bella & Nikki Bella), Alicia Fox & Melina (8:10) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Gene Snitsky -- 10/29/07: Snitsky defeats Greg Cardona [HEAT]
Glen Jacobs -- 6/9/99: Kane & X-Pac defeat Hardcore Holly & The Big Show (1:57) [HEAT]
Hardcore Holly -- 11/18/96: Doug Furnas & Philip LaFon defeat Bob Holly & Leif Cassidy [RAW]
Heath Slater -- 6/25/12: Sycho Sid defeats Heath Slater (1:30) [RAW]
Hurricane Helms -- 5/12/03: Ric Flair defeats The Hurricane (4:35) [RAW]
Ivory -- 4/28/03: Ivory defeats Molly Holly (5:22) [HEAT]
Jack Swagger -- 7/18/10: World Heavyweight Title: Rey Mysterio (c) defeats Jack Swagger (10:45) [PPV]
Jacqueline -- 3/10/03: Molly Holly defeats Jacqueline [HEAT]
Jamie Noble -- 8/10/04: Jamie Noble defeats Shannon Moore [VELOCITY]
Jeff Hardy -- 1/11/00: The Hardy Boyz (Jeff Hardy & Matt Hardy) (w/Terri) defeat Prince Albert & The Big Bossman (3:25) [SMACKDOWN]
Jeff Jarrett -- 1/20/98: Barry Windham & Jeff Jarrett defeat The Legion Of Doom (Road Warrior Animal & Road Warrior Hawk) [RAW]
Jerry Lawler -- 5/22/11: Kiss My Foot: Jerry Lawler defeats Michael Cole (2:58) [PPV]
Jey Uso -- 2/19/13: Two On One Handicap: The Big Show defeats The Usos (Jey Uso & Jimmy Uso) (3:38) [MAIN EVENT]
Jillian Hall -- 8/9/10: Three Way Tag Team Match (Special Referee: Santino Marella): The Bella Twins (Brie Bella & Nikki Bella) defeat Eve Torres & Gail Kim and Jillian & Maryse (2:41) [RAW]
Jimmy Uso -- 3/19/13: The Usos (Jey Uso & Jimmy Uso) defeat Prime Time Players (Darren Young & Titus O'Neil) (8:47) [MAIN EVENT]
Jimmy Yang -- 1/8/08: WWE Tag Team Title Fifteen Minutes Of Fame Iron Man: John Morrison & The Miz (c) vs. Jimmy Wang Yang & Shannon Moore - Draw [1:1] (15:00) [ECW TV]
Jinder Mahal -- 10/7/13: Los Matadores (Diego & Fernando) (w/El Torito) defeat 3MB (Drew McIntyre & Jinder Mahal) (w/Heath Slater) [RAW]
John Cena -- 8/10/04: Summer Games Relay: Charlie Haas, John Cena & Rob Van Dam (w/Miss Jackie) defeat Booker T, Luther Reigns & Rene Dupree (27:33) [SMACKDOWN]
John Morrison -- 5/28/07: Lance Cade, The Hardys (Jeff Hardy & Matt Hardy) & Trevor Murdoch defeat Johnny Nitro, Kenny Dykstra & The World's Greatest Tag Team (Charlie Haas & Shelton Benjamin) (13:32) [RAW]
JTG -- 5/18/10: JTG defeats Caylen Croft (2:36) [SMACKDOWN]
Justin Credible -- 3/27/01: Justin Credible & X-Pac (w/Albert) defeat The APA (Bradshaw & Faarooq) (w/Jacqueline) (3:22) [SMACKDOWN]
Justin Gabriel -- 8/14/12: Damien Sandow defeats Justin Gabriel [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Kaitlyn -- 12/10/13: Kaitlyn defeats Aksana [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Kelly Kelly -- 7/6/10: Layla & Michelle McCool defeat Kelly Kelly & Tiffany (6:42) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Ken Shamrock -- 2/16/99: Ken Shamrock vs. The Godfather - No Contest [HEAT]
Kevin Nash -- 12/18/11: Suspended Sledgehammer Ladder: Triple H defeats Kevin Nash (18:11) [PPV]
Kofi Kingston -- 12/7/09: Singles Match (Special Referee: Mark Cuban): Kofi Kingston defeats Randy Orton (5:15) [RAW]
Kurt Angle -- 10/2/00: WWF World Heavyweight Title No#1 Contendership: Kurt Angle defeats Triple H (8:22) [RAW]
Lance Cade -- 11/27/06: Lance Cade & Trevor Murdoch defeat The Highlanders (Robbie McAllister & Rory McAllister) [HEAT]
Lance Storm -- 12/2/02: Lance Storm & William Regal defeat Jeff Hardy & Tommy Dreamer (3:26) [RAW]
Layla -- 12/11/10: Kelly Kelly, Natalya & The Bella Twins (Brie Bella & Nikki Bella) defeat Alicia Fox, Layla, Melina & Michelle McCool [TRIBUTE]
Lita -- 1/19/04: Jazz (w/Theodore Long) defeats Lita (3:50) [RAW]
Marc Mero -- 10/19/98: Edge defeats Marc Mero [SHOTGUN]
Mark Canterbury -- 7/6/97: Free For All Tag Team: The Godwinns (Henry O. Godwinn & Phineas I. Godwinn) defeat The New Blackjacks (Blackjack Bradshaw & Blackjack Windham) (5:32) [PPV]
Mark Henry -- 5/14/02: Christian & Test defeat Faarooq & Mark Henry [JAKKED]
