A dribble of $WWE Stock Analysis

Here is the $WWE stock against their annual average (by calendar year). You can see how huge that crest & fall for 2014 was driven by the exceptional expectations around the domestic TV rights deal (which ultimately didn't deliver as high as WWE or analysts hoped) and the initial enthusiasm about the viability of the WWE Network.

I was curious what happens in the quarter after WWE announces their fiscal results, namely - what happens in the post-WM quarter?

It's a very mixed bag. Some years we're up. Some years we're down. (Keep in mind that this chart has been time changed so that we're looking at the period following the release of results. So, we're actually in Q3 CY 2014 right now because the Q4 CY 2014 results hasn't been released yet.)

I also took a quick look at what your index would look like if you bought $WWE stock and wanted to hold it less than a year. This doesn't include stock splits or dividends or the fancy jazz that a real analysis would include. It's just a quick look at the average price in a month, and how that compares for the next 12 months.

For this chart, I excluded 1999-2000 and all of 2014. I felt that those two periods had a lot of distortion going on with them.

I'm very surprised to see December up for every month. Maybe I screwed something up.

Row Labels	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sept	Oct	Nov	Dec	Avg
1999										24.00	22.54	16.40	20.20
2000	15.28	11.92	14.50	15.31	17.24	17.72	21.24	19.98	20.36	14.93	14.30	14.42	16.45
2001	18.91	16.03	12.75	13.30	13.21	12.61	13.76	11.74	11.61	11.35	11.95	12.74	13.32
2002	13.71	13.50	15.10	14.79	14.89	13.84	11.08	9.93	9.25	7.66	8.33	8.46	11.68
2003	8.17	8.14	7.89	8.33	9.28	10.06	9.81	9.74	10.19	10.69	11.31	12.33	9.68
2004	13.59	13.40	13.38	14.80	12.42	12.85	12.73	12.04	12.14	12.21	12.72	11.97	12.85
2005	12.31	12.37	12.30	11.59	10.53	10.41	12.00	12.29	12.94	12.68	13.06	14.61	12.25
2006	14.87	15.03	16.63	17.08	17.84	17.03	16.66	15.97	16.85	16.76	16.08	16.53	16.46
2007	16.19	16.15	15.87	16.62	17.91	17.09	16.07	14.63	14.83	15.24	15.10	14.89	15.88
2008	14.30	16.58	18.28	18.57	16.68	15.79	15.97	16.11	15.76	14.38	12.00	11.28	15.48
2009	10.46	9.47	10.55	11.31	11.62	13.02	12.94	14.24	14.16	13.81	15.34	15.69	12.76
2010	16.06	16.29	17.49	17.88	16.80	16.27	15.98	14.57	13.99	13.81	13.86	14.29	15.60
2011	13.44	12.27	12.66	11.73	10.39	9.65	9.92	9.38	9.12	9.98	9.86	9.75	10.66
2012	9.57	9.60	8.91	8.14	8.38	7.70	7.77	8.33	8.61	8.20	7.99	8.01	8.43
2013	8.19	8.53	8.66	8.91	9.29	9.87	10.82	10.10	10.04	11.37	13.66	15.04	10.38
2014	18.96	23.27	29.14	22.78	15.02	11.50	12.14	14.11	14.47	13.60	12.36	11.62	16.50
2015	11.15	12.64											11.44

It is remarkable that with the exception of 2004 and 2008, the Dec vs. Nov number was average of +4% and between -1% and +12%. 

But all of this is just someone playing with a couple numbers from Yahoo Finance with little stock financial training. I would take it with an enormous grain of salt.