Maryse -- 6/7/11: Maryse & Melina defeat Eve Torres & Gail Kim (3:44) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Matt Bloom -- 7/31/00: T&A (Albert & Test) (w/Trish Stratus) defeat Lo Down (Chaz & D-Lo Brown) [JAKKED]
Matt Hardy -- 12/13/99: Steel Cage Tag Team: Christian & Edge defeat The Hardy Boyz (Jeff Hardy & Matt Hardy) (w/Terri) (5:36) [RAW]
Maven -- 11/14/04: Winners Gain One Month Control Of RAW Survivor Series Eight Man Tag Team Elimination: Chris Benoit, Chris Jericho, Maven & Randy Orton defeat Batista, Edge, Gene Snitsky & Triple H (w/Ric Flair) (24:30) [PPV]
Melina -- 4/6/09: Jillian Hall, Kelly Kelly, Layla, Melina & Mickie James defeat Eve Torres, Gail Kim, Maria, Maryse & Natalya (3:57) [RAW]
Michelle McCool -- 3/9/10: Tiffany defeats Michelle McCool (w/Layla & Vickie Guerrero) by DQ (1:29) [SMACKDOWN]
Mick Foley -- 7/28/98: Mankind vs. The Undertaker - No Contest [HEAT]
Mickie James -- 6/16/08: Mixed Tag Team: Katie Lea & Paul Burchill defeat Mickie James & Mr. Kennedy (4:06) [RAW]
Molly Holly -- 9/22/03: Lita & Trish Stratus defeat Gail Kim & Molly Holly (6:59) [RAW]
Mosh -- 11/3/98: Triple Threat: Mosh (w/Thrasher) defeats D-Lo Brown (w/Mark Henry) and The Road Dogg (w/Billy Gunn) (5:30) [RAW]
Mr Kennedy -- 12/7/07: D-Generation X (Shawn Michaels & Triple H) defeat Mr. Kennedy & Umaga [RAW]
MVP -- 8/31/08: Shelton Benjamin defeats Montel Vontavious Porter (3:45) [SMACKDOWN]
Natalya -- 9/27/11: Kelly Kelly defeats Natalya (w/Beth Phoenix) (1:25) [SMACKDOWN]
Nikki Bella -- 2/10/14: Cameron & The Bella Twins (Brie Bella & Nikki Bella) (w/Eva Marie) defeat AJ Lee, Aksana & Alicia Fox (w/Tamina Snuka) (4:42) [RAW]
Nunzio -- 7/26/05: Paul London defeats Nunzio [VELOCITY]
Paul London -- 4/17/06: Paul London (w/Brian Kendrick) defeats Mercury (w/Melina & Nitro) (8:43) [SMACKDOWN]
Perry Saturn -- 3/6/01: Gauntlet: The Radicalz (Dean Malenko, Eddie Guerrero & Perry Saturn) (w/Terri) defeat Chris Benoit (6:35) [SMACKDOWN]
Primo Colon -- 1/31/12: Tag Team: Epico & Primo (w/Rosa Mendes) defeat Jim Duggan & Santino Marella (2:20) [SMACKDOWN]
Randy Orton -- 1/3/05: Randy Orton defeats Triple H (16:40) [RAW]
Raven -- 4/1/02: WWF Hardcore Title: Bubba Ray Dudley defeats Raven (c) (4:06) [RAW]
Rene Dupree -- 7/4/05: Rene Dupree defeats Val Venis (1:53) [RAW]
Rey Mysterio -- 6/15/04: WWE Cruiserweight Title: Rey Mysterio defeats Chavo Guerrero Classic (c) (1:38) [SMACKDOWN]
Rhyno -- 12/16/03: Faarooq defeats Rhyno by DQ (2:03) [SMACKDOWN]
Rikishi -- 2/20/96: Justin Bradshaw (w/Zebekiah) defeats Fatu (0:03) [WWF SUPERSTARS]
Rob Conway -- 8/15/05: Rob Conway defeats The Hurricane (w/Super Stacy) (2:30) [RAW]
Rob Van Dam -- 6/24/02: WWE Intercontinental Title: Rob Van Dam (c) defeats Brock Lesnar (w/Paul Heyman) by DQ (9:49) [RAW]
Ron Killings -- 12/15/09: CM Punk, Drew McIntyre & Luke Gallows defeat John Morrison, Matt Hardy & R-Truth (11:38) [SMACKDOWN]
Ron Simmons -- 4/25/99: The Ministry Of Darkness (Mideon & The Acolytes (Bradshaw & Faarooq)) defeat The Brood (Christian, Edge & Gangrel) (11:38) [PPV]
Rosey -- 6/6/05: The Heart Throbs (Antonio & Romeo) & Victoria defeat Christy Hemme, Rosey & The Hurricane by DQ (3:00) [RAW]
Ryback -- 8/5/13: Mark Henry defeats Ryback by Count Out (1:45) [RAW]
Santino Marella -- 6/28/10: Vladimir Kozlov defeats Santino Marella (1:25) [RAW]
Savio Vega -- 8/20/96: Vader (w/Jim Cornette) defeats Savio Vega [WWF SUPERSTARS]
Scott Taylor -- 2/15/99: The Disciples Of Apocalypse (8-Ball & Skull) & Too Much (Brian Christopher & Scott Taylor) defeat The Oddities (George Steele, Giant Silva, Golga & Kurrgan) [SHOTGUN]
Sean Waltman -- 8/15/95: The 1-2-3 Kid defeats Skip (w/Sunny) by Count Out [WWF SUPERSTARS]
Seth Rollins -- 5/5/14: The Wyatt Family (Bray Wyatt, Erick Rowan & Luke Harper) defeat The Shield (Dean Ambrose, Roman Reigns & Seth Rollins) (18:01) [RAW]
Shannon Moore -- 3/15/05: Akio defeats Shannon Moore (4:39) [VELOCITY]
Sheamus -- 8/14/11: Mark Henry defeats Sheamus by Count Out (9:22) [PPV]
Shelton Benjamin -- 1/17/05: La Resistance (Robert Conway & Sylvain Grenier) & Maven defeat Rosey, Shelton Benjamin & The Hurricane (3:35) [RAW]
Sho Funaki -- 1/16/01: Lo Down (Chaz & D-Lo Brown) (w/Tiger Ali Singh) defeat Kai En Tai (Funaki & Taka Michinoku) [HEAT]
Spike Dudley -- 9/2/02: Spike Dudley defeats Raven [HEAT]
Steve Austin -- 9/27/98: WWF World Heavyweight Title Triple Threat: Kane and The Undertaker defeat Steve Austin (c) (22:03) [PPV]
Steve Blackman -- 2/1/00: Al Snow & Steve Blackman defeat The Hollys (Crash Holly & Hardcore Holly) (3:08) [SMACKDOWN]
Stevie Richards -- 2/3/03: Sgt. Slaughter defeats Steven Richards [HEAT]
Super Crazy -- 1/13/08: Jim Duggan & Super Crazy defeat The Highlanders (Robbie & Rory) [HEAT]
Sylvain Grenier -- 12/2/06: Chris Benoit defeats Sylvan (0:55) [SMACKDOWN]
Tajiri -- 8/27/02: Shannon Moore (w/The Hurricane) defeats Tajiri (w/Jamie Noble & Nidia) (6:35) [SMACKDOWN]
Taka Michinoku -- 5/16/00: Essa Rios & Lita defeat Kai En Tai (Funaki & Taka Michinoku) (5:02) [HEAT]
Tamina Snuka -- 4/28/14: Tamina Snuka defeats Natalya [SUPERSTARS]
Tazz -- 1/3/02: WWF World Tag Team Title: The Dudley Boyz (Bubba Ray Dudley & D-Von Dudley) (w/Stacy Keibler) (c) defeat Spike Dudley & Tazz (4:07) [SMACKDOWN]
Ted DiBiase Jr -- 12/11/10: R-Truth (w/Eve Torres) defeats Ted DiBiase (w/Maryse) [TRIBUTE]
Test -- 5/9/00: T&A (Albert & Test) (w/Gerald Brisco, Shane McMahon & Trish Stratus) defeat The Dudley Boyz (Buh Buh Ray Dudley & D-Von Dudley) (6:06) [SMACKDOWN]
The Big Show -- 4/4/00: The Big Show defeats The Godfather (w/Ho's) (2:26) [SMACKDOWN]
The Great Khali -- 12/29/09: The Great Khali defeats The Carolina Panther (0:26) [SMACKDOWN]
The Miz -- 9/29/08: The Miz (w/John Morrison) defeats JTG (w/Shad) (3:44) [RAW]
The Road Dogg -- 11/15/98: WWF World Tag Team Title Three Way Dance: The New Age Outlaws (Billy Gunn & The Road Dogg) (c) defeat D-Lo Brown & Mark Henry and The Head Bangers (Mosh & Thrasher) (10:10) [PPV]
The Rock -- 12/6/98: WWF World Heavyweight Title: The Rock (c) defeats X-Pac by DQ (12:33) [UKPPV]
Thrasher -- 9/29/98: The Oddities (Golga & Kurrgan) defeat The Head Bangers (Mosh & Thrasher) [HEAT]
Titus O'Neil -- 1/7/13: Brodus Clay & Zack Ryder (w/Cameron & Naomi) defeat The Prime Time Players (Darren Young & Titus O'Neil) (4:25) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Tommy Dreamer -- 12/3/06: Daivari (w/The Great Khali) defeats Tommy Dreamer (7:23) [PPV]
Trevor Murdoch -- 3/17/08: Seventeen On Two Handicap Elimination: John Cena & Randy Orton defeat Brian Kendrick, Carlito, Charlie Haas, Cody Rhodes, DH Smith, Hardcore Holly, Jim Duggan, John Bradshaw Layfield, Lance Cade, Paul Burchill, Robbie, Santino Marella, Snitsky, Super Crazy, Trevor Murdoch, Umaga & Val Venis by DQ (8:35) [RAW]
Triple H -- 6/30/97: Ken Shamrock defeats Hunter Hearst Helmsley (w/Chyna) (4:41) [RAW]
Trish Stratus -- 11/5/02: RAW vs. SmackDown! Bikini Contest: Torrie Wilson vs. Trish Stratus - No Contest [SPECIAL]
Tyson Kidd -- 5/10/11: Tyson Kidd (w/Michael Hayes) defeats Trent Barreta (9:41) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Umaga -- 10/15/07: First Blood: Umaga (w/Vince McMahon) defeats Andy Simmonz (1:23) [RAW]
Vader -- 8/10/98: Bart Gunn vs. Vader - Double Count Out [HEAT]
Val Venis -- 10/26/99: Mankind defeats Val Venis (5:56) [SMACKDOWN]
Victoria -- 4/11/05: Christy Hemme & Victoria defeat Molly Holly & Trish Stratus (4:42) [RAW]
Viscera -- 8/28/95: Diesel & Shawn Michaels defeat Men On A Mission (King Mabel & Sir Mo) [ACTION ZONE]
Vladimir Kozlov -- 3/1/11: Santino Marella & Vladimir Kozlov (w/Tamina) defeat Primo & Zack Ryder [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Wade Barrett -- 2/7/12: Sheamus & The Big Show defeat Cody Rhodes & Wade Barrett (12:27) [SMACKDOWN]
William Regal -- 5/20/02: WWE European Title: Bubba Ray Dudley defeats William Regal (w/Molly Holly) (c) by DQ (2:44) [RAW]
Yoshi Tatsu -- 3/20/12: Titus O'Neil defeats Yoshi Tatsu (4:30) [WWE SUPERSTARS]
Zack Ryder -- 10/11/10: Team RAW Qualifying: Santino Marella defeats Zack Ryder (1:47) [RAW]
 
@mookieghana

Friday, July 18, 2014

The Wrestlenomics of 2014 G1 Climax Tournament


I haven't listened to Rich & Joe's Preview Show at Voices of Wrestling nor do I plan to watch any of the New Japan Pro Wrestling coverage on USTREAM. However, that doesn't mean I won't compete in the excellent G1 PICK 'EM TOURNAMENT! But how does an ignorant gaijin like myself know who they should choose? Obviously, we're going to harness THE AWESOME POWER OF WRESTLENOMICS.




(I literally googled "cheesy lightning bolt graphic" to find that gem.)

There are 112 matches in the G1 tournament.  We know the lineups for 110 and the last two are the wrestlers with the most points wrestling for 1st/2nd place and 3rd/4th place. Unfortunately, news broke today that Kota Ibushi has officially been removed as a competitor (due to the lingering effects of a concussion). We don't know the replacement.  Therefore, I ran my simulation assuming that Kota was in the tournament, and then flipped the few matches he won back to his competitor (woohoo! Festus gets some points!).

I started by pulling all NJPW cards since January 2013 from CageMatch. That covered 176 events and 1,329 matches. This included over 125 wrestlers, but only about eighty with 5 or more matches.  I calculated everyone's win/loss records for singles/tag matches since January 2013.
New Japan Pro Wrestling - Win/Loss Records since January 2013 (5+ matches)

Next, I calculated "feud statistics" looking at everyone's individual singles records against one another along with tag results. (I learned, for instance, that Sho Tanaka and Yohei Komatsu have had 26 singles matches during this time where they racked up a stunning 21 draws.  For those counting, Komatsu is ahead 3:2 in terms of wins since January 2013.) Among G1 competitors, Minoru Suzuki and Toru Yano are split 3-3 in singles matches and Okada leads Tanahashi 2:1. (Again, the timeframe is just since January 2013.)

For each match I looked at several factors:
  • What are their singles records against each other?
  • What are their tag records when they faced off with each other/
  • Who has the higher overall singles winning percentage?

Night 1 - 7/21/14

  • A Block: Tomohiro Ishii (41%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 8 tag matches (Tied at 4 matches each) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • A Block: Shelton Benjamin (47%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Benjamin leads 2:1) --- Shelton Benjamin
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 2 singles matches (Anderson leads 2:0); 4 tag matches (Anderson leads 4:0) --- Karl Anderson
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Yuji Nagata (63%) = no singles encounters; 33 tag matches (Kojima leads 21:12) --- Yuji Nagata
  • B Block: Toru Yano (44%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = 6 singles matches (Tied at 3 matches each); 48 tag matches (Minoru Suzuki leads 24:23) --- Minoru Suzuki
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = 3 singles matches (Naito leads 2:1); 37 tag matches (Naito leads 27:10) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Hirooki Goto (50%) = 1 singles match (Makabe leads 1:0); 5 tag matches (Makabe leads 4:1) --- Togi Makabe
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Kota Ibushi (50%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Ibushi leads 1:0) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: A.J. Styles (100%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = 3 singles matches (Styles leads 3:0); 2 tag matches (Styles leads 2:0) --- A.J. Styles

Night 2 - 7/23/14

  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (41%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 3 tag matches (Ishii leads 2:1) --- Tomohiro Ishii
  • A Block: Shelton Benjamin (47%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = 1 singles match (Fale leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Fale leads 1:0) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = no singles encounters; 22 tag matches (Goto leads 17:5) --- Hirooki Goto
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Tetsuya Naito
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Kota Ibushi (50%) = 1 singles match (Nagata leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Yuji Nagata
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = 3 singles matches (Nakamura leads 2:1); 10 tag matches (Smith leads 6:4) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: Toru Yano (44%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Tenzan leads 3:0) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = no singles encounters; 40 tag matches (Anderson leads 28:12) --- Togi Makabe
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 22 tag matches (Gallows leads 15:7) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi

Night 3 - 7/25/14

  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Gallows leads 1:0) --- Doc Gallows (Originally had Ibushi winning but switched prediction due to his injury)
  • B Block: Lance Archer (33%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = no singles encounters; 9 tag matches (Anderson leads 5:4) --- Karl Anderson
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = 1 singles match (Yujiro Takahashi leads 1:0); 13 tag matches (Tenzan leads 12:1) --- Yujiro Takahashi
  • A Block: Tomohiro Ishii (41%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = no singles encounters; 10 tag matches (Ishii leads 6:4) --- Shelton Benjamin
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Toru Yano (44%) = 1 singles match (Yano leads 1:0); 7 tag matches (Naito leads 6:1) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • A Block: Katsuyori Shibata (61%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = 1 singles match (Shibata leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 4 tag matches (Nagata leads 3:1) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = 1 singles match (Minoru Suzuki leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Minoru Suzuki
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Satoshi Kojima (50%) = 1 singles match (Kojima leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 18 tag matches (Makabe leads 13:5) --- Togi Makabe
Night 4 - 7/26/14
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Fale leads 1:0) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • A Block: Shelton Benjamin (47%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Davey Boy Smith, Jr.
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = 1 singles match (Tenzan leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Tenzan leads 1:0) --- Hiroyoshi Tenzan
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Toru Yano (44%) = no singles encounters; 8 tag matches (Goto leads 6:2) --- Hirooki Goto
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (41%) = 1 singles match (Ishii leads 1:0); 4 tag matches (Ibushi leads 4:0) --- Tomohiro Ishii (originally had Ibushi winning but his injury changed this)
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = 1 singles match (Makabe leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Archer leads 1:0) --- Togi Makabe
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) = 1 singles match (Nakamura leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Nagata leads 1:0) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Kazuchika Okada (69%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 2 singles matches (Okada leads 2:0); 18 tag matches (Anderson leads 12:6) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = 1 singles match (Tanahashi leads 1:0); 4 tag matches (Tied at 2 matches each) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
Night 5 - 7/28/14
  • A Block: Tomohiro Ishii (41%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 4 tag matches (Tied at 2 matches each) --- Tomohiro Ishii
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = no singles encounters; 20 tag matches (Tenzan leads 12:7) --- Lance Archer
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = 1 singles match (Smith leads 1:0); 20 tag matches (Kojima leads 12:7) --- Davey Boy Smith, Jr.
  • B Block: Minoru Suzuki (62%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = 1 singles match (Minoru Suzuki leads 1:0); 10 tag matches (Minoru Suzuki leads 6:4) --- Minoru Suzuki
  • B Block: Toru Yano (44%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 1 singles match (Yano leads 1:0); 4 tag matches (Anderson leads 4:0) --- Toru Yano
  • A Block: Katsuyori Shibata (61%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = 1 singles match (Benjamin leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 16 tag matches (Fale leads 12:4) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) = 1 singles match (Nakamura leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Ibushi leads 1:0) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = 1 singles match (Okada leads 1:0); 43 tag matches (Naito leads 28:14) --- Kazuchika Okada
Night 6 - 7/31/14
  • A Block: Doc Gallows (0%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Bad Luck Fale
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Yuji Nagata
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = 3 singles matches (Makabe leads 2:1); 43 tag matches (Makabe leads 38:5) --- Togi Makabe
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = 1 singles match (Kojima leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = no singles encounters; 20 tag matches (Goto leads 11:9) --- Hirooki Goto
  • B Block: Minoru Suzuki (62%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Minoru Suzuki
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = 3 singles matches (Nakamura leads 2:1); 20 tag matches (Benjamin leads 11:9) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Kazuchika Okada (69%) vs. Toru Yano (44%) = 1 singles match (Okada leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Okada leads 1:0) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (41%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 32 tag matches (Tanahashi leads 20:12) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
Night 7 - 8/1/14
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Kojima leads 1:0) --- Satoshi Kojima
  • B Block: Toru Yano (44%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = no singles encounters; 2 tag matches (Yano leads 2:0) --- Toru Yano
  • B Block: Yujiro Takahashi (39%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 1 singles match (Anderson leads 1:0); 3 tag matches (Anderson leads 3:0) --- Karl Anderson
  • A Block: Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 8 tag matches (Gallows leads 5:3) --- Davey Boy Smith, Jr.
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Hirooki Goto (50%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Goto leads 1:0) --- Hirooki Goto
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Fale leads 2:1) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Tetsuya Naito (57%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Naito leads 1:0) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • B Block: Minoru Suzuki (62%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = no singles encounters; 7 tag matches (Shibata leads 6:1) --- Yuji Nagata
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (41%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Shinsuke Nakamura
Night 8 - 8/3/14
  • A Block: Tomohiro Ishii (41%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = 1 singles match (Smith leads 1:0); 11 tag matches (Smith leads 7:4) --- Davey Boy Smith, Jr.
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Toru Yano (44%) = 1 singles match (Tenzan leads 1:0); 34 tag matches (Tenzan leads 25:9) --- Hiroyoshi Tenzan
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = 1 singles match (Benjamin leads 1:0); 2 tag matches (Tied at 1 matches each) --- Shelton Benjamin
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Gallows leads 3:0) --- Satoshi Kojima
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Tetsuya Naito (57%) = no singles encounters; 2 tag matches (Naito leads 2:0) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • B Block: Lance Archer (33%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Makabe leads 1:0) --- Minoru Suzuki
Night 9 - 8/4/14
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • B Block: Kazuchika Okada (69%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = no singles encounters; 12 tag matches (Tied at 6 matches each) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) = 3 singles matches (Tanahashi leads 2:1); 30 tag matches (Tanahashi leads 16:13) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Davey Boy Smith, Jr.
  • B Block: Lance Archer (33%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Archer leads 1:0) --- Yujiro Takahashi
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Nagata leads 2:1) --- Yuji Nagata
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Tenzan leads 1:0) --- Togi Makabe
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = 1 singles match (Naito leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Naito leads 1:0) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • A Block: Katsuyori Shibata (61%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Bad Luck Fale
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) = no singles encounters; 3 tag matches (Kojima leads 2:1) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
  • B Block: A.J. Styles (100%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = 3 singles matches (Okada leads 2:1); 15 tag matches (Goto leads 10:5) --- Kazuchika Okada
Night 10 - 8/6/14
  • A Block: Satoshi Kojima (50%) vs. Kota Ibushi (50%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Kojima leads 1:0) --- Satoshi Kojima 
  • A Block: Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = no singles encounters; 2 tag matches (Tied at 1 matches each) --- Bad Luck Fale
  • B Block: Hiroyoshi Tenzan (25%) vs. Tetsuya Naito (57%) = 1 singles match (Tenzan leads 1:0); 2 tag matches (Tenzan leads 2:0) --- Hiroyoshi Tenzan
  • B Block: Minoru Suzuki (62%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 1 singles match (Minoru Suzuki leads 1:0); 3 tag matches (Minoru Suzuki leads 3:0) --- Minoru Suzuki
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. Toru Yano (44%) = no singles encounters; 16 tag matches (Makabe leads 13:3) --- Togi Makabe
  • B Block: A.J. Styles (100%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Kazuchika Okada (69%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = 2 singles matches (Okada leads 2:0); 7 tag matches (Archer leads 4:3) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Yuji Nagata (63%) = no singles encounters; 1 tag match (Nagata leads 1:0) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • A Block: Tomohiro Ishii (41%) vs. Katsuyori Shibata (61%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 1 tag match (Shibata leads 1:0) --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 5 tag matches (Gallows leads 3:2) --- Shinsuke Nakamura
Night 11 - 8/6/14
  • A Block: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Davey Boy Smith, Jr. (50%) = 1 singles match (Tanahashi leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Smith leads 1:0) --- Hiroshi Tanahashi
  • A Block: Yuji Nagata (63%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (41%) = no singles encounters; 8 tag matches (Nagata leads 7:1) --- Yuji Nagata
  • A Block: Kota Ibushi (50%) vs. Shelton Benjamin (47%) = 1 singles match (Benjamin leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Shelton Benjamin
  • A Block: Katsuyori Shibata (61%) vs. Doc Gallows (0%) = no singles encounters; 2 tag matches (Tied at 1 matches each) --- Katsuyori Shibata
  • A Block: Shinsuke Nakamura (75%) vs. Bad Luck Fale (75%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 16 tag matches (Tied at 8 matches each) --- Draw (they are tied in win percentage, singles and tag!)
  • B Block: Togi Makabe (56%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- A.J. Styles
  • B Block: Hirooki Goto (50%) vs. Lance Archer (33%) = 1 singles match (Goto leads 1:0); 1 tag match (Archer leads 1:0) --- Hirooki Goto
  • B Block: Tetsuya Naito (57%) vs. Karl Anderson (40%) = 1 singles match (Naito leads 1:0); 6 tag matches (Naito leads 5:1) --- Tetsuya Naito
  • B Block: Kazuchika Okada (69%) vs. Minoru Suzuki (62%) = 2 singles matches (Tied at 1 matches each); 26 tag matches (Okada leads 15:11) --- Kazuchika Okada
  • B Block: Toru Yano (44%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (39%) = 1 singles match (Yano leads 1:0); no tag encounters --- Toru Yano
Final Projected Points



A BlockPoints
Bad Luck Fale19
Hiroshi Tanahashi18
Shinsuke Nakamura17
Katsuyori Shibata12
Yuji Nagata12
Davey Boy Smith, Jr.10
Shelton Benjamin8
Satoshi Kojima6
Tomohiro Ishii6
Doc Gallows2
Kota Ibushi0




B BlockPoints
A.J. Styles20
Kazuchika Okada16
Tetsuya Naito14
Togi Makabe14
Minoru Suzuki12
Hirooki Goto10
Hiroyoshi Tenzan6
Karl Anderson6
Toru Yano6
Yujiro Takahashi4
Lance Archer2

Night 12 - 8/6/14
  • Finals: Bad Luck Fale (75%) vs. A.J. Styles (100%) = no singles encounters; no tag encounters --- AJ Styles
  • 3rd Place: Hiroshi Tanahashi (65%) vs. Kazuchika Okada (69%) = 4 singles matches (Okada leads 2:1); 32 tag matches (Tanahashi leads 19:12) --- Kazuchika Okada

Of course, all of this reflects my complete cluelessness about New Japan plans and who they are pushing. But it's something.

Chris Harrington
chris.harrington@gmail.com
@mookieghana

Published WhatCulture Articles


7/15/2014:  10 Remedies For An Ailing WWE Network  …. 59383 views 
6/28/2014:  7 ECW Stars That Failed In WWE  …. 20892 views 
6/25/2014:  WWE Reveals Surprising Numbers For Extreme Rules  …. 3194 views 
6/23/2014:  12 WWE Stars Who Got Lost In The Mix  …. 42085 views 
6/17/2014:  Has WWE Killed Their PPV Business?  …. 4891 views 
6/14/2014:  Is WWE TV Becoming Stagnant?  …. 2349 views 
6/9/2014:  6 Things You Need To Know About ECW’s Wrestlenomics  …. 22490 views 
6/3/2014:  Is WWE Becoming Stagnant?  …. 7316 views 
6/3/2014:  WWE WrestleMania 30 Buys Has Shocking Implications For Network  …. 6565 views 
5/29/2014:  10 Least Successful WWE Tag Teams Of The Last 20 Years  …. 40202 views 
5/28/2014:  33 Wrestlers That Have Appeared In The Most Video Games  …. 21144 views 
5/28/2014:  3 Big Dilemmas WWE Network Must Face  …. 8469 views 
5/24/2014:  Calculating Global Demand For WWE Network  …. 1906 views 
5/18/2014:  10 Key Questions To Ask Monday’s WWE Conference Call  …. 3395 views 
5/16/2014:  WWE’s New TV Deal: What We Know  …. 3448 views 
5/13/2014:  Surprisingly Large MLS Deal Fuels Speculation On WWE TV Rights  …. 2556 views 
5/7/2014:  WWE Investors Remain Confused Over Domestic TV Rights Negotiation Delays  …. 2287 views 
5/1/2014:  WWE’s Q1 Conference Call – Everything We Learned  …. 2569 views 
4/29/2014:  What WWE Investors Want To Learn At Thursday’s Q1 Update  …. 2373 views 
4/26/2014:  What Is The Future Of Domestic WWE PPV?  …. 4088 views 
4/22/2014:  WWE Wrestler Death Rates Investigated  …. 2811 views 
4/18/2014:  WWE Analysis: Is Daniel Bryan A Weaker Live Event Draw Than John Cena?  …. 4059 views 
4/16/2014:  WWE Reports 400,000 Domestic Buys For WrestleMania 30  …. 679 views 
4/15/2014:  WWE Network: Does Another Free Trial Week Suggest Desperation?  …. 5451 views 
4/14/2014:  The Ultimate Warrior: 4 Incredible Secrets & Facts About His Career  …. 62811 views 
4/8/2014:  Reaction To WWE Network Subscriber Number Misses Real Story  …. 5547 views 
4/7/2014:  What Does 667,287 Subscribers Mean For WWE Network?  …. 7780 views 
4/2/2014:  WWE Network And TV Rights: The Waiting Game  …. 2318 views 
3/27/2014:  WWE: Fact Checking Forbes’ Article On Vince McMahon  …. 2196 views 
3/26/2014:  6 Jobs That WWE Must Create  …. 10067 views 
3/25/2014:  WWE WrestleMania 30: Why Dish Network Relented And Will Now Carry It  …. 7124 views 
3/21/2014:  WWE Royal Rumble & Elimination Chamber 2014 Buy Estimates  …. 3471 views 
3/19/2014:  WWE: John Cena Has Not Had 3,500 Matches  …. 3561 views 
3/18/2014:  WWE: Analysing The 5 Networks WWE Is Negotiating TV Rights With  …. 9440 views 
3/15/2014:  5 Companies That Would Want To Buy WWE  …. 32066 views 
3/13/2014:  AMC Want To Buy WWE? – Merger Rumours Drive Stock Spike  …. 4830 views 
3/10/2014:  10 Ways WWE Can Maintain Their Current Business Success  …. 10566 views 
3/5/2014:  14 WWE Network Risks That WWE Worries About  …. 20168 views 
3/5/2014:  WWE’s Current 15 Year Stock High Is Tied To Their Domestic TV Future  …. 3748 views 
2/28/2014:  WWE: 20 Most Prolific PPV Wrestlers Of All Time  …. 30133 views 
2/27/2014:  WWE Network Launch: All The Key Questions Answered  …. 27342 views 
2/25/2014:  WWE: 8 Modern PPVs That Performed Miserably  …. 62176 views 
2/20/2014:  10 Controversies Of The WWE Network  …. 664931 views 
2/18/2014:  WWE RAW: 16 Biggest Ratings Movers (2011-2013)  …. 22110 views 

Thursday, July 17, 2014

What’s going on today with $WWE’s stock price?

In two weeks the WWE will be revealing their 2nd Quarter results. Eager analysts (such as myself) are most interested in the updated number for WWE Network subscriptions. (The recent “no credit-card required, free trial!” and hard-selling on Raw suggest that the WWE Network is still ailing – I suggested some medicine here.)

A dramatic stock run-up began back in October and WWE stock hit an all-time high at over $31/share in March 2014. Then it plummeted back to earth (down to $11/share) in mid-May following less-than-stellar results of their domestic TV rights negotiations with NBCU. Expectations had soared (the "live sports = live entertainment = lots of tv money!" argument).  A lot of speculative money had poured in. And then rushed out overnight.  The stock had since settled into a groove of trading in a narrow band between $11 and $12 for these Summer months.

With an expensive WWE Network (which is expected to announce lackluster post-Wrestlemania growth) it was quite a surprise when the stock price began climbing.  It zoomed past the artificial $12 ceiling. Wrestling pundits looked around for answers. Everyone wondered: What’s fueling this latest speculation?!

Perhaps WWE leaked the updated subscriber count to Wall Street?  Maybe investors were responding to news of the free trial for international users?  Some fans joked that the combination of Sting in a 2k commercial and WWE signing KENTA was already revolutionizing the business. Sadly, it doesn't look to be nearly that interesting.

Financial websites such as TheStreet and SeekingAlpha along with the Wrestling Observer all pointed to the same reason: “buyout speculation”.  Allegedly, the news of 21st Century Fox (Murdoch) bid for Time Warner (they were rebuffed) has investors in a frenzy. So, they pulled the old “content-rich WWE deserves a take-over” card out of the deck.

People with astute memories might recall back in March when there was a wild rumor that AMC wanted to buy WWE.  What happened then?  The stock shot up from $29 to above $31 and immediately went back down.  Apparently that was an example of a “short squeeze” (stock price jump triggers a rush of buying from short sellers in order to cover their positions).  But that rumor (guess we'll never see CM Punk on "Talking Raw"), like this one, never went anywhere.

And why should it?  As I wrote about in my “let’s play the fun thought experiment” piece on the 5 Companies that Would want to buy the WWE: there cannot be a hostile takeover of the WWE.

Background On WWE Share Structure
As a publicly traded company WWE has two classes of Stock: Class A and Class B. When John Q. Public decides to buy $WWE Stock, they’re buying Class A shares. The Class B shares are controlled by the McMahon family – either directly or in trusts set up on their behalf. As of February 2014, there were a grand total of SIX holders for all Class B shares.
There are about 75 million total shares of $WWE split between 31.3 million Class A shares and 43.8 million Class B shares. While only controlling slightly more than half of the total shares, Vince McMahon retains control of the WWE because his shares have more voting power. As explained in the Annual Report:
We have Class A common stock and Class B common stock. The holders of Class A common stock generally have rights identical to holders of Class B common stock, except that holders of Class A common stock are entitled to one vote per share, and holders of Class B common stock are entitled to ten votes per share…. In addition, the voting power of Mr. McMahon through his ownership of our Class B common stock could discourage others from initiating potential mergers, takeovers or other change of control transactions.
To be Class B shareholders you must be in the McMahon family.
If, at any time, any shares of Class B common stock are beneficially owned by any person other than Vincent McMahon, Linda McMahon, any descendant of either of them, any entity which is wholly owned and is controlled by any combination of such persons or any trust, all the beneficiaries of which are any combination of such persons, each of those shares will automatically convert into shares of Class A common stock.
There Cannot Be A Hostile Takeover
In other words, while WWE is a “public company”, more than 90% all of the voting rights are controlled by the Class B shares which rest solely with Vince McMahon and his family. There cannot be a “hostile takeover”. The only way that another company could purchase the WWE would be if the McMahon’s voluntarily were to relinquish power to an outside entity. As a proud, stubborn and headstrong man, it seems quite unlikely we’d see Vincent Kennedy McMahon give up the keys to the World Wrestling Entertainment Castle under any circumstances outside dire financial trauma.

So, while investors may be salivating at the notion of buying a controlling stake of the WWE, it’s highly unlikely anyone (ever!) will be be able to convince the McMahons to do anything they don’t want to do. Now, I do believe WWE may be open to divesting a troubled division (WWE Studios/WWE Films comes to mind) or even taking on a partner for the Network, but ultimately I don’t see the WWE allowing itself to be gobbled up by any media conglomerate or private equity firm. This should stay true at least while Vince McMahon is still standing on God’s green Earth.

On July 31, the company will report the number of active WWE Network subscribers as of June 30, 2014.  This number will be filed in the SEC 10-Q filing (it should be online within a day or two) and also should be included in the quarterly Trending Schedule filing.  The WWE Network subscription number as of 3/31/14 was 495,000 and post-Wrestlemania (4/7/14) it was 667,287. My guess for 6/30/14 is 747,000. While that would be more than a 50% quarterly increase, it's only a 16% post-WM increase.

Also, I believe that should WWE announce any number of Q2 subscriptions which is lower than 815,000 investors will start selling and the stock price will drop (possibly even below $11/share). And no, I don’t expect them to start bragging about July’s network numbers of free+paid users.  Until they have new leadership hired and completely focused on running the WWE Network, I believe that they’re just going to keep the narrative all about "keeping costs down".  Secretly, they'll just be praying that they can keep subscriber retention above 85% during the all-important August/September 6-month autorenew cliff.

-Chris Harrington (chris.harrington@gmail.com)
@mookieghana

Comparing WWE Results from different data sources

If you've ever poked around my stats website (indeedwrestling.com), you may have noticed there is vast inconsistency on how I post aggregation of results. When I started, I used TheHistoryofWWE.com as a source (all the way back to when it was an Angelfire page), but recently I've switched to using Cagematch.net. I'm continuing to work on my book, and recently update the webpage with some reformatted Cagematch data. To compare and contrast how the counts may vary, I present these links:
  • 1993 Cagematch VS. 1993 History of WWE
  • 1994 Cagematch VS. 1994 History of WWE
  • 1995 Cagematch VS. 1995 History of WWE 
  • 1996 Cagematch VS. 1996 History of WWE
  • 1997 Cagematch VS. 1997 History of WWE
  • 1998 Cagematch VS. 1998 History of WWE
  • 1999 Cagematch VS. 1999 History of WWE
  • 2000 Cagematch VS. 2000 History of WWE
  • 2001 Cagematch VS. 2001 History of WWE
  • 2002 Cagematch VS. 2002 History of WWE
  • 2003 Cagematch VS. 2003 History of WWE
  • 2004 Cagematch VS. 2004 History of WWE
  • 2005 Cagematch VS. 2005 History of WWE
  • 2006 Cagematch VS. 2006 History of WWE
  • 2007 Cagematch VS. 2007 History of WWE
  • 2008 Cagematch VS. 2008 History of WWE
  • 2009 Cagematch VS. 2009 History of WWE
  • 2010 Cagematch VS. 2010 History of WWE
  • 2011 Cagematch VS. 2011 History of WWE
  • 2012 Cagematch  
  • 2013 Cagematch 

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Does the Home Run Derby affect the RAW rating?

Someone asked me whether there was any relationship between the annual Monday Night Home Run Derby and Monday Night Raw's rating. It's an interesting question so I did some digging.

While I don't have viewership numbers going back to 1996, I do have Monday Night Raw Ratings (courtesy of Gerweck.net). I pulled the Home Run Derby dates from Baseball-Reference.

I looked at Raw Ratings from November 1995 to July 7 2014 and ran a regression which included five variables:
  • Was it the day immediately after a PPV?
  • Was it a 3-hour RAW?
  • What was the trailing 4-week average Raw Rating?
  • What was the trailing 8-week average Raw Rating?
  • Was it the night of the Home Run Derby?
Obviously, there's a host of other variables that I could have included. (Was it a holiday like Memorial Day or Christmas? Was the Raw taped? Was there other significant television competition such as a major sporting event or other huge network TV show? And so forth.)

(Graph has a projected Rating for the July 14, 2014 Raw Rating.)

As you can see, visually it's unclear whether the HR Derby does or does not affect the Raw rating.

dateratingDay after PPV?HR Derby?3 hours?4-week trailing 8-week trailing
7/8/1996
2.50
No
Yes
No
2.58
2.59
7/7/1997
2.50
Yes, IYH: 
Canadian Stampede
Yes
No
2.38
2.63
7/6/1998
4.00
No
Yes
No
4.58
4.56
7/12/1999
5.97
No
Yes
No
6.43
6.76
7/10/2000
6.00
No
Yes
No
6.08
6.23
7/9/2001
4.70
No
Yes
No
4.40
4.35
7/8/2002
3.70
No
Yes
No
3.85
3.85
7/14/2003
3.80
No
Yes
No
3.95
3.81
7/12/2004
3.70
Yes,Vengeance
Yes
No
3.78
3.65
7/11/2005
3.60
No
Yes
No
3.73
3.79
7/10/2006
3.90
No
Yes
No
4.05
3.96
7/9/2007
3.37
No
Yes
No
3.88
3.73
7/14/2008
3.20
No
Yes
No
3.50
3.30
7/13/2009
3.50
No
Yes
No
3.85
3.65
7/12/2010
3.33
No
Yes
No
3.39
3.28
7/11/2011
2.90
No
Yes
No
3.13
3.18
7/9/2012
3.17
No
Yes
No
3.29
3.13
7/15/2013
3.05
Yes, MITB 2013
Yes
Yes
3.01
2.93
7/14/2014
???
No
Yes
Yes
2.90
2.88

The average rating from 1996 to 2013 was 3.72.  That is <0.16> below the 4-week trailing average and <0.14> below the 8-week trailing average.

Out of the 18 years I looked at, 12 times (67%) the rating trailed both the 4-week and 8-week averages. 4 times (22%), the rating trailed at least one of the two averages.  Only twice was the rating above the 4-week and 8-week trailing averages: 2013 (when it came one day after a PPV) and 2001 which was a monumental episode of Raw from Atlanta where ECW allied with WCW in the main event in a swerve!

When we look at the Ratings of for the Home Run Derby, we see that the years where the HR Derby rating was 5.0 or higher (1998, 1999, 2002, 2008, 2009), WWE's Raw Rating was anywhere from -0.15 (2002) to -0.62 (1999) below their trending average.  There's a significantly lower impact when the HR Derby rating is lower than 4.5 (average of only 0.08 off the normal trending average).  

Returning to my regression...


The equation suggestions:

RAW Rating = 0.10 intercept + 36% x (8-week trailing average) + 60% x (4-week trailing average) + 0.14 (bump for being day after PPV?) -0.03 (if it's a 3-hour RAW) -0.15 (if it's against the Homerun Derby).

If we drop the 3-hours? variable and replace the HR_DERBY binary (1=yes, 0=no) with the actual rating for the event, the new equation has a slightly lower p-value for HR_derby (0.076 versus 0.104 originally) and the equation adjusts to 0.084+0.153xPPV+60.4%x4-week+36.5%x8-week-0.361xHR_DERBY_RATING.  In this example a 5.0 rating would knock about 0.18 off the expected Raw Rating and 3.5 rating would knock about 0.13 off the expected Raw Rating.

In conclusion, it does certainly appear that the Raw Rating during the week of the Home Run Derby is being affected by the popularity of the baseball contest. It's probably only going to knock about 5% off the rating, but it's certainly not insignificant.

-Chris Harrington
@mookieghana